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South East Melbourne vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 108-94
42-25 30-18 14-29 22-22
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game93.9
South East Melbourne 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide
Australia
Position#4
Record4-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game90.8
AustraliaNBLRound 6· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Adelaide
21 Jan 2027
SOUT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
SOUT108
ADEL94
14 Mar 2026
SOUT101
ADEL92
22 Nov 2025
SOUT81
ADEL94
16 Feb 2025
SOUT85
ADEL75
02 Feb 2025
SOUT105
ADEL99
21 Dec 2024
SOUT106
ADEL86
17 Jan 2024
SOUT85
ADEL110
11 Dec 2022
SOUT102
ADEL84
30 Oct 2022
SOUT103
ADEL98
22 Apr 2022
SOUT94
ADEL91
17 Apr 2021
SOUT81
ADEL90
20 Mar 2021
SOUT96
ADEL89
18 Nov 2019
SOUT91
ADEL103
27 Oct 2019
SOUT101
ADEL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
101-92
101
92
+9
88avg 89
H14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
96-108
96
108
-12
78avg 89
A17/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
100-79
100
79
+21
96avg 89
A19/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 89
A21/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
61-86
61
86
-25
38avg 89
H24/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 89
A02/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
113-96
113
96
+17
106avg 89
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
99-104
99
104
-5
84avg 89
H10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
105-115
105
115
-10
92avg 89
A15/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
115-83
115
83
+32
108avg 89
H17/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
25-27
39-20
18-15
17-28
28-31
19-24
32-25
19-24
30-13
16-25
35-17
24-15
28-23
22-36
17-22
14-16
21-29
22-24
4-17
24-26
22-22
21-22
21-22
23-23
36-18
26-32
28-23
30-17
23-28
21-29
25-30
24-30
31-26
29-34
21-25
27-35
35-19
27-9
26-20
192.0Avg total
96.9Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.593.9190.4+2.638%
Season at home (4)97.092.2189.2+4.850%
Season away (4)96.095.5191.5+0.525%
Last 10 (10)96.995.1192.0+1.840%
Last 5 (5)104.098.0202.0+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.0105.2198.2-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (6)93.394.8188.2-1.533%
vs Weaker (20)104.793.6198.3+11.170%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 86
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
94avg 86
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
97-95
97
95
+2
93avg 86
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 86
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
74avg 86
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
92-114
92
114
-22
87avg 86
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
61avg 86
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 86
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 86
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 86
A16/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
24-29
26-21
20-17
31-29
24-27
21-13
19-26
25-23
24-25
26-22
22-25
20-30
28-18
29-22
20-28
32-17
20-17
15-17
16-18
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
183.3Avg total
90.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.890.8179.5-2.050%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (5)92.894.6187.4-1.860%
Last 10 (10)90.393.0183.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)86.692.8179.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)91.797.0188.7-5.350%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.891.3181.1-1.644%
vs Weaker (5)95.688.6184.2+7.060%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
South East MelbourneAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A17/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A19/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A21/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A02/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A15/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H17/10
NBL
98.0Avg total
50.0Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.749.099.7+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.249.7103.9+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)47.148.395.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)50.048.098.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)55.048.8103.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.251.2101.5-1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)47.547.394.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (20)51.749.0100.8+2.750%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
93.7Avg total
44.6Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.048.293.2-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.647.492.0-2.936%-
Last 30 away (16)45.448.894.2-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.193.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.250.489.6-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)46.549.896.3-3.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.145.988.0-3.833%-
vs Weaker (5)45.647.092.6-1.460%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.8
54.5%
56.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.011.6
30.5%
34.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
74.0%16.3
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.5
55.3%
56.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.3
31.7%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
74.0%15.8
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
WLLWLLLWLW
Adelaide
WWLLLWLWLW
#8
League position
#4
+3.7
Net rating
-2.7
100.6
Offensive rating
99.8
96.9
Defensive rating
102.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
10.8%
Turnover %
10.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.5%
3-point %
31.7%
56.4%
Assist %
70.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 99.8Defence96.9 · 102.4Shooting50.4% · 51.8%3-point %30.5% · 31.7%Ball care10.8% · 10.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
South East Melbourne wins
4
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
17/03/26Adelaide v South East Melbourne108-96
14/03/26South East Melbourne v Adelaide101-92
10/03/26Adelaide v South East Melbourne104-97
31/01/26Adelaide v South East Melbourne77-97
18/01/26Adelaide v South East Melbourne89-108
22/11/25South East Melbourne v Adelaide81-94
16/10/25Adelaide v South East Melbourne88-71
16/02/25South East Melbourne v Adelaide85-75
02/02/25South East Melbourne v Adelaide105-99
21/12/24South East Melbourne v Adelaide106-86
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HCairns Taipans115-83
15/10/26ABrisbane Bullets105-115
10/10/26HMelbourne United99-104
04/10/26HIllawarra Hawks113-96
02/10/26APerth88-92
24/09/26HMelbourne United61-86
21/09/26ATasmania JackJumpers91-96
19/09/26APerth100-79
17/03/26AAdelaide96-108
14/03/26HAdelaide101-92
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
27/09/26HCairns Taipans83-69
24/09/26APerth97-98
19/09/26AMelbourne United97-95
05/04/26ASydney101-113 OT
01/04/26HSydney92-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game96.597.096.0
Allowed / game93.992.295.5
Point differential+2.6+4.8+0.5
Avg total190.4189.2191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%33%60%
Points / game88.882.092.8
Allowed / game90.884.394.6
Point differential-2.0-2.3-1.8
Avg total179.5166.3187.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers86275%98.893.5+5.2
2 Sydney75271%102.088.1+13.9
3 Perth75271%92.995.1-2.3
4 New Zealand Breakers84450%92.189.0+3.1
5 Brisbane Bullets84450%94.696.4-1.8
6 Adelaide84450%88.890.8-2.0
7 Cairns Taipans84450%90.597.5-7.0
8 South East Melbourne83538%96.593.9+2.6
9 Melbourne United83538%93.691.6+2.0
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South East Melbourne42301422108
Adelaide2518292294
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