Melbourne Tigers vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 89-81

16-15 20-24 19-21 34-21

Position#4

Record2-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game72.0

Melbourne Tigers 🏆

Dandenong

Position#14

Record1-3

FormLLLLW

Points / game90.8

Allowed / game97.2

NBL1 South

Other2025

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Dandenong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

77-86

-9

H16/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

44-77

-33

A22/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

73-91

-18

H28/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

81-87

-6

A29/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

91-86

A06/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

88-71

+17

H11/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

73-71

A13/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

100-69

100

+31

H30/03

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

77-85

-8

H04/04

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

78-62

+16

A08/04

NBL1 South

17-31

22-20

23-20

15-15

11-14

11-23

10-21

12-19

18-34

27-14

11-24

17-19

29-21

14-22

26-21

12-23

34-29

16-16

18-17

23-24

20-25

26-12

27-18

15-16

21-16

24-27

15-12

13-16

35-8

31-22

20-18

14-21

24-19

17-27

11-17

25-22

18-26

19-15

18-11

23-10

156.7Avg total

78.2Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	85.0	72.0	157.0	+13.0	67%
Season at home (2)	88.5	77.0	165.5	+11.5	50%
Season away (1)	78.0	62.0	140.0	+16.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	78.5	156.7	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	71.6	154.8	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	78.3	83.0	161.3	-4.7	47%
vs Similar (11)	76.0	80.2	156.2	-4.2	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	81.2	72.8	154.0	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

72-86

-14

H30/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

65-78

-13

A06/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

78-83

-5

A12/07

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

81-75

H14/07

NBL1 South

Knox

98-91

H20/07

NBL1 South

Ballarat

78-91

-13

A27/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

80-87

-7

A29/03

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

100-105

100

105

-5

H30/03

NBL1 South

Eltham

72-94

-22

H05/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

111-103

111

103

H11/04

NBL1 South

20-19

15-23

21-28

16-16

20-14

17-26

13-25

15-13

22-26

16-25

22-10

18-22

25-20

26-18

13-23

17-14

28-34

26-11

22-31

22-15

23-22

17-17

12-23

26-29

16-23

24-26

17-16

23-22

28-19

19-29

29-23

24-34

30-25

7-18

21-31

14-20

22-24

31-26

30-25

28-28

172.8Avg total

83.5Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	90.8	97.2	188.0	-6.5	25%
Season at home (3)	94.3	100.7	195.0	-6.3	33%
Season away (1)	80.0	87.0	167.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	89.3	172.8	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	96.0	184.2	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	81.8	92.2	174.0	-10.4	30%
vs Similar (8)	81.4	86.0	167.4	-4.6	38%
vs Weaker (12)	90.2	80.8	171.0	+9.3	83%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersDandenong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.9	42.9	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.6	44.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	22.5	45.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.6	46.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	23.0	25.8	48.8	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.2	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	20.4	40.8	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.2	17.5	37.8	+2.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.6	42.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.8	42.3	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	25.3	19.3	44.7	+6.0	75%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

39-51

-12

H16/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

22-37

-15

A22/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

45-48

-3

H28/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

43-43

A29/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

50-45

A06/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

46-37

H11/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

45-43

A13/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

66-30

+36

H30/03

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

41-46

-5

H04/04

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

37-41

-4

A08/04

NBL1 South

85.5Avg total

43.4Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.5	82.4	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	42.7	83.4	-1.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	40.2	81.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	42.1	85.5	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	39.4	86.4	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.3	42.4	82.7	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.2	40.5	82.7	+1.6	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	25%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

35-42

-7

H30/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

37-40

-3

A06/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

38-51

-13

A12/07

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

51-38

+13

H14/07

NBL1 South

Knox

54-45

H20/07

NBL1 South

Ballarat

40-39

A27/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

40-49

-9

A29/03

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

47-48

-1

H30/03

NBL1 South

Eltham

37-43

-6

H05/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

53-50

H11/04

NBL1 South

87.7Avg total

43.2Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	43.3	86.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	43.2	88.1	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	43.3	85.0	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	44.5	87.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	45.8	89.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.8	46.8	89.6	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.8	42.8	81.5	-4.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	46.9	40.7	87.6	+6.2	75%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.2	33.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	53%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.1	19.0	35.1	-2.9	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	17.0	16.5	33.5	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.0	42.0	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	24.0	45.6	-2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.9	24.2	44.1	-4.3	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	19.8	35.9	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.5	35.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.7	20.6	38.4	-2.9	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	25.0	15.2	40.2	+9.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	23.2	44.5	-2.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	26.6	49.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	21.5	42.8	-0.2	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.1	76.1	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	39.8	78.6	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.0	38.2	73.2	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	36.4	71.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	32.2	68.4	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.1	40.6	78.7	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	33.8	39.6	73.5	-5.8	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	42.0	31.8	73.8	+10.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.7	84.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	47.2	90.1	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	37.6	77.9	+2.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	44.8	85.1	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	50.2	95.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.0	45.4	84.4	-6.4	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.6	43.2	85.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	43.2	40.2	83.4	+3.1	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Dandenong wins

Date	Game	Score
04/04/24	Melbourne Tigers v Dandenong	82-88
22/04/23	Dandenong v Melbourne Tigers	82-95
31/07/22	Melbourne Tigers v Dandenong	67-55
16/05/21	Melbourne Tigers v Dandenong	85-93
27/04/19	Dandenong v Melbourne Tigers	106-66
04/06/17	Melbourne Tigers v Dandenong	67-82
02/04/17	Dandenong v Melbourne Tigers	83-69
30/07/16	Melbourne Tigers v Dandenong	89-111
17/07/16	Dandenong v Melbourne Tigers	85-86

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/25	A	Diamond Valley	78-62
04/04/25	H	Kilsyth	77-85
30/03/25	H	Sandringham Sabres	100-69
13/07/24	A	Casey Cavaliers	73-71
11/07/24	H	Waverley	88-71
06/07/24	A	Mt Gambier	91-86
29/06/24	A	Ballarat	81-87
28/06/24	H	Bendigo Braves	73-91
22/06/24	A	Kilsyth	44-77
16/06/24	H	Frankston	77-86

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/25	H	Keilor Thunder	111-103
05/04/25	H	Eltham	72-94
30/03/25	H	Diamond Valley	100-105
29/03/25	A	Casey Cavaliers	80-87
27/07/24	A	Ballarat	78-91
20/07/24	H	Knox	98-91
14/07/24	H	NW Tasmania	81-75
12/07/24	A	Nunawading	78-83
06/07/24	A	Geelong	65-78
30/06/24	H	Mt Gambier	72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLW	67%
Home	WL	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	50%	100%
Points / game	85.0	88.5	78.0
Allowed / game	72.0	77.0	62.0
Point differential	+13.0	+11.5	+16.0
Avg total	157.0	165.5	140.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dandenong

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLW	25%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	25%	33%	0%
Points / game	90.8	94.3	80.0
Allowed / game	97.2	100.7	87.0
Point differential	-6.5	-6.3	-7.0
Avg total	188.0	195.0	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	3	3	0	100%	100.7	78.7	+22.0
2	Mt Gambier	5	4	1	80%	93.2	71.8	+21.4
3	Ballarat	4	3	1	75%	89.0	84.8	+4.2
4	Casey Cavaliers	4	3	1	75%	84.2	80.2	+4.0
5	Hobart Chargers	4	3	1	75%	83.0	79.0	+4.0
6	Waverley	4	3	1	75%	94.2	92.2	+2.0
7	Melbourne Tigers	3	2	1	67%	85.0	72.0	+13.0
8	Ringwood	3	2	1	67%	91.3	81.3	+10.0
9	Frankston	4	2	2	50%	88.8	84.2	+4.5
10	NW Tasmania	4	2	2	50%	87.8	90.8	-3.0
11	Bendigo Braves	4	2	2	50%	83.5	89.8	-6.2
12	Kilsyth	5	2	3	40%	81.8	82.6	-0.8
13	Keilor Thunder	5	2	3	40%	86.8	92.8	-6.0
14	Eltham	3	1	2	33%	82.0	81.0	+1.0
15	Dandenong	4	1	3	25%	90.8	97.2	-6.5
16	Nunawading	4	1	3	25%	82.8	90.2	-7.5
17	Geelong	4	1	3	25%	83.2	91.8	-8.5
18	Diamond Valley	5	1	4	20%	79.4	94.6	-15.2
19	Sandringham Sabres	4	0	4	0%	72.2	93.0	-20.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers	16	20	19	34	89
Dandenong	15	24	21	21	81

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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