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Mega Bemax vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-81 (OT)
21-20 11-23 17-14 18-10 2-14
Position#6
Record5-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game83.9
Mega Bemax
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record16-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game67.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17
Domestic2016
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Crvena zvezda
15 Dec 2018
MBE68
CZV78
06 May 2018
MBE76
CZV74
25 Dec 2017
MBE85
CZV90
08 Jun 2017
MBE75
CZV84
25 May 2017
MBE67
CZV73
09 Jan 2017
MBE69
CZV81
29 May 2016
MBE64
CZV74
02 May 2016
MBE49
CZV61
14 Dec 2015
MBE78
CZV79
08 Jun 2015
MBE89
CZV90
20 May 2015
MBE86
CZV90
22 Feb 2015
MBE74
CZV80
11 Jan 2015
MBE75
CZV77
11 Jun 2014
MBE95
CZV101
16 Apr 2014
MBE76
CZV89
01 Mar 2014
MBE86
CZV98
31 May 2013
MBE73
CZV71
14 Apr 2013
MBE83
CZV76
02 May 2012
MBE75
CZV79
12 Apr 2011
MBE81
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A18/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H21/12
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A30/12
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A03/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
16-19
25-20
9-19
16-20
20-18
17-31
18-13
15-21
18-16
10-22
18-26
12-25
25-13
21-17
14-20
23-22
16-26
14-23
24-16
19-19
14-22
9-21
27-20
16-16
15-10
16-9
13-18
18-22
26-17
16-14
16-19
26-11
11-26
21-27
22-24
22-23
15-22
22-18
19-22
148.5Avg total
70.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.283.9164.2-3.731%
Season at home (8)83.983.0166.9+0.950%
Season away (8)76.684.9161.5-8.212%
Last 10 (10)70.378.2148.5-7.920%
Last 5 (5)72.676.0148.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.282.0155.2-8.88%
vs Similar (11)77.279.6156.8-2.555%
vs Weaker (7)84.981.3166.1+3.643%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/12
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A25/12
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H29/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#12
W
113-65
113
65
+48
H02/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
13-21
19-27
22-19
23-18
21-10
16-18
17-8
19-14
23-10
23-18
18-16
21-16
22-19
30-15
20-23
18-22
16-23
9-11
22-17
20-19
23-16
19-16
20-19
13-22
25-11
30-28
27-30
27-14
21-20
16-22
14-11
30-11
37-16
29-13
17-25
21-7
26-15
14-17
16-22
153.4Avg total
83.5Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.867.5155.3+20.3100%
Season at home (8)90.468.0158.4+22.4100%
Season away (8)85.267.0152.2+18.2100%
Last 10 (10)83.569.9153.4+13.680%
Last 5 (5)89.070.8159.8+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.068.5148.5+11.5100%
vs Similar (10)71.976.5148.4-4.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.567.9153.4+17.694%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
Mega BemaxCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/12
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H25/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A30/12
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A03/01
Champions League
73.5Avg total
35.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.579.1-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.981.3-0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.176.9-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)35.238.373.5-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.341.075.3-6.78%-
vs Similar (11)38.539.978.4-1.545%-
vs Weaker (7)45.940.786.6+5.186%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/12
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A25/12
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#12
W
67-27
67
27
+40
H02/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
47-22
47
22
+25
A06/01
Euroleague
76.1Avg total
43.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.034.476.4+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.632.877.4+11.886%-
Last 30 away (16)39.835.875.6+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.732.476.1+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)48.630.278.8+18.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.580.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (10)37.137.074.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.432.977.3+11.483%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.2
48.3%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.5
31.2%
34.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
73.3%13.0
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.3
54.2%
51.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.912.0
75.5%
73.3%12.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LLWWLLLLLL
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-1.9
Net rating
+17.8
99.1
Offensive rating
110.8
101.0
Defensive rating
93.1
47.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
19.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
34.8%
62.5%
Assist %
62.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 110.8Defence101.0 · 93.1Shooting47.7% · 53.5%3-point %31.2% · 34.8%Ball care19.9% · 14.7%Off. rebounds36.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Bemax wins
10
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
09/10/16Crvena zvezda v Mega Bemax96-76
29/05/16Mega Bemax v Crvena zvezda64-74
27/05/16Crvena zvezda v Mega Bemax77-66
02/05/16Mega Bemax v Crvena zvezda49-61
30/04/16Crvena zvezda v Mega Bemax93-74
28/04/16Crvena zvezda v Mega Bemax95-88
14/12/15Mega Bemax v Crvena zvezda78-79 OT
01/10/15Crvena zvezda v Mega Bemax76-70
08/06/15Mega Bemax v Crvena zvezda89-90
06/06/15Crvena zvezda v Mega Bemax109-80
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/17AJuventus78-85
30/12/16ABuducnost80-88
25/12/16HFMP Beograd76-72
21/12/16HMornar Bar60-53
18/12/16APetrol Olimpija69-82
13/12/16ACibona77-87
10/12/16AKarpos72-75
07/12/16AAvellino61-85
04/12/16HCibona71-82
30/11/16ATenerife59-73
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/17AZalgiris Kaunas77-61
02/01/17HZadar113-65
29/12/16HCSKA Moscow78-67
25/12/16ACedevita95-91
22/12/16HReal Madrid82-70
20/12/16AOlympiacos65-73
17/12/16AMZT Skopje93-73
15/12/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-58
11/12/16ABuducnost77-54
08/12/16AFenerbahce72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%50%12%
Points / game80.283.976.6
Allowed / game83.983.084.9
Point differential-3.7+0.9-8.2
Avg total164.2166.9161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.890.485.2
Allowed / game67.568.067.0
Point differential+20.3+22.4+18.2
Avg total155.3158.4152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%88%88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda16160100%87.867.5+20.3
2 Partizan1714382%80.273.8+6.4
3 Cedevita1712571%90.280.5+9.7
4 Buducnost1712571%82.276.8+5.4
5 Cibona1711665%82.179.4+2.7
6 Igokea169756%75.476.8-1.4
7 Petrol Olimpija1771041%79.581.6-2.1
8 Mornar Bar1761135%78.177.4+0.6
9 Zadar1761135%78.889.2-10.4
10 Mega Bemax1651131%80.283.9-3.7
11 FMP Beograd1651131%74.678.6-3.9
12 Karpos1751229%74.179.1-4.9
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%70.980.1-9.2
14 MZT Skopje1741324%76.585.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mega Bemax21111718269
Crvena zvezda202314101481
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