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Merrimack Warriors vs Vermont Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 27 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#236
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#194
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Vermont
10 Dec 2026
MERR v VERM
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
MERR v VERM
upcoming
09 Nov 2024
MERR65
VERM51
04 Dec 2022
MERR43
VERM66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#182
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
32-35
32-29
30-38
30-28
43-38
39-25
31-23
30-28
28-29
30-33
24-31
43-21
20-28
26-38
35-33
30-26
43-34
26-43
28-40
130.7Avg total
65.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.865.8128.5-3.050%
Season at home (2)62.060.0122.0+2.050%
Season away (2)63.571.5135.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)65.665.1130.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)61.065.4126.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
vs Similar (18)69.562.9132.4+6.678%
vs Weaker (9)70.762.6133.2+8.189%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H07/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H10/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A14/03
NCAA
Iona
#267
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#246
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A06/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#270
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#472
W
104-59
104
59
+45
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
40-34
34-30
32-34
31-26
38-30
38-27
39-30
26-18
37-36
28-30
31-44
29-21
26-35
38-25
41-42
40-37
36-42
57-32
47-27
134.8Avg total
71.8Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.565.2143.8+13.250%
Season at home (2)90.069.0159.0+21.050%
Season away (2)67.061.5128.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)71.863.0134.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)74.667.0141.6+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.870.2135.0-5.525%
vs Similar (2)74.564.0138.5+10.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)70.865.6136.4+5.365%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
Merrimack WarriorsVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#182
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.763.5+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.565.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.730.061.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.462.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.734.065.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (18)33.328.962.2+4.472%-
vs Weaker (9)35.330.065.3+5.389%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H10/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Iona
#267
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A03/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#246
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A06/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#270
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#472
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H14/11
NCAA
62.7Avg total
35.1Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.130.263.3+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.129.564.6+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)30.731.061.7-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)35.127.662.7+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.429.067.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.533.061.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (2)35.524.059.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)32.630.262.8+2.465%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
3
Vermont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFlorida54-83
08/11/26AAlbany Great Danes73-60
06/11/26HUMass Lowell61-71
02/11/26HAppalachian State63-49
11/03/26HSiena54-64
08/03/26HMarist58-57
06/03/26HSacred Heart70-48
01/03/26ANiagara73-66
28/02/26ACanisius62-67
22/02/26HIona88-86 OT
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPlattsburgh104-59
08/11/26HQuinnipiac76-79
06/11/26AFairfield79-67
03/11/26AIona55-56
14/03/26AUMBC Retrievers59-74
10/03/26HNJIT63-54
07/03/26HBryant University77-57
04/03/26HAlbany Great Danes69-56
27/02/26HUMass Lowell66-64
22/02/26ANJIT70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game62.862.063.5
Allowed / game65.860.071.5
Point differential-3.0+2.0-8.0
Avg total128.5122.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.590.067.0
Allowed / game65.269.061.5
Point differential+13.2+21.0+5.5
Avg total143.8159.0128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara4040%58.579.5-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%79.262.8+16.5
2 Binghamton53260%67.667.4+0.2
3 Vermont42250%78.565.2+13.2
4 UMBC Retrievers52340%70.473.8-3.4
5 Maine Black Bears51420%64.272.0-7.8
6 Bryant University51420%60.271.8-11.6
7 NJIT61517%55.777.3-21.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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