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VMI vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-63
35-29 35-34
Position#365
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game80.6
VMI 🏆
USA
vs
Position#311
Record8-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · VMI v Citadel
16 Jan 2027
VMI v CITA
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
VMI68
CITA82
07 Mar 2025
VMI73
CITA62
08 Feb 2025
VMI82
CITA70
20 Jan 2024
VMI70
CITA63
21 Jan 2023
VMI52
CITA60
12 Feb 2022
VMI79
CITA83
16 Jan 2021
VMI110
CITA103
18 Jan 2020
VMI88
CITA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#232
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H02/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A13/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A17/12
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#405
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
61-109
61
109
-48
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
96-134
96
134
-38
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
60-100
60
100
-40
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
39-39
30-36
39-41
30-39
26-34
26-29
23-39
37-27
45-38
37-33
40-44
28-48
36-38
30-52
31-57
54-72
42-62
26-41
34-59
156.7Avg total
69.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.680.6151.2-10.117%
Season at home (7)76.174.1150.3+2.043%
Season away (11)67.084.7151.7-17.70%
Last 10 (10)69.387.4156.7-18.110%
Last 5 (5)73.2103.2176.4-30.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)65.783.2148.9-17.54%
vs Similar (2)63.564.5128.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (1)100.063.0163.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A02/12
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A19/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H30/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H04/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H06/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H13/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
45-32
43-21
45-39
32-44
39-42
32-29
33-16
56-31
50-45
28-40
43-40
25-31
39-49
36-44
32-38
30-40
41-32
29-38
38-35
147.8Avg total
75.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.968.8140.7+3.244%
Season at home (10)75.867.6143.4+8.260%
Season away (8)67.170.2137.4-3.125%
Last 10 (10)75.672.2147.8+3.440%
Last 5 (5)68.277.4145.6-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.974.6139.5-9.718%
vs Similar (8)66.967.5134.4-0.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.463.0150.4+24.4100%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -9.6-9.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -9.6-9.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
VMICitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#232
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#405
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H17/01
NCAA
74.3Avg total
33.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.638.068.6-7.520%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.534.865.4-4.338%-
Last 30 away (17)30.640.571.1-9.96%-
Last 10 (10)33.041.374.3-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.049.284.2-14.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)29.040.369.3-11.38%-
vs Similar (2)29.528.558.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)53.031.084.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H30/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H13/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/01
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.934.065.9-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.133.467.5+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)29.534.664.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.470.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.638.668.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.035.664.6-6.66%-
vs Similar (8)31.433.965.2-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.828.871.6+14.0100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
VMI wins
3
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Citadel v VMI69-75
21/01/23VMI v Citadel52-60
12/02/22VMI v Citadel79-83
15/01/22Citadel v VMI85-90
20/02/21Citadel v VMI75-74
16/01/21VMI v Citadel110-103
08/02/20Citadel v VMI64-75
18/01/20VMI v Citadel88-79
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HFurman60-100
13/01/24ASamford96-134
12/01/24AChattanooga Mocs61-109
06/01/24HMercer64-86
04/01/24AWofford85-87 OT
22/12/23HPenn State-New Kensington82-65
17/12/23ALongwood49-68
13/12/23ARadford56-73
09/12/23HAmerican University69-77
02/12/23HPresbyterian71-75
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24ANC Greensboro67-73
13/01/24HWofford71-72
11/01/24AFurman68-82
06/01/24HSamford64-80
04/01/24HWestern Carolina71-80
30/12/23HToccoa Falls106-76
19/12/23ANotre Dame65-45
15/12/23ACharleston71-86
06/12/23HPfeiffer Falcons88-60
02/12/23AN. Carolina A&T85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %17%43%0%
Points / game70.676.167.0
Allowed / game80.674.184.7
Point differential-10.1+2.0-17.7
Avg total151.2150.3151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game71.975.867.1
Allowed / game68.867.670.2
Point differential+3.2+8.2-3.1
Avg total140.7143.4137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1816289%90.675.0+15.6
2 Western Carolina1815383%76.066.0+10.0
3 NC Greensboro1813572%76.868.5+8.3
4 Chattanooga Mocs1811761%78.370.3+8.0
5 Wofford1811761%78.675.5+3.1
6 Furman189950%82.877.5+5.3
7 East Tennessee St189950%71.469.8+1.6
8 Citadel1881044%71.968.8+3.2
9 Mercer1881044%69.470.5-1.1
10 VMI1831517%70.680.6-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI353570
Citadel293463
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