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Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#30
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game120.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#29
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game118.6
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Utah Jazz
03 Mar 2027
MIL v UTA
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
MIL113
UTA99
07 Nov 2024
MIL123
UTA100
08 Jan 2024
MIL116
UTA132
17 Dec 2022
MIL123
UTA97
31 Oct 2021
MIL95
UTA107
08 Jan 2021
MIL118
UTA131
25 Nov 2019
MIL122
UTA118
07 Jan 2019
MIL114
UTA102
09 Dec 2017
MIL117
UTA100
24 Feb 2017
MIL95
UTA109
20 Mar 2016
MIL85
UTA94
22 Jan 2015
MIL99
UTA101
03 Mar 2014
MIL114
UTA88
04 Mar 2013
MIL109
UTA108
18 Dec 2010
MIL86
UTA95
12 Mar 2010
MIL95
UTA87
23 Dec 2008
MIL94
UTA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 96
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-132
100
132
-32
74avg 96
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-136
111
136
-25
88avg 96
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
100-112
100
112
-12
84avg 96
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 96
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
107-121
107
121
-14
94avg 96
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-117
97
117
-20
79avg 96
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
85-117
85
117
-32
62avg 96
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 96
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
99-107
99
107
-8
79avg 96
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
25-24
21-48
30-37
35-27
18-29
29-19
29-32
24-32
14-28
27-34
38-25
23-22
29-24
31-27
27-38
20-32
27-25
18-33
29-33
23-26
21-26
13-32
38-27
13-32
28-30
22-31
23-33
39-29
15-23
22-29
35-32
27-23
219.9Avg total
102.3Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)106.2120.2226.4-14.18%
Season at home (7)108.9123.3232.1-14.414%
Season away (6)103.0116.7219.7-13.70%
Last 10 (10)102.3117.6219.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)100.0117.0217.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)104.9122.1227.0-17.39%
vs Similar ◀ (7)117.7114.4232.1+3.357%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 99
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 99
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 99
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 99
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 99
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 99
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 99
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 99
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
118-125
118
125
-7
105avg 99
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
34-29
25-37
28-19
21-38
27-27
26-36
36-29
29-33
221.9Avg total
105.1Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)107.5118.6226.1-11.28%
Season at home (7)109.4118.3227.7-8.914%
Season away (6)105.2119.0224.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)105.1116.8221.9-11.70%
Last 5 (5)107.0118.0225.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)110.5126.7237.2-16.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)123.7120.1243.9+3.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Milwaukee BucksUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A14/11
NBA
102.5Avg total
44.5Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.259.7111.0-8.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.860.2114.0-6.440%-
Last 30 away (15)48.759.3107.9-10.620%-
Last 10 (10)44.558.0102.5-13.510%-
Last 5 (5)45.256.0101.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)49.360.5109.8-11.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)57.757.1114.9+0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A14/11
NBA
108.5Avg total
50.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.561.6117.1-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.560.7119.3-2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.4114.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)50.957.6108.5-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)54.861.4116.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)55.063.9119.0-8.913%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)57.153.9111.0+3.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.6
56.2%
54.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.416.4
37.8%
35.1%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
77.3%14.7
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.926.0
52.1%
54.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.1
32.3%
35.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.719.4
78.5%
77.3%19.4
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLLLLLLW
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLL
#30
League position
#29
-6.8
Net rating
-10.1
105.9
Offensive rating
104.7
112.7
Defensive rating
114.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.7%
15.2%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.8%
3-point %
32.3%
66.1%
Assist %
63.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 104.7Defence112.7 · 114.8Shooting56.4% · 50.5%3-point %37.8% · 32.3%Ball care15.8% · 15.7%Off. rebounds15.2% · 26.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOrlando Magic99-107
12/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-123
11/11/26ANew York Knicks85-117
09/11/26HBoston Celtics97-117
07/11/26HToronto Raptors107-121
05/11/26ABoston Celtics102-109
03/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-112
01/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers111-136
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHouston Rockets118-125
12/11/26HOrlando Magic108-123
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.2108.9103.0
Allowed / game120.2123.3116.7
Point differential-14.1-14.4-13.7
Avg total226.4232.1219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game107.5109.4105.2
Allowed / game118.6118.3119.0
Point differential-11.2-8.9-13.8
Avg total226.1227.7224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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