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Minas vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 95-75
24-21 28-15 21-19 22-20
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.7
Minas 🏆
vs
Aguada
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeChampions League Americas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Aguada
04 Feb 2026
MINA94
AGUA62
16 Jan 2026
MINA95
AGUA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 75
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 75
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 75
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 75
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 75
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 75
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
108avg 75
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
81avg 75
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 75
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
19-18
19-14
27-10
24-19
16-19
14-20
23-16
28-23
24-17
14-22
29-26
19-15
25-11
19-19
8-14
24-24
21-26
24-15
16-22
24-18
16-28
33-18
26-17
12-24
31-26
22-24
26-17
18-29
23-17
36-18
15-10
24-34
19-14
16-25
17-17
13-21
23-25
18-27
23-19
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.075.7153.7+2.367%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)78.075.7153.7+2.367%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)90.287.8178.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.074.3155.3+6.767%
vs Similar (12)79.879.6159.3+0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.077.4163.4+8.6100%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
82avg 86
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-82
112
82
+30
112avg 86
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 86
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 86
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
56avg 86
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 86
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 86
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 86
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 86
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
95-87
95
87
+8
87avg 86
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
24-29
26-25
18-29
39-17
27-26
22-25
24-14
22-27
21-14
15-20
20-18
23-28
28-14
17-17
25-17
21-24
13-19
14-19
23-26
19-24
19-16
20-14
16-23
27-26
30-23
28-28
19-22
28-24
25-23
20-14
25-33
20-32
15-17
17-12
20-28
29-23
26-25
23-23
17-16
176.0Avg total
88.6Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.582.5155.0-10.00%
Season at home (2)72.582.5155.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.687.4176.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)88.689.2177.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.887.1170.8-3.333%
vs Similar (5)99.897.0196.8+2.880%
vs Weaker (13)93.585.2178.7+8.469%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
MinasAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/01
Champions League Americas
84.5Avg total
41.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.680.8+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.280.6+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.081.1-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.784.5-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.287.8-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.340.076.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (12)41.142.883.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.337.079.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
92.8Avg total
47.7Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.344.690.9+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.243.791.9+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.445.589.9-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)47.745.192.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.646.694.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.845.289.0-1.342%-
vs Similar (5)50.845.696.4+5.280%-
vs Weaker (13)46.843.790.5+3.269%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.6
33.4%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.416.4
70.1%
69.7%16.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.4
36.6%
32.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
69.7%17.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LLWWWLWWWW
Aguada
WLWWLLWLWL
#5
League position
#11
+6.7
Net rating
+1.4
104.5
Offensive rating
110.5
97.8
Defensive rating
109.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.4%
3-point %
36.6%
65.1%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 110.5Defence97.8 · 109.1Shooting51.9% · 53.1%3-point %33.4% · 36.6%Ball care15.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minas wins
0
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Aguada v Minas74-77
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ABoca Juniors77-92
10/01/26AMogi76-90
08/01/26ACorinthians Paulista92-74
29/12/25AUnifacisa107-102 OT
27/12/25ACearense99-81
23/12/25HFlamengo85-87
21/12/25HVasco71-59
18/12/25HBotafogo95-88
13/12/25AAguada77-74
12/12/25ABoca Juniors80-61
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HBigua95-87
08/01/26AMalvin72-89
21/12/25HNacional98-94
17/12/25AUrunday104-99
13/12/25HMinas74-77
11/12/25HBoca Juniors71-88
19/11/25AGoes93-76
14/11/25AHebraica y Macabi78-79
10/11/25HWelcome112-82
08/11/25APenarol89-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
Home--
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game75.7-75.7
Point differential+2.3-+2.3
Avg total153.7-153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Aguada
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game72.572.5-
Allowed / game82.582.5-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Instituto de Cordoba330100%90.379.7+10.7
2 Nacional220100%75.067.0+8.0
3 Franca32167%98.078.0+20.0
4 Boca Juniors32167%80.376.0+4.3
5 Minas32167%78.075.7+2.3
6 Flamengo21150%73.577.5-4.0
7 Obras Sanitarias2020%75.579.5-4.0
8 Aguada2020%72.582.5-10.0
9 U. De Concepcion4040%72.895.8-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2428212295
Aguada2115192075
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