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Melilla vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 80-81
23-18 22-26 14-21 21-16
Position#16
Record9-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#9
Record16-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 26
Other2023-24
Meetings · Melilla v Real Valladolid
22 Mar 2024
MELI80
REAL81
20 Nov 2022
MELI80
REAL75
25 Mar 2022
MELI60
REAL79
28 Feb 2021
MELI77
REAL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Valladolid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelilla
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
68avg 69
H07/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
68avg 69
A12/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
67-81
67
81
-14
60avg 69
H19/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
68avg 69
A03/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
84-81
84
81
+3
86avg 69
H09/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
66-90
66
90
-24
61avg 69
A16/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
95-79
95
79
+16
100avg 69
H03/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
70-86
70
86
-16
63avg 69
A08/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
71-84
71
84
-13
62avg 69
H13/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
72-99
72
99
-27
59avg 69
A16/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
12-19
23-24
28-30
17-24
26-26
18-20
21-27
27-12
13-16
10-32
17-21
25-27
13-17
25-24
11-25
21-28
25-23
23-23
15-7
20-24
14-15
15-17
17-34
24-20
23-21
28-18
20-20
14-23
16-26
18-22
22-15
15-20
20-17
15-21
21-26
15-26
22-20
17-24
18-29
164.6Avg total
76.3Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.981.3156.2-6.436%
Season at home (12)77.881.3159.2-3.533%
Season away (13)72.281.3153.5-9.238%
Last 10 (10)76.388.3164.6-12.020%
Last 5 (5)74.887.6162.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.189.4165.5-13.218%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.377.1155.4+1.260%
vs Weaker (3)78.377.0155.3+1.367%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
87-72
87
72
+15
77avg 68
H06/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
77-99
77
99
-22
68avg 68
A12/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
55avg 68
H20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
67avg 68
A04/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
99-72
99
72
+27
93avg 68
H10/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 68
H17/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 68
A01/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
74avg 68
H08/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
57-76
57
76
-19
50avg 68
A12/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 68
H16/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-19
23-19
18-16
21-35
16-18
17-16
23-30
19-20
14-16
12-24
24-24
18-14
23-20
18-25
22-25
19-15
19-17
29-15
32-25
26-18
26-17
16-18
16-26
18-14
18-22
21-25
27-19
21-19
29-16
16-13
20-24
13-19
9-25
22-19
13-13
22-24
22-19
15-12
22-16
159.4Avg total
80.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.578.4158.0+1.164%
Season at home (13)81.275.3156.5+5.877%
Season away (12)77.881.8159.6-4.150%
Last 10 (10)80.578.9159.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)78.475.6154.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.282.3159.5-5.145%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.077.5155.5+0.567%
vs Weaker (4)87.273.0160.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
MelillaReal Valladolid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H07/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H19/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H09/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A16/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A08/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H13/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/03
Primera FEB
80.5Avg total
38.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.779.9-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.041.180.1-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)37.442.379.8-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.480.5-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.479.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.644.981.5-8.36%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.236.376.5+3.960%-
vs Weaker (3)40.342.082.3-1.767%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A12/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H17/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A01/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H08/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A12/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H16/03
Primera FEB
78.4Avg total
39.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.179.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.179.5+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.178.9-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.578.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.739.079.7+1.755%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.239.978.1-1.740%-
vs Weaker (4)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Melilla wins
4
Real Valladolid wins
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ASan Pablo Burgos72-99
13/03/24HEstela71-84
08/03/24AReal Betis70-86
03/03/24HCaceres95-79
16/02/24AAlicante66-90
09/02/24HOviedo84-81
03/02/24AFuenlabrada74-93
19/01/24HOurense67-81
12/01/24ALeyma Coruna82-97
07/01/24HGipuzkoa82-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HOurense81-71
12/03/24AHestia Menorca57-76
08/03/24HClavijo86-72
01/03/24ACastello84-80
17/02/24HEstela84-79
10/02/24HCaceres99-72
04/02/24AGipuzkoa81-84
20/01/24HAlicante69-84
12/01/24AOurense77-99
06/01/24HFuenlabrada87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game74.977.872.2
Allowed / game81.381.381.3
Point differential-6.4-3.5-9.2
Avg total156.2159.2153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%77%50%
Points / game79.581.277.8
Allowed / game78.475.381.8
Point differential+1.1+5.8-4.1
Avg total158.0156.5159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2519676%89.882.0+7.7
2 San Pablo Burgos2518772%87.076.8+10.2
3 Tizona Burgos2518772%89.781.5+8.2
4 Estudiantes2518772%84.076.0+8.0
5 Gipuzkoa2518772%82.475.7+6.7
6 Alicante2517868%80.274.6+5.5
7 Forca Lleida2517868%80.576.3+4.2
8 Real Valladolid2516964%79.578.4+1.1
9 Real Betis25111444%80.878.6+2.2
10 Ourense25111444%72.678.6-6.0
11 Oviedo25101540%79.280.4-1.3
12 Fuenlabrada2591636%76.879.7-2.9
13 Estela2591636%77.681.3-3.7
14 Hestia Menorca2591636%70.274.4-4.2
15 Melilla2591636%74.981.3-6.4
16 Castello2561924%78.186.8-8.8
17 Caceres2561924%73.883.2-9.5
18 Clavijo2542116%67.378.3-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla2322142180
Real Valladolid1826211681
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