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Michigan vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 86-61
36-30 50-31
Position#6
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#179
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game59.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A15/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H16/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A22/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A29/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
121-78
121
78
+43
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
H11/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-50
34-29
40-36
46-32
38-34
43-46
21-23
38-30
41-27
27-38
35-39
56-40
29-30
36-48
69-38
52-40
47-34
33-46
33-35
34-28
151.2Avg total
78.5Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Season at home (2)103.081.0184.0+22.0100%
Season away (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.572.7151.2+5.880%
Last 5 (5)85.876.4162.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.274.7141.8-7.533%
vs Similar (15)77.273.1150.3+4.180%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.074.1162.1+13.989%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-28
0-0
44-38
0-0
31-33
0-0
35-33
0-0
37-42
0-0
44-44
0-0
41-20
0-0
37-36
0-0
40-31
0-0
22-31
0-0
35-35
0-0
33-35
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
48-26
0-0
52-25
0-0
54-23
0-0
55-33
0-0
36-28
0-0
41-44
155.6Avg total
84.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.359.7155.0+35.7100%
Season at home (2)104.553.5158.0+51.0100%
Season away (1)77.072.0149.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.071.6155.6+12.470%
Last 5 (5)91.471.6163.0+19.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.876.5145.2-7.825%
vs Similar (15)73.172.3145.5+0.860%
vs Weaker (10)84.963.8148.7+21.1100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +3.9+3.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +3.9+3.9
MichiganMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
21-23
21
23
-2
H16/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H21/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A22/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A29/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
69-38
69
38
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
38.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.835.073.8+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.334.876.1+6.559%-
Last 30 away (13)35.535.270.7+0.462%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.672.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.277.8+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.734.767.3-2.050%-
vs Similar (15)36.634.370.9+2.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.636.382.9+10.278%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
39.7Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.132.869.8+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.131.070.1+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)34.834.869.6+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)39.730.970.6+8.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.075.2+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.837.071.8-2.250%-
vs Similar (15)34.333.267.5+1.153%-
vs Weaker (10)41.129.470.5+11.770%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ATCU67-63
11/11/25HWake Forest85-84 OT
04/11/25HOakland121-78
29/03/25AAuburn65-78
22/03/25ATexas A&M91-79
21/03/25HUC San Diego68-65
16/03/25HWisconsin59-53
15/03/25AMaryland81-80
15/03/25HPurdue86-68
09/03/25AMichigan State62-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56
05/11/25HMilligan100-51
19/03/25HChattanooga Mocs103-109 OT
14/03/25AJacksonville State68-70
14/03/25HLouisiana Tech77-75 OT
08/03/25HFlorida International78-56
07/03/25HLiberty81-86
01/03/25AUTEP76-75 OT
28/02/25ANew Mexico State71-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.0103.067.0
Allowed / game75.081.063.0
Point differential+16.0+22.0+4.0
Avg total166.0184.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.3104.577.0
Allowed / game59.753.572.0
Point differential+35.7+51.0+5.0
Avg total155.0158.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois440100%97.866.8+31.0
2 Wisconsin440100%93.265.0+28.2
3 Indiana440100%92.064.8+27.2
4 USC330100%98.371.3+27.0
5 Iowa440100%89.564.8+24.8
6 Northwestern440100%84.260.2+24.0
7 Nebraska440100%89.067.0+22.0
8 Penn State440100%81.562.8+18.8
9 Purdue440100%88.271.8+16.5
10 Ohio State440100%87.871.5+16.2
11 Michigan330100%91.075.0+16.0
12 Rutgers440100%79.264.0+15.2
13 Michigan State440100%77.865.2+12.5
14 Oregon440100%74.266.5+7.8
15 Minnesota54180%76.062.4+13.6
16 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
17 UCLA54180%76.263.2+13.0
18 Maryland43175%79.069.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville State330100%101.756.3+45.3
2 Middle Tenn. St.330100%95.359.7+35.7
3 Liberty440100%93.561.5+32.0
4 Western Kentucky440100%90.274.5+15.8
5 New Mexico State330100%77.766.0+11.7
6 Kennesaw State43175%99.267.5+31.8
7 Louisiana Tech32167%70.354.3+16.0
8 Missouri State42250%82.070.0+12.0
9 UTEP42250%78.568.0+10.5
10 Florida International42250%88.080.8+7.2
11 Sam Houston St.31233%83.780.7+3.0
12 Delaware41325%70.276.0-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan365086
Middle Tenn. St.303161
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