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Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-99
24-13 27-31 32-32 30-23
Position#21
Record26-35
FormWLLLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Position#26
Record19-44
FormLLLLW
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game125.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Utah Jazz
03 Mar 2027
MIL v UTA
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
MIL113
UTA99
07 Nov 2024
MIL123
UTA100
08 Jan 2024
MIL116
UTA132
17 Dec 2022
MIL123
UTA97
31 Oct 2021
MIL95
UTA107
08 Jan 2021
MIL118
UTA131
25 Nov 2019
MIL122
UTA118
07 Jan 2019
MIL114
UTA102
09 Dec 2017
MIL117
UTA100
24 Feb 2017
MIL95
UTA109
20 Mar 2016
MIL85
UTA94
22 Jan 2015
MIL99
UTA101
03 Mar 2014
MIL114
UTA88
04 Mar 2013
MIL109
UTA108
18 Dec 2010
MIL86
UTA95
12 Mar 2010
MIL95
UTA87
23 Dec 2008
MIL94
UTA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
W
116-108
116
108
+8
114avg 104
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
110-93
110
93
+17
102avg 104
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
139-118
139
118
+21
133avg 104
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
94-122
94
122
-28
82avg 104
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
128-117
128
117
+11
119avg 104
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
118-116
118
116
+2
112avg 104
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
98-127
98
127
-29
89avg 104
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
97-120
97
120
-23
84avg 104
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-108
81
108
-27
71avg 104
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
113-131
113
131
-18
107avg 104
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
32-27
36-32
28-25
30-25
37-30
22-18
21-20
33-38
38-27
32-31
36-22
27-22
24-38
22-32
21-30
30-29
33-29
26-35
39-24
33-33
29-30
31-31
25-22
30-38
27-39
26-26
15-24
32-30
34-21
23-36
8-33
20-30
23-27
22-26
16-25
38-25
33-41
18-32
24-33
225.4Avg total
109.4Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)111.4115.8227.2-4.443%
Season at home (30)114.2117.8232.0-3.647%
Season away (31)108.6113.9222.5-5.339%
Last 10 (10)109.4116.0225.4-6.650%
Last 5 (5)101.4120.4221.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)107.0116.2223.2-9.338%
vs Similar ◀ (7)120.0112.9232.9+7.186%
vs Weaker (2)106.0111.5217.5-5.50%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
115-111
115
111
+4
114avg 107
A10/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
121-93
121
93
+28
129avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
119-135
119
135
-16
110avg 107
H13/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
114-123
114
123
-9
109avg 107
A21/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-125
105
125
-20
83avg 107
A24/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
118-129
118
129
-11
108avg 107
H27/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
105-115
105
115
-10
85avg 107
H01/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
125-128
125
128
-3
114avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
122-112
122
112
+10
119avg 107
A06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
35-20
24-30
30-29
39-20
32-24
29-22
21-27
31-28
32-33
23-40
33-34
32-28
35-27
21-32
26-36
22-38
25-30
28-32
30-25
38-37
23-41
27-25
30-26
22-27
18-38
33-24
32-26
34-33
33-33
26-34
32-28
22-29
26-24
35-29
19-24
37-23
30-26
26-35
29-28
232.3Avg total
114.6Scored
117.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)117.7125.2242.9-7.630%
Season at home (32)121.1127.6248.7-6.534%
Season away (31)114.1122.8236.9-8.726%
Last 10 (10)114.6117.7232.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)114.4118.0232.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)113.9125.1239.1-11.216%
vs Similar ◀ (11)117.6120.6238.3-3.036%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
Milwaukee BucksUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H05/03
NBA
120.6Avg total
60.3Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.758.9115.6-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.662.0118.6-5.429%-
Last 30 away (16)56.856.2113.0+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)60.360.3120.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)59.862.8122.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)54.760.3115.0-5.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)63.954.1118.0+9.786%-
vs Weaker (2)52.561.0113.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-44
71
44
+27
H12/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H13/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A21/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A24/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H27/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
40-65
40
65
-25
H01/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A06/03
NBA
118.3Avg total
59.2Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.961.5118.4-4.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.662.8118.5-7.246%-
Last 30 away (17)57.960.5118.4-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)59.259.1118.3+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.662.2118.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)56.061.9117.9-5.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)58.560.7119.2-2.336%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.726.2
54.9%
54.8%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.314.5
36.9%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
78.1%13.5
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.628.9
54.9%
54.8%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.212.6
33.0%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.019.0
79.2%
78.1%19.0
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLWWLWWW
Utah Jazz
WLLLLLLLWW
#21
League position
#26
-6.7
Net rating
-3.0
111.0
Offensive rating
110.1
117.7
Defensive rating
113.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.8%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.9%
3-point %
33.0%
59.2%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 110.1Defence117.7 · 113.1Shooting55.1% · 52.6%3-point %36.9% · 33.0%Ball care14.5% · 13.8%Off. rebounds23.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HAtlanta Hawks113-131
03/03/26HBoston Celtics81-108
01/03/26AChicago Bulls97-120
28/02/26HNew York Knicks98-127
26/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers118-116
25/02/26HMiami Heat128-117
22/02/26HToronto Raptors94-122
21/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans139-118
13/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder110-93
12/02/26AOrlando Magic116-108
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AWashington Wizards122-112
05/03/26APhiladelphia 76ers102-106
03/03/26HDenver Nuggets125-128
01/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans105-115
27/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-129
24/02/26AHouston Rockets105-125
21/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies114-123
13/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-135
12/02/26HSacramento Kings121-93
10/02/26AMiami Heat115-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayLWWWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613031
Win %43%47%39%
Points / game111.4114.2108.6
Allowed / game115.8117.8113.9
Point differential-4.4-3.6-5.3
Avg total227.2232.0222.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeWLLLL34%
AwayWLLLW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633231
Win %30%34%26%
Points / game117.7121.1114.1
Allowed / game125.2127.6122.8
Point differential-7.6-6.5-8.7
Avg total242.9248.7236.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%9%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)56% (9)33% (9)
Overtime %8%12%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons62451773%116.8109.6+7.2
3 San Antonio Spurs61441772%118.1111.3+6.8
4 Boston Celtics63422167%114.5107.0+7.5
5 New York Knicks62392363%117.0110.6+6.4
6 Houston Rockets62392363%114.5109.3+5.2
7 Minnesota Timberwolves64402462%118.6114.5+4.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers62382461%115.9115.0+0.9
10 Denver Nuggets64392561%120.2116.5+3.7
11 Phoenix Suns62362658%112.5110.8+1.7
12 Toronto Raptors61352657%113.8112.0+1.8
13 Miami Heat63352856%120.3116.6+3.7
14 Orlando Magic60332755%114.7113.8+0.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers63342954%115.8116.1-0.3
16 Golden State Warriors62323052%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks64333152%117.7117.3+0.4
18 Charlotte Hornets64323250%116.2112.5+3.6
19 Los Angeles Clippers62303248%112.4112.1+0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers64303447%115.1118.1-3.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks61263543%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls63263741%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%115.6117.7-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks63214233%113.3117.7-4.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans65204531%115.2120.2-5.0
26 Utah Jazz63194430%117.7125.2-7.6
27 Washington Wizards62164626%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Brooklyn Nets63164725%106.9115.6-8.7
29 Indiana Pacers63154824%111.4119.9-8.4
30 Sacramento Kings64145022%110.4121.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks24273230113
Utah Jazz1331322399
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