Melbourne United will host South East Melbourne on 14 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model favouring the home side at 71% to win over 29%. Melbourne United is 7-6 for the season, averaging 98.0 points and conceding 91.7, and sits third in the league; at home they are 3-3, 99.7 points for and 92.7 against. Their last five games include a 120-92 win over Brisbane, a 94-74 win over New Zealand, and a 93-101 loss to Adelaide away. South East Melbourne is 4-8 overall, 98.2 points for and 97.8 against, and 1-4 on the road, 96.6 points for and 98.4 against; their last five contain two wins and three losses, with recent defeats to Illawarra, Sydney and Tasmania. Historically the teams have met ten times, Melbourne winning seven; the most recent encounter on 10 October saw Melbourne triumph 104-99. The Pythia projection puts the score at 102-96 for a total of 198.6 points, with Melbourne covering the -7.5 line 46% of the time and the over on the 197.5 total 52%. An overtime chance is 5%. The game will hinge on whether Melbourne can maintain its higher defensive average against South East's recent struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 98.0 | 91.7 | 189.7 | +6.3 | 54% |
| Season at home (6) | 99.7 | 92.7 | 192.3 | +7.0 | 50% |
| Season away (7) | 96.6 | 90.9 | 187.4 | +5.7 | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 101.1 | 95.0 | 196.1 | +6.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 105.0 | 91.8 | 196.8 | +13.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 90.0 | 94.5 | 184.5 | -4.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 84.8 | 87.5 | 172.3 | -2.7 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 93.2 | 88.0 | 181.2 | +5.1 | 55% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 98.2 | 97.8 | 195.9 | +0.4 | 33% |
| Season at home (7) | 99.3 | 97.3 | 196.6 | +2.0 | 43% |
| Season away (5) | 96.6 | 98.4 | 195.0 | -1.8 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 98.7 | 99.8 | 198.5 | -1.1 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 104.2 | 101.0 | 205.2 | +3.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 93.0 | 103.6 | 196.6 | -10.6 | 14% |
| vs Similar (8) | 100.4 | 93.1 | 193.5 | +7.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 108.1 | 99.4 | 207.5 | +8.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.4 | 45.6 | 92.0 | +0.8 | 50% | 17% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 47.2 | 44.2 | 91.4 | +3.0 | 62% | 12% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 45.4 | 47.2 | 92.6 | -1.8 | 36% | 21% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.5 | 49.1 | 97.6 | -0.6 | 50% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.4 | 50.2 | 99.6 | -0.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 49.0 | 50.5 | 99.5 | -1.5 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Similar (6) | 45.5 | 45.0 | 90.5 | +0.5 | 50% | 17% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 46.4 | 45.3 | 91.7 | +1.0 | 50% | 14% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 52.1 | 50.8 | 102.9 | +1.3 | 43% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 55.4 | 52.3 | 107.7 | +3.1 | 53% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 48.8 | 49.3 | 98.1 | -0.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 52.6 | 51.4 | 104.0 | +1.2 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 55.6 | 55.8 | 111.4 | -0.2 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 49.0 | 50.6 | 99.6 | -1.6 | 29% | 43% |
| vs Similar (8) | 54.5 | 48.5 | 103.0 | +6.0 | 62% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 52.3 | 52.1 | 104.4 | +0.1 | 40% | 47% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne United under 110.5 | 78.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Under 208.5 | 73.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +15.5 | 79.5% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 83.5 | 96.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Melbourne United under 108.5 | 72.6% | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 91.5 | 85.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 81.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 85.5 | 95.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 88.5 | 76.7% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 82.5 | 97.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 87.5 | 92.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 84.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 89.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Under 207.5 | 71.1% | 1.44 | 1.45 | 1.44 | 1.42 | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 107.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +17.5 | 84.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 105.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 93.5 | 80.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 86.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Over 172.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Under 214.5 | 83.2% | 1.21 | 1.21 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +15 | 78.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 103.5 | 76.2% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 88.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 79.5 | 94.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 101.5 | 70.1% | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 90.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | 1.44 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Under 219.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 92.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 90.5 | 87.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +22.5 | 91.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Melbourne United under 109.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Over 177.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 85.5 | 84.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +14.5 | 76.9% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Under 207 | 70.5% | 1.44 | 1.46 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 81.5 | 92.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 95.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 80.5 | 93.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +13.5 | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +13.5 | 74.2% | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Over 182.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Under 209.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 83.5 | 88.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +12.5 | 71.3% | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Over 174.5 | 92.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +18.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +21.5 | 90.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +16.5 | 81.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 82.5 | 90.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +12.5 | 94.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 94.5 | 77.9% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Over 187.5 | 74.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 84.5 | 86.9% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +17.5 | 97.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 87.5 | 79.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 86.5 | 82.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Under 217.5 | 87.0% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 108.5 | 87.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +8.5 | 89.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 106.5 | 83.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +14 | 76.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Over 179.5 | 87.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +13 | 73.4% | 1.34 | 1.35 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 104.5 | 78.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Under 212.5 | 80.2% | 1.21 | 1.21 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne over 89.5 | 73.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne +12 | 70.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Melbourne United over 96.5 | 71.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| South East Melbourne under 102.5 | 73.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +1.5 | 73.2% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.23 | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Over 184.5 | 79.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +1 | 72.5% | 1.28 | 1.32 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Melbourne United -1 | 70.1% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +3.5 | 78.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +7.5 | 87.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Melbourne United +2.5 | 76.5% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.20 | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Over 189.5 | 70.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Melbourne United win | 70.9% | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.34 | -0.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 46.0 | 26.1 | 56.4% | 52.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.7 | 8.3 | 34.2% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.2 | 19.6 | 74.0% | 19.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.4 | 22.6 | 56.4% | 45.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 37.5 | 11.6 | 34.2% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.0 | 16.7 | 74.0% | 16.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/10/26 | South East Melbourne v Melbourne United | 99-104 |
| 24/09/26 | South East Melbourne v Melbourne United | 61-86 |
| 19/02/26 | Melbourne United v South East Melbourne | 95-91 |
| 07/12/25 | South East Melbourne v Melbourne United | 111-86 |
| 08/11/25 | South East Melbourne v Melbourne United | 81-92 |
| 25/09/25 | Melbourne United v South East Melbourne | 103-83 |
| 08/02/25 | Melbourne United v South East Melbourne | 103-93 |
| 15/12/24 | South East Melbourne v Melbourne United | 109-97 |
| 20/10/24 | Melbourne United v South East Melbourne | 84-93 |
| 26/09/24 | South East Melbourne v Melbourne United | 84-96 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Adelaide | 93-101 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Brisbane Bullets | 120-92 |
| 02/11/26 | H | New Zealand Breakers | 94-74 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Cairns Taipans | 113-97 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Sydney | 105-95 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Perth | 102-103 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 89-91 |
| 10/10/26 | A | South East Melbourne | 104-99 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Adelaide | 96-91 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Cairns Taipans | 95-107 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 110-120 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Sydney | 99-110 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Tasmania JackJumpers | 89-98 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Adelaide | 108-94 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Cairns Taipans | 115-83 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Brisbane Bullets | 105-115 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Melbourne United | 99-104 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 113-96 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Perth | 88-92 |
| 24/09/26 | H | Melbourne United | 61-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 54% |
| Home | LLWWW | 50% |
| Away | WWLWL | 57% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 6 | 7 |
| Win % | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Points / game | 98.0 | 99.7 | 96.6 |
| Allowed / game | 91.7 | 92.7 | 90.9 |
| Point differential | +6.3 | +7.0 | +5.7 |
| Avg total | 189.7 | 192.3 | 187.4 |
| Over 201.5 | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (6) | 0% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLL | 33% |
| Home | LWWLL | 43% |
| Away | WLLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 7 | 5 |
| Win % | 33% | 43% | 20% |
| Points / game | 98.2 | 99.3 | 96.6 |
| Allowed / game | 97.8 | 97.3 | 98.4 |
| Point differential | +0.4 | +2.0 | -1.8 |
| Avg total | 195.9 | 196.6 | 195.0 |
| Over 201.5 | 50% | 57% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 43% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (3) | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 97.6 | 88.7 | +8.9 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 93.9 | 90.2 | +3.7 | |
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 92.4 | 95.9 | -3.6 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 98.0 | 91.7 | +6.3 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 92.9 | 92.5 | +0.5 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 94.4 | 97.6 | -3.2 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 94.5 | 98.8 | -4.3 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 89.8 | 89.9 | -0.2 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 97.3 | 104.3 | -7.0 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.2 | 97.8 | +0.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 34 | 23 | 15 | 102 | |
| 22 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 95 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.