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Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 127-120
33-28 29-25 32-32 33-35
Position#20
Record29-36
FormLWLLL
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game99.8
vs
Position#24
Record21-41
FormLLWLL
Points / game107.6
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors
20 Dec 2026
MIL v GSW
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
MIL120
GSW110
10 Feb 2025
MIL111
GSW125
13 Jan 2024
MIL129
GSW118
13 Dec 2022
MIL128
GSW111
13 Jan 2022
MIL118
GSW99
25 Dec 2020
MIL138
GSW99
14 Mar 2020
MIL v GSW
upcoming
07 Dec 2018
MIL95
GSW105
12 Jan 2018
MIL94
GSW108
19 Nov 2016
MIL121
GSW124
12 Dec 2015
MIL108
GSW95
28 Mar 2015
MIL95
GSW108
07 Jan 2014
MIL80
GSW101
26 Jan 2013
MIL109
GSW102
13 Nov 2010
MIL79
GSW72
14 Nov 2009
MIL129
GSW125
07 Mar 2009
MIL127
GSW120
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A18/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
104-113
104
113
-9
H19/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
103-111
103
111
-8
H21/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
120-117
120
117
+3
H22/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
96-116
96
116
-20
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
109-93
109
93
+16
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
102-117
102
117
-15
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
21-20
24-24
18-25
22-23
29-26
24-30
29-34
27-25
30-26
25-35
21-25
36-35
33-37
27-24
24-21
23-33
18-32
32-25
23-26
18-29
17-21
26-25
33-20
30-17
25-23
28-30
26-23
21-19
24-20
22-22
28-38
20-22
19-26
19-24
15-19
26-25
26-38
28-22
22-32
202.6Avg total
98.8Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)99.399.8199.1-0.645%
Season at home (30)104.099.2203.2+4.760%
Season away (35)95.3100.4195.7-5.131%
Last 10 (10)98.8103.8202.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)94.699.0193.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)101.0106.6207.6-5.640%
vs Similar ◀ (20)101.9104.2206.1-2.235%
vs Weaker (5)106.6102.2208.8+4.480%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
W
144-127
144
127
+17
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
121-129
121
129
-8
H19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
133-120
133
120
+13
H22/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
L
105-118
105
118
-13
A24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
L
109-112
109
112
-3
H28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
104-112
104
112
-8
H02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
118-94
118
94
+24
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
88-110
88
110
-22
A05/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
91-108
91
108
-17
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-29
24-36
40-30
39-32
32-20
25-26
23-16
25-36
34-30
34-32
26-30
27-37
34-38
36-32
31-24
32-26
27-27
28-33
24-29
26-29
24-25
31-36
31-28
23-23
29-34
27-29
29-24
19-25
36-18
30-19
25-35
27-22
26-20
19-31
17-24
26-35
16-33
24-30
26-22
25-23
224.6Avg total
111.8Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)107.6111.3218.9-3.634%
Season at home (30)113.8110.8224.6+3.050%
Season away (32)101.8111.7213.6-9.919%
Last 10 (10)111.8112.8224.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)102.0107.2209.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)107.9111.8219.6-3.929%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.2109.8222.1+2.454%
vs Weaker (3)115.0115.0230.0+0.033%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
Milwaukee BucksGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A18/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H19/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H22/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A07/03
NBA
100.8Avg total
49.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.652.3103.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.352.8108.1+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)47.351.698.9-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)49.451.4100.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.248.093.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.854.8108.6-1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)50.052.0102.0-2.045%-
vs Weaker (5)55.650.8106.4+4.860%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
D
70-70
70
70
+0
H22/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
66-37
66
37
+29
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A07/03
NBA
115.5Avg total
57.7Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.855.9111.7-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.356.2114.5+2.250%-
Last 30 away (12)52.155.4107.5-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)57.757.8115.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)52.455.0107.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.355.9111.1-0.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.256.4113.5+0.838%-
vs Weaker (3)52.753.7106.3-1.033%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Milwaukee Bucks wins
1
Golden State Warriors wins
DateGameScore
11/12/08Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks119-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/09AChicago Bulls102-117
05/03/09ACleveland Cavaliers73-91
04/03/09HBrooklyn Nets95-99
01/03/09HWashington Wizards109-93
28/02/09ANew Orleans Pelicans94-95
26/02/09ADallas Mavericks96-116
22/02/09HDenver Nuggets120-117
21/02/09HCleveland Cavaliers103-111
19/02/09HChicago Bulls104-113
18/02/09ADetroit Pistons92-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/09ADetroit Pistons91-108
05/03/09AChicago Bulls88-110
04/03/09AMinnesota Timberwolves118-94
02/03/09HUtah Jazz104-112
28/02/09HCharlotte Hornets109-112
24/02/09ALos Angeles Clippers105-118
22/02/09HOklahoma City Thunder133-120
19/02/09HLos Angeles Lakers121-129
13/02/09HPortland Trail Blazers105-98
11/02/09HNew York Knicks144-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLWWL60%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653035
Win %45%60%31%
Points / game99.3104.095.3
Allowed / game99.899.2100.4
Point differential-0.6+4.7-5.1
Avg total199.1203.2195.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)50% (12)43% (7)
Overtime %6%10%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL34%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLWLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %34%50%19%
Points / game107.6113.8101.8
Allowed / game111.3110.8111.7
Point differential-3.6+3.0-9.9
Avg total218.9224.6213.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (17)29% (14)33% (3)
Overtime %8%13%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers62501281%108.7100.4+8.3
2 Cleveland Cavaliers62491379%99.990.5+9.3
3 Boston Celtics63491478%101.792.6+9.1
4 Orlando Magic61451674%102.395.4+6.9
5 San Antonio Spurs61412067%97.593.4+4.0
6 New Orleans Pelicans61392264%96.593.6+3.0
7 Houston Rockets63402363%99.095.1+3.8
8 Denver Nuggets63402363%102.6100.1+2.5
9 Utah Jazz62392363%103.099.0+3.9
10 Portland Trail Blazers61382362%99.095.2+3.8
11 Dallas Mavericks62372560%100.899.5+1.4
12 Atlanta Hawks63352856%98.297.1+1.1
13 Phoenix Suns62342855%107.5105.8+1.6
14 Miami Heat62332953%97.597.7-0.2
15 Detroit Pistons61313051%93.493.9-0.5
16 Philadelphia 76ers60303050%96.896.2+0.6
17 Chicago Bulls63293446%100.9102.0-1.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks65293645%99.399.8-0.6
19 Charlotte Hornets63283544%93.394.5-1.3
20 Brooklyn Nets62273544%98.4100.7-2.3
21 Indiana Pacers64273742%104.8106.5-1.6
22 New York Knicks61253641%106.0108.2-2.1
23 Toronto Raptors63234037%97.5101.2-3.7
24 Golden State Warriors62214134%107.6111.3-3.6
25 Minnesota Timberwolves61184330%98.9103.9-5.0
26 Memphis Grizzlies61164526%93.899.8-6.0
27 Oklahoma City Thunder62164626%98.0103.8-5.8
28 Los Angeles Clippers62154724%94.8103.7-8.9
29 Washington Wizards62144823%94.3102.0-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings62134921%99.2108.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks33293233127
Golden State Warriors28253235120
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