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Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 02 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#27
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game108.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Memphis Grizzlies
01 Feb 2027
MIL v MEM
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
MIL131
MEM115
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
MEM132
03 Apr 2024
MIL101
MEM111
20 Oct 2023
MIL124
MEM116
07 Apr 2023
MIL114
MEM137
01 Oct 2022
MIL102
MEM107
19 Jan 2022
MIL126
MEM114
17 Apr 2021
MIL115
MEM128
14 Nov 2018
MIL113
MEM116
13 Nov 2017
MIL110
MEM103
12 Nov 2016
MIL106
MEM96
17 Mar 2016
MIL96
MEM86
08 Nov 2014
MIL93
MEM92
08 Oct 2014
MIL86
MEM83
15 Jan 2014
MIL77
MEM82
07 Nov 2012
MIL90
MEM108
18 Oct 2012
MIL94
MEM97
31 Mar 2012
MIL95
MEM99
22 Jan 2011
MIL81
MEM94
28 Mar 2010
MIL108
MEM103
04 Apr 2009
MIL102
MEM107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis Grizzlies win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-29
28-21
21-35
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
233.4Avg total
111.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Season at home (5)107.2121.4228.6-14.220%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)113.4124.2237.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.3124.5232.8-16.217%
vs Similar (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
101-132
101
132
-31
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
132-123
132
123
+9
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
118-122
118
122
-4
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
104-100
104
100
+4
A10/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
116-98
116
98
+18
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
123-103
123
103
+20
H22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
111-108
111
108
+3
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
123-112
123
112
+11
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
110-105
110
105
+5
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
124-103
124
103
+21
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
19-34
26-34
30-32
32-35
49-26
29-37
22-25
26-36
35-28
26-30
31-28
30-27
30-23
25-32
19-18
23-20
27-18
29-24
37-36
29-31
35-20
34-28
25-24
33-34
27-22
24-34
27-18
25-28
42-31
29-31
27-22
30-21
28-31
31-24
21-29
25-25
33-33
33-25
33-20
226.8Avg total
116.2Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)117.9108.2226.1+9.789%
Season at home (3)119.0107.7226.7+11.367%
Season away (6)117.3108.5225.8+8.8100%
Last 10 (10)116.2110.6226.8+5.680%
Last 5 (5)118.2106.2224.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)111.8128.9240.7-17.17%
vs Similar (7)114.1126.1240.3-12.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)117.1108.9226.0+8.288%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
Milwaukee BucksMemphis Grizzlies
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
51.5Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.361.8115.1-8.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.260.8115.0-6.640%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.562.9114.4-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.8111.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)52.763.2116.0-10.526%-
vs Similar (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A10/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A30/10
NBA
115.9Avg total
60.4Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.661.0118.6-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.659.5115.1-3.921%-
Last 30 away (16)59.262.4121.6-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)60.455.5115.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)61.455.2116.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)55.763.8119.5-8.120%-
vs Similar (7)55.763.3119.0-7.60%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)62.653.9116.5+8.888%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.2%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.825.1
51.4%
54.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.4
37.8%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws23.619.7
83.5%
76.2%19.7
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWL
Memphis Grizzlies
WWWWWWWLWL
#27
League position
#2
-8.1
Net rating
+2.3
96.0
Offensive rating
105.0
104.0
Defensive rating
102.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
13.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
37.8%
63.4%
Assist %
68.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 105.0Defence104.0 · 102.6Shooting50.6% · 53.7%3-point %32.2% · 37.8%Ball care15.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds13.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Memphis Grizzlies
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
06/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves97-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26APortland Trail Blazers124-103
27/10/26AUtah Jazz110-105
26/10/26ASacramento Kings123-112
24/10/26AGolden State Warriors111-108
22/10/26HUtah Jazz123-103
17/10/26HCharlotte Hornets116-98
10/10/26AChicago Bulls104-100
08/10/26HOrlando Magic118-122
05/10/26AAtlanta Hawks132-123
13/04/26AHouston Rockets101-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game111.4107.2115.6
Allowed / game122.0121.4122.6
Point differential-10.6-14.2-7.0
Avg total233.4228.6238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %89%67%100%
Points / game117.9119.0117.3
Allowed / game108.2107.7108.5
Point differential+9.7+11.3+8.8
Avg total226.1226.7225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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