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Michigan State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-80
44-41 44-39
Position#154
Record14-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game65.0
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#27
Record17-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Illinois
07 Feb 2026
MICH85
ILLI82
19 Jan 2025
MICH80
ILLI78
10 Feb 2024
MICH88
ILLI80
19 Feb 2022
MICH74
ILLI79
23 Feb 2021
MICH81
ILLI72
02 Jan 2020
MICH76
ILLI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-26
41-35
31-46
43-42
34-37
34-34
28-22
45-33
37-32
39-34
44-32
17-27
34-43
32-38
33-35
48-27
31-27
32-27
32-27
24-32
136.6Avg total
71.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.565.0139.5+9.561%
Season at home (17)77.662.4139.9+15.276%
Season away (6)65.872.5138.3-6.717%
Last 10 (10)71.065.6136.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)65.463.0128.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.072.4145.4+0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.271.9145.2+1.347%
vs Weaker (8)83.256.9140.1+26.4100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-29
50-37
32-47
46-36
37-34
34-34
39-37
28-39
37-36
51-37
40-28
46-35
32-34
44-42
38-34
32-28
41-34
46-41
34-36
39-37
156.7Avg total
82.1Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.569.6152.2+12.977%
Season at home (16)82.366.3148.6+16.088%
Season away (6)83.278.5161.7+4.750%
Last 10 (10)82.174.6156.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.775.6150.3-0.943%
vs Weaker (16)83.966.4150.4+17.588%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +5.0+5.0
Michigan StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.330.165.4+5.257%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.526.862.3+8.765%-
Last 30 away (10)34.836.771.5-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.532.768.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.867.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.034.066.0-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.932.967.8+2.053%-
vs Weaker (8)38.121.859.9+16.475%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
37.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.333.769.9+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.531.569.0+6.070%-
Last 30 away (10)33.838.071.8-4.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.972.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.270.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.436.769.1-4.336%-
vs Weaker (16)39.631.070.6+8.688%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan State wins
4
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
12/01/24Illinois v Michigan State71-68
14/01/23Illinois v Michigan State75-66
19/02/22Michigan State v Illinois74-79
26/01/22Illinois v Michigan State56-55
24/02/21Michigan State v Illinois81-72
12/02/20Illinois v Michigan State69-70
03/01/20Michigan State v Illinois76-56
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AMinnesota56-59
03/02/24HMaryland63-54
31/01/24HMichigan81-62
27/01/24AWisconsin66-81
21/01/24AMaryland61-59
18/01/24HMinnesota76-66
14/01/24HRutgers73-55
12/01/24AIllinois68-71
08/01/24ANorthwestern74-88
05/01/24HPenn State92-61
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HNebraska87-84 OT
31/01/24AOhio State87-75
27/01/24HIndiana70-62
25/01/24ANorthwestern91-96 OT
21/01/24HRutgers86-63
19/01/24AMichigan88-73
14/01/24HMaryland67-76
12/01/24HMichigan State71-68
06/01/24APurdue78-83
03/01/24HNorthwestern96-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23176
Win %61%76%17%
Points / game74.577.665.8
Allowed / game65.062.472.5
Point differential+9.5+15.2-6.7
Avg total139.5139.9138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22166
Win %77%88%50%
Points / game82.582.383.2
Allowed / game69.666.378.5
Point differential+12.9+16.0+4.7
Avg total152.2148.6161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2321291%85.370.0+15.3
2 Illinois2217577%82.569.6+12.9
3 Northwestern2316770%75.270.0+5.2
4 Oregon2316770%77.973.0+4.9
5 Minnesota2215768%75.767.6+8.0
6 Nebraska2416867%77.271.3+5.9
7 Wisconsin2416867%74.368.4+5.9
8 Michigan State2314961%74.565.0+9.5
9 Indiana2314961%73.674.2-0.7
10 Iowa23131057%84.077.8+6.1
11 Maryland23131057%68.863.0+5.8
12 Ohio State23131057%75.169.8+5.3
13 Rutgers23131057%66.965.0+2.0
14 Washington23121152%81.377.7+3.7
15 Penn State23121152%76.573.5+3.0
16 UCLA23121152%66.464.2+2.2
17 USC2391439%74.774.3+0.3
18 Michigan2381535%76.878.3-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State444488
Illinois413980
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