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Cibona vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 72-106
18-28 19-30 13-29 22-19
Position#11
Record6-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#6
Record6-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game86.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17
Domestic2022
Meetings · Cibona v Mega Basket
21 Apr 2025
CIB83
MEG88
24 Nov 2023
CIB69
MEG83
29 Jan 2023
CIB72
MEG106
04 Oct 2021
CIB89
MEG84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
102-84
102
84
+18
no box
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
67avg 73
A23/12
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
68-93
68
93
-25
no box
A08/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
H11/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
no box
H14/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A15/01
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 73
A20/01
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
105-77
105
77
+28
no box
H22/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A26/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
30-18
22-28
25-18
21-17
22-24
21-14
11-13
22-19
19-26
15-18
19-12
19-17
19-32
19-25
11-19
16-25
19-21
27-18
16-16
25-27
19-12
17-18
16-20
15-16
16-24
17-13
23-24
15-26
21-16
20-22
25-19
23-25
30-19
30-20
22-13
26-20
28-19
12-28
20-13
166.7Avg total
84.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.890.2169.9-10.438%
Season at home (7)84.389.6173.9-5.357%
Season away (9)76.290.7166.9-14.422%
Last 10 (10)84.282.5166.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)86.483.0169.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.090.2168.2-12.233%
vs Similar (4)90.285.0175.2+5.275%
vs Weaker (13)87.273.8161.1+13.485%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 71
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 71
H03/12
ABA League
Split
#10
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 71
A11/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
58-92
58
92
-34
50avg 71
A18/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 71
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
74avg 71
H02/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 71
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
no box
A14/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
76avg 71
H23/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
19-21
27-18
24-22
21-25
17-15
23-28
21-26
20-21
25-8
24-21
17-24
19-25
20-26
14-15
22-13
16-25
17-19
18-18
7-30
16-19
18-21
17-21
15-18
17-28
23-22
18-18
24-28
18-19
19-18
19-22
21-13
24-28
19-21
27-22
32-31
24-20
16-18
17-20
23-19
167.9Avg total
82.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.486.9170.2-3.538%
Season at home (7)85.082.9167.9+2.157%
Season away (9)82.190.0172.1-7.922%
Last 10 (10)82.285.7167.9-3.550%
Last 5 (5)84.086.6170.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.089.1163.1-15.115%
vs Similar (11)87.380.1167.4+7.273%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.782.0170.7+6.767%
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
CibonaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/12
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A08/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A15/01
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A20/01
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A26/01
Premijer liga
85.3Avg total
43.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.784.8+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.283.7+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)42.843.085.8-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.385.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.884.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.945.286.1-4.242%-
vs Similar (4)43.043.086.0+0.025%-
vs Weaker (13)44.838.082.8+6.877%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H03/12
ABA League
Split
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A11/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/01
ABA League
82.2Avg total
39.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.683.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.339.380.7+2.050%-
Last 30 away (18)40.944.885.7-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.382.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.881.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.646.883.4-10.28%-
vs Similar (11)44.239.183.3+5.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.040.285.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.8
51.3%
55.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
35.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
75.8%14.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.9
30.0%
35.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.917.5
73.2%
75.8%17.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cibona
WWLLLLLWWW
Mega Basket
WWWLLLLWLW
#11
League position
#6
-16.8
Net rating
-2.1
101.7
Offensive rating
105.9
118.5
Defensive rating
108.1
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.0%
3-point %
30.0%
67.4%
Assist %
66.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 105.9Defence118.5 · 108.1Shooting49.9% · 50.6%3-point %32.0% · 30.0%Ball care15.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds23.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Cibona   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cibona wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
23/10/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-100 OT
09/01/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-89
04/10/21Cibona v Mega Basket89-84 OT
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23AZabok86-80
22/01/23HGorica105-77
20/01/23AMornar Bar81-83
15/01/23ADinamo Zagreb71-77
14/01/23HStudentski Centar89-98 OT
11/01/23HCedevita Junior78-80
08/01/23APartizan68-93
30/12/22HMZT Skopje87-85 OT
23/12/22AZadar75-68
19/12/22HSplit102-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/23HZadar80-77
14/01/23AIgokea115-109 OT
08/01/23HFMP Beograd77-72
02/01/23HCedevita Olimpija82-96
25/12/22ABuducnost66-79
18/12/22ACrvena zvezda58-92
11/12/22ASplit75-79
03/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-74
27/11/22AMZT Skopje82-94
20/11/22AMornar Bar101-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cibona
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%57%22%
Points / game79.884.376.2
Allowed / game90.289.690.7
Point differential-10.4-5.3-14.4
Avg total169.9173.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %25%29%22%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%57%22%
Points / game83.485.082.1
Allowed / game86.982.990.0
Point differential-3.5+2.1-7.9
Avg total170.2167.9172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1514193%85.669.5+16.1
2 Partizan1614288%93.475.9+17.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija1512380%91.180.0+11.1
4 FMP Beograd1612475%93.184.9+8.2
5 Buducnost1610662%88.081.8+6.2
6 Zadar179853%89.488.2+1.1
7 Studentski Centar178947%85.190.5-5.4
8 Mega Basket1661038%83.486.9-3.5
9 Cibona1661038%79.890.2-10.4
10 Split1761135%79.486.4-7.1
11 Mornar Bar1551033%86.191.9-5.8
12 Igokea1651131%84.187.0-2.9
13 Borac Mozzart1741324%78.687.6-9.0
14 MZT Skopje1721512%78.991.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cibona1819132272
Mega Basket28302919106
← all games of the day
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