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Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 95-105
22-27 29-30 25-26 19-22
Position#1
Record16-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game121.1
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#2
Record17-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors
20 Dec 2026
MIL v GSW
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
MIL120
GSW110
10 Feb 2025
MIL111
GSW125
13 Jan 2024
MIL129
GSW118
13 Dec 2022
MIL128
GSW111
13 Jan 2022
MIL118
GSW99
25 Dec 2020
MIL138
GSW99
14 Mar 2020
MIL v GSW
upcoming
07 Dec 2018
MIL95
GSW105
12 Jan 2018
MIL94
GSW108
19 Nov 2016
MIL121
GSW124
12 Dec 2015
MIL108
GSW95
28 Mar 2015
MIL95
GSW108
07 Jan 2014
MIL80
GSW101
26 Jan 2013
MIL109
GSW102
13 Nov 2010
MIL79
GSW72
14 Nov 2009
MIL129
GSW125
07 Mar 2009
MIL127
GSW120
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
113-116
113
116
-3
108avg 104
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
123-104
123
104
+19
121avg 104
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
95avg 104
H20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
143-100
143
100
+43
no box
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
114-116
114
116
-2
108avg 104
H24/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
135-129
135
129
+6
133avg 104
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
107-110
107
110
-3
99avg 104
A27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
116-113
116
113
+3
114avg 104
H29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
134-136 OT
134
136
-2
129avg 104
A01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
115-92
115
92
+23
111avg 104
H06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
26-19
35-36
33-32
27-40
18-23
46-17
32-24
25-29
21-27
32-21
26-21
31-20
41-30
37-29
34-21
30-34
31-30
29-27
24-25
37-36
30-32
28-34
40-27
35-32
17-33
28-28
27-17
30-40
33-22
29-27
24-24
35-28
31-33
31-32
27-31
30-21
26-24
28-19
31-28
231.8Avg total
120.4Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)121.1110.4231.5+10.770%
Season at home (14)122.1107.1229.1+15.086%
Season away (9)119.6115.7235.2+3.944%
Last 10 (10)120.4111.4231.8+9.060%
Last 5 (5)121.4116.0237.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)107.9104.1212.0+3.856%
vs Weaker (21)120.3110.5230.8+9.967%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
109-112
109
112
-3
100avg 110
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
92-104
92
104
-12
81avg 110
A19/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
95-123
95
123
-28
no box
H22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
125-97
125
97
+28
124avg 110
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
117-116
117
116
+1
117avg 110
H25/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
116-110
116
110
+6
110avg 110
H27/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
128-131 OT
128
131
-3
117avg 110
A30/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
102-111
102
111
-9
95avg 110
A02/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
128-111
128
111
+17
131avg 110
A04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
129-105
129
105
+24
130avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
37-31
27-25
23-30
27-33
21-23
22-23
22-25
18-23
28-37
33-27
16-36
24-27
35-17
33-29
33-24
28-29
32-35
35-29
22-23
26-25
21-39
32-19
37-27
25-38
33-29
30-29
31-23
24-24
22-30
32-31
24-26
34-17
27-30
36-30
31-34
31-25
27-39
37-22
34-19
226.1Avg total
114.1Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)116.8111.2228.1+5.665%
Season at home (13)117.6109.9227.5+7.785%
Season away (13)116.1112.5228.6+3.546%
Last 10 (10)114.1112.0226.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)120.6113.6234.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)109.4114.4223.8-5.038%
vs Weaker (22)119.4108.2227.6+11.282%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Milwaukee BucksGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H24/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H06/12
NBA
115.5Avg total
57.3Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.853.1110.9+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.752.2111.9+7.571%-
Last 30 away (13)55.454.2109.5+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)57.358.2115.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)60.860.2121.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)51.146.197.2+5.067%-
vs Weaker (21)60.756.0116.8+4.762%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A19/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H25/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
47-64
47
64
-17
H27/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A30/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A02/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A06/12
NBA
111.9Avg total
54.2Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.656.4115.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.256.5115.7+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)58.156.4114.5+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)54.257.7111.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)54.059.2113.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)53.857.1110.9-3.438%-
vs Weaker (22)60.456.2116.6+4.250%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 120.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.930.2
61.8%
51.7%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.713.8
33.9%
35.4%41.4
🏀 Free throws24.818.6
75.0%
76.6%18.6
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.231.6
55.2%
51.7%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.9
36.0%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.718.2
83.9%
76.6%18.2
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLWLWWWL
Golden State Warriors
WWLLWWWLLL
#1
League position
#2
+8.7
Net rating
+2.2
113.4
Offensive rating
111.5
104.7
Defensive rating
109.2
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.6%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.9%
3-point %
36.0%
61.8%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 111.5Defence104.7 · 109.2Shooting56.8% · 54.8%3-point %33.9% · 36.0%Ball care13.7% · 13.6%Off. rebounds21.4% · 23.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/18HDetroit Pistons115-92
01/12/18ANew York Knicks134-136 OT
29/11/18HChicago Bulls116-113
27/11/18ACharlotte Hornets107-110
25/11/18HSan Antonio Spurs135-129
24/11/18HPhoenix Suns114-116
22/11/18HPortland Trail Blazers143-100
20/11/18HDenver Nuggets104-98
17/11/18HChicago Bulls123-104
15/11/18HMemphis Grizzlies113-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/18ACleveland Cavaliers129-105
04/12/18AAtlanta Hawks128-111
02/12/18ADetroit Pistons102-111
30/11/18AToronto Raptors128-131 OT
27/11/18HOrlando Magic116-110
25/11/18HSacramento Kings117-116
24/11/18HPortland Trail Blazers125-97
22/11/18HOklahoma City Thunder95-123
19/11/18ASan Antonio Spurs92-104
18/11/18ADallas Mavericks109-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %70%86%44%
Points / game121.1122.1119.6
Allowed / game110.4107.1115.7
Point differential+10.7+15.0+3.9
Avg total231.5229.1235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %9%0%22%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW65%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%85%46%
Points / game116.8117.6116.1
Allowed / game111.2109.9112.5
Point differential+5.6+7.7+3.5
Avg total228.1227.5228.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2721678%116.0108.0+8.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks2316770%121.1110.4+10.7
3 Denver Nuggets2517868%110.6103.8+6.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder2416867%111.1104.4+6.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers2416867%116.4112.2+4.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers2718967%113.8111.8+2.0
7 Golden State Warriors2617965%116.8111.2+5.6
8 Memphis Grizzlies2415962%104.2102.4+1.8
9 Indiana Pacers25151060%106.0101.6+4.4
10 Los Angeles Lakers25151060%113.4112.0+1.4
11 Boston Celtics24141058%109.3104.0+5.4
12 Detroit Pistons23131057%109.4109.8-0.3
13 Portland Trail Blazers25141156%112.3110.6+1.7
14 Sacramento Kings24131154%115.2116.3-1.1
15 Dallas Mavericks23121152%110.6109.6+1.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves25131252%110.0109.5+0.5
17 Utah Jazz26131350%107.4107.2+0.2
18 New Orleans Pelicans27131448%118.1115.9+2.1
19 Charlotte Hornets25121348%114.0111.0+3.0
20 Orlando Magic26121446%105.7108.2-2.5
21 San Antonio Spurs26121446%110.3114.0-3.7
22 Houston Rockets24111346%108.5109.8-1.4
23 Washington Wizards25111444%112.4116.7-4.3
24 Miami Heat24101442%107.7108.9-1.2
25 Brooklyn Nets2791833%108.6110.9-2.3
26 New York Knicks2681831%108.6114.9-6.3
27 Chicago Bulls2662023%103.3112.3-9.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers2552020%103.0111.9-9.0
29 Atlanta Hawks2552020%108.0119.0-11.0
30 Phoenix Suns2642215%102.2113.8-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2229251995
Golden State Warriors27302622105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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