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Mega Bemax vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-78
15-20 10-22 22-22 21-14
Position#7
Record7-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game70.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Crvena zvezda
15 Dec 2018
MBE68
CZV78
06 May 2018
MBE76
CZV74
25 Dec 2017
MBE85
CZV90
08 Jun 2017
MBE75
CZV84
25 May 2017
MBE67
CZV73
09 Jan 2017
MBE69
CZV81
29 May 2016
MBE64
CZV74
02 May 2016
MBE49
CZV61
14 Dec 2015
MBE78
CZV79
08 Jun 2015
MBE89
CZV90
20 May 2015
MBE86
CZV90
22 Feb 2015
MBE74
CZV80
11 Jan 2015
MBE75
CZV77
11 Jun 2014
MBE95
CZV101
16 Apr 2014
MBE76
CZV89
01 Mar 2014
MBE86
CZV98
31 May 2013
MBE73
CZV71
14 Apr 2013
MBE83
CZV76
02 May 2012
MBE75
CZV79
12 Apr 2011
MBE81
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A13/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H19/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A10/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
22-18
21-20
19-26
17-15
23-20
26-16
23-10
27-23
20-24
26-21
22-18
20-18
19-30
17-15
18-11
29-17
19-23
19-21
17-19
15-24
20-22
20-23
19-12
15-27
22-14
18-24
29-15
24-27
11-20
15-21
19-14
15-18
22-22
27-22
18-18
31-21
20-20
18-30
16-20
162.0Avg total
82.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.379.7162.0+2.670%
Season at home (4)81.574.8156.2+6.875%
Season away (6)82.883.0165.8-0.267%
Last 10 (10)82.379.7162.0+2.670%
Last 5 (5)78.882.8161.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.887.9165.7-10.120%
vs Similar (10)83.780.0163.7+3.780%
vs Weaker (9)88.776.2164.9+12.478%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A07/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H14/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H17/11
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A20/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H09/12
ABA League
Brescia
#19
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H12/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
18-13
25-21
18-10
22-14
28-20
22-18
22-27
17-21
16-29
24-23
23-22
22-23
21-13
22-13
18-11
29-29
16-15
17-32
13-15
23-16
27-16
25-27
29-12
20-25
27-21
15-25
18-20
15-22
23-19
20-10
19-20
22-16
23-17
34-20
18-17
31-14
34-8
17-21
21-24
163.2Avg total
88.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.770.3158.0+17.4100%
Season at home (6)91.571.5163.0+20.0100%
Season away (4)82.068.5150.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.075.2163.2+12.870%
Last 5 (5)92.274.0166.2+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.278.4158.6+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.571.0158.5+16.595%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Mega BemaxCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H19/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/12
ABA League
82.7Avg total
40.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.583.7+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.484.5+1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.782.9-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.882.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.944.884.7-4.910%-
vs Similar (10)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
vs Weaker (9)46.038.184.1+7.978%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H17/11
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A20/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H09/12
ABA League
Brescia
#19
W
65-22
65
22
+43
H12/12
Eurocup
82.4Avg total
46.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.435.981.3+9.583%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.335.783.0+11.694%-
Last 30 away (13)42.836.279.0+6.769%-
Last 10 (10)46.036.482.4+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.034.883.8+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.238.979.1+1.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.634.582.0+13.190%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.3
53.8%
51.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.7
33.6%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.516.4
64.3%
72.5%16.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.5
57.1%
51.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.7
42.1%
33.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
72.5%14.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LWLWLWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWLWLWW
#7
League position
#1
+4.0
Net rating
+17.8
103.4
Offensive rating
117.6
99.4
Defensive rating
99.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
59.6%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
42.1%
72.1%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 117.6Defence99.4 · 99.8Shooting52.4% · 59.6%3-point %33.6% · 42.1%Ball care19.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.7% · 36.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Bemax wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/18ABuducnost85-91
24/11/18HCibona82-80
18/11/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-82
09/11/18AZadar84-80
03/11/18HPartizan74-81
28/10/18AMornar Bar84-80
19/10/18HPetrol Olimpija81-77 OT
13/10/18ACedevita95-86
06/10/18HFMP Beograd89-61
30/09/18AIgokea80-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18HBrescia103-67
09/12/18HZadar97-70
24/11/18APartizan77-71
20/11/18AMoraBanc Andorra80-91
17/11/18HMornar Bar104-71
14/11/18HMonaco75-91
10/11/18APetrol Olimpija83-60
07/11/18AUlm80-95
03/11/18HCedevita94-79
30/10/18HGalatasaray87-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL70%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game82.381.582.8
Allowed / game79.774.883.0
Point differential+2.6+6.8-0.2
Avg total162.0156.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.791.582.0
Allowed / game70.371.568.5
Point differential+17.4+20.0+13.5
Avg total158.0163.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda10100100%87.770.3+17.4
2 Buducnost108280%81.874.0+7.8
3 Mega Bemax107370%82.379.7+2.6
4 Cedevita117464%89.083.4+5.6
5 Partizan105550%83.081.2+1.8
6 FMP Beograd104640%81.182.9-1.8
7 Cibona104640%79.583.8-4.3
8 Zadar114736%83.586.9-3.4
9 Igokea114736%85.990.6-4.7
10 Petrol Olimpija103730%81.685.4-3.8
11 KK Krka Novo mesto103730%75.285.3-10.1
12 Mornar Bar113827%84.991.2-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Bemax1510222168
Crvena zvezda2022221478
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