PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 105-95
32-31 24-20 21-13 28-31
Position#3
Record3-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game91.6
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
vs
Sydney
Australia
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game88.1
AustraliaNBLRound 6· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney
25 Oct 2026
MELB105
SYDN95
14 Dec 2025
MELB86
SYDN92
03 Nov 2025
MELB92
SYDN95
01 Dec 2024
MELB101
SYDN98
31 Oct 2024
MELB87
SYDN83
19 Nov 2023
MELB105
SYDN93
23 Oct 2022
MELB69
SYDN87
09 Oct 2022
MELB71
SYDN91
16 Dec 2021
MELB89
SYDN47
02 May 2021
MELB103
SYDN78
27 Feb 2021
MELB83
SYDN80
02 Mar 2020
MELB125
SYDN80
14 Dec 2019
MELB81
SYDN104
04 Nov 2019
MELB107
SYDN104
28 Feb 2019
MELB95
SYDN73
24 Nov 2018
MELB84
SYDN82
05 Nov 2018
MELB77
SYDN70
11 Dec 2017
MELB95
SYDN69
11 Nov 2017
MELB108
SYDN90
26 Nov 2016
MELB95
SYDN92
12 Nov 2016
MELB71
SYDN87
16 Dec 2015
MELB81
SYDN96
01 Nov 2015
MELB96
SYDN82
22 Feb 2015
MELB95
SYDN92
21 Dec 2014
MELB105
SYDN101
09 Mar 2014
MELB92
SYDN82
01 Dec 2013
MELB63
SYDN67
06 Jan 2013
MELB74
SYDN71
18 Nov 2012
MELB67
SYDN72
25 Nov 2011
MELB80
SYDN89
07 Oct 2011
MELB82
SYDN76
26 Jan 2011
MELB67
SYDN85
15 Oct 2010
MELB68
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 80
H05/03
NBL
Perth
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
54avg 80
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
85avg 80
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
86-61
86
61
+25
78avg 80
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 80
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
L
95-107
95
107
-12
82avg 80
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#4
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 80
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 80
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 80
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
102-103
102
103
-1
96avg 80
A23/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
25-14
16-24
26-13
19-22
34-22
10-23
14-28
23-25
25-24
22-26
25-22
16-14
29-21
24-22
17-4
14-23
21-29
19-16
28-16
14-18
32-29
35-25
14-35
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
26-25
22-21
31-31
23-26
180.4Avg total
90.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.691.6185.2+2.038%
Season at home (3)93.098.3191.3-5.30%
Season away (5)94.087.6181.6+6.460%
Last 10 (10)90.889.6180.4+1.240%
Last 5 (5)97.298.2195.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.094.5184.5-4.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.393.1179.4-6.833%
vs Weaker (19)91.388.2179.5+3.253%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
106-93
106
93
+13
104avg 96
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
90avg 96
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
113-101 OT
113
101
+12
101avg 96
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
111-90
111
90
+21
106avg 96
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
121-100
121
100
+21
118avg 96
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 96
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 96
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
101-102
101
102
-1
92avg 96
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
102-81
102
81
+21
96avg 96
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
108-82
108
82
+26
109avg 96
A22/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
28-22
21-17
33-23
24-22
29-24
21-26
17-20
29-31
27-24
13-21
26-19
32-26
27-27
31-20
21-17
31-27
34-18
33-26
23-29
23-34
20-10
29-14
21-20
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
29-31
32-20
12-24
28-27
31-21
21-22
24-20
26-18
20-19
28-17
34-16
26-30
192.7Avg total
102.4Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)102.088.1190.1+13.971%
Season at home (6)101.089.2190.2+11.867%
Season away (1)108.082.0190.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)102.490.3192.7+12.170%
Last 5 (5)96.485.4181.8+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)104.188.4192.5+15.880%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
Melbourne UnitedSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#4
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
NBL
91.0Avg total
45.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.346.492.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.144.090.1+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)46.448.494.9-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)45.945.191.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.648.095.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.849.093.8-4.233%-
vs Weaker (19)46.744.791.4+2.053%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/10
NBL
100.0Avg total
53.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.644.798.3+8.983%-
Last 30 at home (20)55.345.0100.3+10.390%-
Last 30 away (10)50.344.194.4+6.270%-
Last 10 (10)53.346.7100.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.643.092.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)53.644.798.3+8.983%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.624.5
56.2%
56.4%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.9
28.9%
34.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.318.1
74.5%
74.0%18.1
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.626.6
59.6%
56.4%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.8
36.5%
34.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.5
73.1%
74.0%15.5
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
LLWWLLWLLW
Sydney
WWLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#2
+1.3
Net rating
+12.3
95.4
Offensive rating
108.7
94.2
Defensive rating
96.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
57.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
10.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.9%
3-point %
36.5%
56.2%
Assist %
61.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 108.7Defence94.2 · 96.4Shooting51.3% · 57.7%3-point %28.9% · 36.5%Ball care13.7% · 10.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Melbourne United wins
4
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Sydney v Melbourne United97-94
14/12/25Melbourne United v Sydney86-92 OT
03/11/25Melbourne United v Sydney92-95
08/10/25Sydney v Melbourne United93-107
09/01/25Sydney v Melbourne United88-90
01/12/24Melbourne United v Sydney101-98
31/10/24Melbourne United v Sydney87-83
28/01/24Sydney v Melbourne United98-86
04/01/24Sydney v Melbourne United85-101
19/11/23Melbourne United v Sydney105-93
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26APerth102-103
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
03/10/26HCairns Taipans95-107
01/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers82-84
24/09/26ASouth East Melbourne86-61
19/09/26HAdelaide95-97
07/03/26APerth77-95
05/03/26HTasmania JackJumpers82-68
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26AIllawarra Hawks108-82
17/10/26HPerth102-81
14/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers101-102
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84
30/09/26HBrisbane Bullets93-78
27/09/26HIllawarra Hawks121-100
20/09/26HCairns Taipans111-90
05/04/26HAdelaide113-101 OT
01/04/26AAdelaide91-92
29/03/26HAdelaide106-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%0%60%
Points / game93.693.094.0
Allowed / game91.698.387.6
Point differential+2.0-5.3+6.4
Avg total185.2191.3181.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game102.0101.0108.0
Allowed / game88.189.282.0
Point differential+13.9+11.8+26.0
Avg total190.1190.2190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers86275%98.893.5+5.2
2 Sydney75271%102.088.1+13.9
3 Perth75271%92.995.1-2.3
4 Cairns Taipans95456%90.096.0-6.0
5 Brisbane Bullets84450%94.696.4-1.8
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 New Zealand Breakers94544%91.288.7+2.6
8 Adelaide94544%89.392.7-3.3
9 Melbourne United83538%93.691.6+2.0
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United32242128105
Sydney3120133195
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.