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Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 120-110
34-25 26-33 27-26 33-26
Position#21
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game122.2
Allowed / game116.2
vs
Position#20
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game115.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors
20 Dec 2026
MIL v GSW
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
MIL120
GSW110
10 Feb 2025
MIL111
GSW125
13 Jan 2024
MIL129
GSW118
13 Dec 2022
MIL128
GSW111
13 Jan 2022
MIL118
GSW99
25 Dec 2020
MIL138
GSW99
14 Mar 2020
MIL v GSW
upcoming
07 Dec 2018
MIL95
GSW105
12 Jan 2018
MIL94
GSW108
19 Nov 2016
MIL121
GSW124
12 Dec 2015
MIL108
GSW95
28 Mar 2015
MIL95
GSW108
07 Jan 2014
MIL80
GSW101
26 Jan 2013
MIL109
GSW102
13 Nov 2010
MIL79
GSW72
14 Nov 2009
MIL129
GSW125
07 Mar 2009
MIL127
GSW120
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
140-133 OT
140
133
+7
138avg 108
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
98-117
98
117
-19
81avg 108
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
115-123
115
123
-8
109avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
117-101
117
101
+16
114avg 108
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-129
103
129
-26
88avg 108
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
112avg 108
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
133-120
133
120
+13
128avg 108
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
122-116
122
116
+6
116avg 108
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
106avg 108
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
121-111
121
111
+10
120avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-25
28-30
27-37
25-31
25-33
18-34
33-26
22-24
30-40
30-28
27-31
28-24
26-26
21-31
39-18
31-26
24-30
28-33
32-38
19-28
30-13
17-28
28-34
28-28
40-23
32-30
29-37
32-30
27-19
25-35
34-32
36-30
31-29
25-36
28-21
29-32
27-26
32-45
35-20
27-20
236.7Avg total
118.0Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)122.2116.2238.5+6.075%
Season at home (2)127.0115.5242.5+11.5100%
Season away (2)117.5117.0234.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)118.0118.7236.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)121.4116.8238.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)112.2115.6227.8-3.440%
vs Similar (19)115.5115.7231.3-0.247%
vs Weaker (6)124.2113.7237.8+10.583%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
95avg 105
H13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-121
110
121
-11
94avg 105
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
89-84
89
84
+5
98avg 105
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
79avg 105
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 105
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-109
119
109
+10
119avg 105
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
137-131 OT
137
131
+6
130avg 105
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
119-139
119
139
-20
112avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-118
131
118
+13
133avg 105
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
91avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
32-31
17-39
33-20
23-30
24-32
25-31
38-28
11-19
28-24
30-17
20-24
13-21
33-24
22-24
20-21
22-23
14-25
21-22
22-23
28-22
27-32
35-25
29-30
27-31
34-39
33-24
26-26
28-28
28-41
35-34
28-36
36-37
29-24
36-24
30-33
33-25
13-24
32-14
20-16
216.1Avg total
108.0Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)120.8115.2236.0+5.680%
Season at home (3)122.0109.3231.3+12.7100%
Season away (2)119.0124.0243.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)108.0108.1216.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)120.8115.2236.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)101.7102.7204.3-1.067%
vs Similar (22)107.8108.2216.0-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)125.2103.8229.0+21.480%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Milwaukee BucksGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H29/10
NBA
115.3Avg total
55.9Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.659.3115.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.960.4118.3-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)55.358.1113.4-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)55.959.4115.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)57.256.8114.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)52.061.0113.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (19)56.160.2116.3-4.132%-
vs Weaker (6)61.855.0116.8+6.8100%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H29/10
NBA
107.0Avg total
51.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.952.4105.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.953.4105.3-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)53.951.3105.2+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)51.155.9107.0-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.660.6117.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.353.799.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (22)52.153.2105.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)60.648.0108.6+12.680%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.627.5
56.6%
54.8%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.515.4
40.0%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws23.016.8
73.0%
78.1%16.8
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.1
54.5%
54.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.713.5
35.8%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws26.021.3
81.9%
78.1%21.3
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLLWLLW
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWLLWLL
#21
League position
#20
-0.5
Net rating
+0.5
115.3
Offensive rating
110.6
115.8
Defensive rating
110.1
58.1%
Effective FG%
54.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
13.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.0%
3-point %
35.8%
59.9%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 110.6Defence115.8 · 110.1Shooting58.1% · 54.1%3-point %40.0% · 35.8%Ball care13.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds21.2% · 26.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HNew York Knicks121-111
26/10/25ACleveland Cavaliers113-118
24/10/25AToronto Raptors122-116
23/10/25HWashington Wizards133-120
29/04/25AIndiana Pacers118-119 OT
28/04/25HIndiana Pacers103-129
26/04/25HIndiana Pacers117-101
22/04/25AIndiana Pacers115-123
19/04/25AIndiana Pacers98-117
13/04/25HDetroit Pistons140-133 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HLos Angeles Clippers98-79
28/10/25HMemphis Grizzlies131-118
25/10/25APortland Trail Blazers119-139
24/10/25HDenver Nuggets137-131 OT
22/10/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-109
08/07/25HMiami Heat79-93
06/07/25HSan Antonio Spurs88-90
05/07/25HLos Angeles Lakers89-84
15/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves110-121
13/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves110-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game122.2127.0117.5
Allowed / game116.2115.5117.0
Point differential+6.0+11.5+0.5
Avg total238.5242.5234.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game120.8122.0119.0
Allowed / game115.2109.3124.0
Point differential+5.6+12.7-5.0
Avg total236.0231.3243.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs440100%121.0104.5+16.5
2 Chicago Bulls440100%119.8111.2+8.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder550100%118.2110.8+7.4
4 Philadelphia 76ers440100%129.2123.8+5.5
5 Golden State Warriors54180%120.8115.2+5.6
6 Denver Nuggets43175%128.2112.5+15.8
7 Miami Heat43175%131.5115.8+15.8
8 Milwaukee Bucks43175%122.2116.2+6.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers53260%123.6118.6+5.0
10 Cleveland Cavaliers53260%116.2115.2+1.0
11 Detroit Pistons53260%115.0114.2+0.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers53260%117.6117.2+0.4
13 Memphis Grizzlies53260%120.4123.0-2.6
14 Houston Rockets42250%127.8117.5+10.2
15 Utah Jazz42250%126.2120.8+5.5
16 New York Knicks42250%110.5110.5+0.0
17 Los Angeles Clippers42250%107.5109.0-1.5
18 Boston Celtics52340%114.2107.2+7.0
19 Charlotte Hornets52340%124.0124.4-0.4
20 Minnesota Timberwolves52340%114.2119.0-4.8
21 Atlanta Hawks52340%113.8120.4-6.6
22 Dallas Mavericks52340%107.8115.4-7.6
23 Orlando Magic62433%115.5120.0-4.5
24 Washington Wizards41325%121.0129.5-8.5
25 Sacramento Kings51420%111.0116.8-5.8
26 Toronto Raptors51420%121.4127.8-6.4
27 Phoenix Suns51420%116.0126.0-10.0
28 Indiana Pacers4040%113.2122.5-9.2
29 Brooklyn Nets5050%113.8127.8-14.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans4040%104.0123.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks34262733120
Golden State Warriors25332626110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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