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Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#28
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game123.3
vs
Position#22
Record4-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game115.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Utah Jazz
03 Mar 2027
MIL v UTA
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
MIL113
UTA99
07 Nov 2024
MIL123
UTA100
08 Jan 2024
MIL116
UTA132
17 Dec 2022
MIL123
UTA97
31 Oct 2021
MIL95
UTA107
08 Jan 2021
MIL118
UTA131
25 Nov 2019
MIL122
UTA118
09 Oct 2019
MIL133
UTA99
07 Jan 2019
MIL114
UTA102
09 Dec 2017
MIL117
UTA100
14 Jul 2017
MIL76
UTA97
24 Feb 2017
MIL95
UTA109
20 Mar 2016
MIL85
UTA94
22 Jan 2015
MIL99
UTA101
14 Jul 2014
MIL71
UTA87
03 Mar 2014
MIL114
UTA88
04 Mar 2013
MIL109
UTA108
18 Dec 2010
MIL86
UTA95
12 Mar 2010
MIL95
UTA87
23 Dec 2008
MIL94
UTA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
128-126
128
126
+2
112avg 99
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
L
90-105
90
105
-15
74avg 99
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
104-125
104
125
-21
76avg 99
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
110avg 99
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
116-128
116
128
-12
107avg 99
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
125-132
125
132
-7
116avg 99
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
116-127
116
127
-11
111avg 99
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 99
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
100-132
100
132
-32
74avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
L
111-136
111
136
-25
88avg 99
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
25-24
21-48
30-37
35-27
236.8Avg total
112.8Scored
124.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.4123.3234.6-11.927%
Season at home (6)107.8123.8231.7-16.017%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)112.8124.0236.8-11.230%
Last 5 (5)112.4125.8238.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)109.2124.8234.0-15.617%
vs Similar (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
109-97
109
97
+12
100avg 100
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
106-117
106
117
-11
67avg 100
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
119-109
119
109
+10
98avg 100
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 100
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
103-123
103
123
-20
96avg 100
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
120-119
120
119
+1
117avg 100
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 100
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 100
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 100
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
27-26
25-25
21-20
31-24
28-41
22-30
25-22
33-26
35-35
31-17
20-31
31-30
28-35
31-30
29-21
31-29
20-35
28-34
24-25
31-28
31-24
24-38
34-29
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
225.7Avg total
110.5Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)110.5115.2225.7-4.740%
Season at home (7)110.6116.6227.1-6.029%
Season away (3)110.3112.0222.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)110.5115.2225.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)109.8118.0227.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)112.8125.6238.5-12.818%
vs Similar (8)121.6117.9239.5+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -10.4-10.4Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -10.4-10.4Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Milwaukee BucksUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H01/11
NBA
115.4Avg total
51.3Scored
64.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.061.9115.0-8.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.661.1114.7-7.540%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.364.1115.4-12.820%-
Last 5 (5)50.663.0113.6-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)52.363.4115.8-11.126%-
vs Similar (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
118.3Avg total
58.2Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.561.2118.7-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.460.1119.6-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)55.362.5117.8-7.221%-
Last 10 (10)58.260.1118.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)56.458.8115.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)57.063.1120.1-6.132%-
vs Similar (8)58.956.0114.9+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.4%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.226.5
52.8%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.9
34.0%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws26.720.6
77.2%
76.4%20.6
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLLWLLW
Utah Jazz
LLLLWLWWLW
#28
League position
#22
-8.1
Net rating
-4.2
96.0
Offensive rating
102.3
104.0
Defensive rating
106.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
13.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
34.0%
63.4%
Assist %
65.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 102.3Defence104.0 · 106.6Shooting50.6% · 52.1%3-point %32.2% · 34.0%Ball care15.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds13.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers111-136
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
24/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
22/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies103-123
17/10/26APhoenix Suns119-116
13/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-109
07/10/26HDenver Nuggets106-117
04/10/26ADenver Nuggets109-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%17%40%
Points / game111.4107.8115.6
Allowed / game123.3123.8122.6
Point differential-11.9-16.0-7.0
Avg total234.6231.7238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%29%67%
Points / game110.5110.6110.3
Allowed / game115.2116.6112.0
Point differential-4.7-6.0-1.7
Avg total225.7227.1222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics109190%121.9108.7+13.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Golden State Warriors138562%115.9110.9+5.0
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Los Angeles Lakers127558%114.7113.7+1.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
17 Orlando Magic105550%114.1116.8-2.7
18 Toronto Raptors115645%120.1113.3+6.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Brooklyn Nets104640%114.6116.0-1.4
22 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers93633%107.9112.0-4.1
26 Indiana Pacers113827%115.4117.3-1.9
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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