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Mestre vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-87
27-25 21-25 15-19 11-18
Position#13
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game72.5
Mestre
Italy
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game74.5
ItalySerie A2Round 3· Palasport Taliercio
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
82-61
82
61
+21
74avg 66
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 66
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 66
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 66
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 66
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
48avg 66
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 66
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 66
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 66
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 66
H03/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
19-16
28-16
12-12
26-17
18-29
23-32
8-15
14-11
27-20
26-15
19-24
16-22
22-28
21-24
22-21
22-26
24-19
20-24
17-16
11-21
21-29
16-20
20-17
26-17
13-28
19-21
24-24
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
157.6Avg total
76.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.072.5136.5-8.550%
Season at home (1)49.088.0137.0-39.00%
Season away (1)79.057.0136.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.780.9157.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)72.081.0153.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.982.7156.6-8.831%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.877.2157.0+2.754%
vs Weaker (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
99-102
99
102
-3
95avg 76
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
85avg 76
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
103-108
103
108
-5
104avg 76
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
79avg 76
A04/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
87avg 76
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
79-98
79
98
-19
62avg 76
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 76
H03/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 76
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
72-81
72
81
-9
14avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
26-28
23-24
19-27
27-22
16-33
19-24
25-20
22-26
37-26
20-24
24-32
28-20
14-25
24-16
12-19
20-24
22-27
25-12
23-28
18-33
16-19
26-27
19-19
13-14
24-16
15-30
21-20
16-27
15-30
24-15
16-20
18-19
20-12
19-15
13-22
16-28
15-19
20-15
21-19
172.1Avg total
82.2Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.074.5145.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
Season away (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.289.9172.1-7.710%
Last 5 (5)73.083.8156.8-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)83.189.8172.9-6.824%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.386.3170.5-2.027%
vs Weaker (2)71.074.5145.5-3.550%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
MestreSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
82.6Avg total
39.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.480.1-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.779.7-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.442.180.5-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.282.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.482.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.842.579.3-5.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.239.980.1+0.254%-
vs Weaker (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H04/10
Serie A2
88.5Avg total
41.4Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.982.4-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.442.383.7-0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)37.843.581.2-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.447.188.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.477.6-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.843.682.5-4.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.442.583.9-1.245%-
vs Weaker (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.8
47.7%
51.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.2%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.7
72.8%
70.8%14.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
51.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.8
33.8%
34.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
70.8%17.3
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWLLLLLWLW
Sassari
LWLLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#11
-4.2
Net rating
-10.3
90.3
Offensive rating
96.9
94.5
Defensive rating
107.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.2%
3-point %
33.8%
42.3%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 96.9Defence94.5 · 107.2Shooting47.9% · 51.5%3-point %32.2% · 33.8%Ball care12.9% · 15.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Mestre   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Sassari wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
18/04/26HLibertas Livorno82-90
12/04/26AVerona68-87
08/04/26HAvellino Basket83-85
05/04/26ARimini81-95
28/03/26HBrindisi86-70
21/03/26HPesaro75-93
07/03/26ACento82-61
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HMontecatini72-81
27/09/26AUrania Milano70-68
10/05/26ABrescia71-92
03/05/26HVirtus Bologna73-80
19/04/26HVenezia79-98
12/04/26AVarese90-91
04/04/26ACantu78-80
29/03/26HTreviso103-108
22/03/26AOlimpia Milano87-99
15/03/26HReggiana99-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game64.049.079.0
Allowed / game72.588.057.0
Point differential-8.5-39.0+22.0
Avg total136.5137.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.072.070.0
Allowed / game74.581.068.0
Point differential-3.5-9.0+2.0
Avg total145.5153.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
2 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna220100%87.575.5+12.0
4 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
5 Avellino Basket220100%80.070.5+9.5
6 Pesaro220100%91.582.5+9.0
7 Brindisi220100%75.070.0+5.0
8 Rimini21150%78.066.0+12.0
9 Sassari21150%71.074.5-3.5
10 Cividale21150%77.084.0-7.0
11 Basket Torino21150%70.578.0-7.5
12 Montecatini21150%70.078.0-8.0
13 Mestre21150%64.072.5-8.5
14 Urania Milano2020%74.577.0-2.5
15 Pistoia2020%69.573.5-4.0
16 Caserta2020%77.082.0-5.0
17 JuVi Cremona2020%71.576.5-5.0
18 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2020%76.589.0-12.5
20 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2721151174
Sassari2525191887
← all games of the day
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