PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minas vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 94-62
30-25 20-16 24-8 20-13
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game75.5
Minas 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Aguada
04 Feb 2026
MINA94
AGUA62
16 Jan 2026
MINA95
AGUA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 76
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 76
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 76
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
108avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
81avg 76
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 76
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 76
H21/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
25-11
19-19
8-14
24-24
21-26
24-15
16-22
24-18
16-28
33-18
26-17
12-24
31-26
22-24
26-17
18-29
23-17
36-18
15-10
24-34
19-14
16-25
17-17
13-21
23-25
18-27
23-19
24-21
28-15
21-19
22-20
28-27
29-17
17-21
21-26
17-27
23-18
17-4
18-18
169.0Avg total
87.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.275.5157.8+6.875%
Season at home (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)78.075.7153.7+2.367%
Last 10 (10)87.281.8169.0+5.470%
Last 5 (5)83.683.0166.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.074.3155.3+6.767%
vs Similar (11)80.780.9161.6-0.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.278.8167.0+9.5100%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 86
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 86
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 86
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
95-87
95
87
+8
87avg 86
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
no box
A16/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Cordon
#11
W
109-86
109
86
+23
120avg 86
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
90-76
90
76
+14
90avg 86
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
91-80
91
80
+11
87avg 86
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 86
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
30-23
28-28
19-22
28-24
25-23
20-14
25-33
20-32
15-17
17-12
20-28
29-23
26-25
23-23
17-16
21-24
15-28
19-21
20-22
25-21
21-13
23-29
19-21
28-19
28-25
28-21
25-21
21-27
18-17
27-18
24-14
25-20
21-21
20-19
25-20
26-16
15-24
17-24
16-22
177.2Avg total
89.6Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.086.0163.0-9.025%
Season at home (2)72.582.5155.0-10.00%
Season away (2)81.589.5171.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)89.687.6177.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)90.482.4172.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)83.986.9170.9-3.040%
vs Similar (5)99.897.0196.8+2.880%
vs Weaker (10)94.084.1178.1+9.970%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
MinasAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/01
NBB
87.8Avg total
44.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.439.783.1+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.282.5+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.787.8+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.643.889.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.340.076.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (11)41.442.984.3-1.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.238.883.0+5.462%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A16/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Cordon
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
91.2Avg total
46.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.690.8+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.344.292.5+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)44.444.989.3-0.656%-
Last 10 (10)46.444.891.2+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.686.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)43.644.688.2-1.047%-
vs Similar (5)50.845.696.4+5.280%-
vs Weaker (10)47.844.191.9+3.770%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.4
52.9%
54.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.7
34.5%
32.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
69.7%16.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.7
56.6%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.1
36.2%
32.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
69.7%14.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWLLWWWLW
Aguada
LWWWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#11
+7.5
Net rating
+2.1
102.8
Offensive rating
104.8
95.3
Defensive rating
102.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
36.2%
64.6%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 104.8Defence95.3 · 102.7Shooting52.4% · 55.6%3-point %34.5% · 36.2%Ball care16.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minas wins
0
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Minas v Aguada95-75
13/12/25Aguada v Minas74-77
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HPato75-67
19/01/26ASao Jose95-91
16/01/26HAguada95-75
15/01/26ABoca Juniors77-92
10/01/26AMogi76-90
08/01/26ACorinthians Paulista92-74
29/12/25AUnifacisa107-102 OT
27/12/25ACearense99-81
23/12/25HFlamengo85-87
21/12/25HVasco71-59
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AWelcome74-86
27/01/26HPenarol91-80
25/01/26HDefensor90-76
22/01/26ACordon109-86
17/01/26ABoca Juniors88-84
16/01/26AMinas75-95
11/01/26HBigua95-87
08/01/26AMalvin72-89
21/12/25HNacional98-94
17/12/25AUrunday104-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game82.295.078.0
Allowed / game75.575.075.7
Point differential+6.8+20.0+2.3
Avg total157.8170.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game77.072.581.5
Allowed / game86.082.589.5
Point differential-9.0-10.0-8.0
Avg total163.0155.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros440100%110.272.5+37.8
2 Nacional440100%83.871.0+12.8
3 Franca43175%101.078.5+22.5
4 Minas43175%82.275.5+6.8
5 Instituto de Cordoba43175%87.887.2+0.5
6 Paisas42250%91.885.0+6.8
7 Boca Juniors42250%81.279.0+2.2
8 Flamengo42250%81.279.0+2.2
9 Aguada41325%77.086.0-9.0
10 Obras Sanitarias4040%72.887.8-15.0
11 U. De Concepcion4040%72.895.8-23.0
12 Caimanes del Llano4040%73.0117.5-44.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas3020242094
Aguada251681362
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.