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Malvin vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:45
Final 89-72
32-20 17-15 12-17 28-20
Position#4
Record9-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game81.6
Malvin 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game90.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Malvin v Aguada
02 May 2026
MALV84
AGUA94
07 Jan 2026
MALV89
AGUA72
08 May 2025
MALV76
AGUA83
29 Apr 2025
MALV87
AGUA83
05 Dec 2024
MALV67
AGUA81
02 May 2024
MALV81
AGUA83
30 Jan 2024
MALV77
AGUA87
18 Nov 2022
MALV73
AGUA68
26 Oct 2021
MALV71
AGUA83
23 Mar 2021
MALV95
AGUA71
08 Oct 2019
MALV62
AGUA90
20 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA69
10 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA83
09 Nov 2018
MALV73
AGUA94
24 May 2018
MALV69
AGUA86
18 May 2018
MALV70
AGUA75
11 May 2018
MALV73
AGUA64
09 Mar 2018
MALV76
AGUA81
03 Nov 2017
MALV69
AGUA62
10 Jan 2017
MALV77
AGUA85
31 Oct 2015
MALV101
AGUA91
13 Jan 2015
MALV82
AGUA69
21 Jan 2014
MALV92
AGUA98
06 Apr 2013
MALV87
AGUA77
27 Mar 2013
MALV85
AGUA86
18 Jan 2013
MALV99
AGUA84
08 Dec 2012
MALV74
AGUA82
09 Jan 2012
MALV78
AGUA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 74
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
79avg 74
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 74
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 74
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
52-61
52
61
-9
33avg 74
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
67avg 74
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 74
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
50avg 74
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
89-99
89
99
-10
90avg 74
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
14-24
28-17
27-11
23-23
16-20
22-16
31-17
19-24
26-19
26-23
19-23
15-22
13-16
23-15
25-17
24-10
21-21
23-20
14-24
17-20
14-14
12-13
9-14
16-12
22-20
15-14
25-26
27-20
19-23
16-18
29-16
19-24
11-25
19-27
18-13
18-20
26-26
23-24
22-29
158.9Avg total
80.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.681.6163.2-0.164%
Season at home (7)79.380.9160.1-1.671%
Season away (7)83.982.4166.3+1.457%
Last 10 (10)80.178.8158.9+1.370%
Last 5 (5)75.479.6155.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.289.1173.3-4.945%
vs Similar (8)77.073.1150.1+3.975%
vs Weaker (11)86.582.2168.6+4.355%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 86
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
107-86
107
86
+21
105avg 86
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
82avg 86
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-82
112
82
+30
112avg 86
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 86
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 86
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
56avg 86
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 86
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 86
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 86
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-26
30-30
25-31
22-27
29-20
33-20
23-19
21-20
24-29
26-25
18-29
39-17
27-26
22-25
24-14
22-27
21-14
15-20
20-18
23-28
28-14
17-17
25-17
21-24
13-19
14-19
23-26
19-24
19-16
20-14
16-23
27-26
30-23
28-28
19-22
28-24
25-23
20-14
25-33
180.9Avg total
91.8Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.290.2186.3+6.067%
Season at home (5)105.889.8195.6+16.0100%
Season away (7)89.390.4179.7-1.143%
Last 10 (10)91.889.1180.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)88.086.8174.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.887.1170.8-3.333%
vs Similar (4)101.099.5200.5+1.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.083.6177.6+10.479%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
MalvinAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
78.6Avg total
37.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.584.6-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.284.6+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.884.7-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.178.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.643.987.5-0.345%-
vs Similar (8)34.837.872.5-3.038%-
vs Weaker (11)45.944.690.5+1.345%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
92.2Avg total
47.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.690.9+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.543.991.4+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.145.390.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)47.544.792.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.644.290.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.845.289.0-1.342%-
vs Similar (4)49.845.094.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.643.991.5+3.671%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.2
48.7%
53.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.3
31.2%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.614.0
68.0%
70.9%14.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.1
52.6%
53.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.7
35.7%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.619.6
79.7%
70.9%19.6
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LLWWLWWWWW
Aguada
WWLLWLWLWL
#4
League position
#3
-0.3
Net rating
+3.5
102.8
Offensive rating
114.0
103.1
Defensive rating
110.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.2%
3-point %
35.7%
52.7%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 114.0Defence103.1 · 110.5Shooting47.8% · 53.0%3-point %31.2% · 35.7%Ball care15.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Malvin   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Malvin wins
7
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Aguada v Malvin94-82
12/05/25Aguada v Malvin111-99 OT
09/05/25Malvin v Aguada76-83
06/05/25Aguada v Malvin93-80
30/04/25Malvin v Aguada87-83
25/04/25Aguada v Malvin96-99 OT
11/03/25Aguada v Malvin85-90
07/02/25Aguada v Malvin71-70
05/12/24Malvin v Aguada67-81
08/05/24Aguada v Malvin100-95
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25AWelcome89-99
16/12/25HPenarol67-89
09/12/25ACordon91-77
06/12/25AUnion Atletica78-72
18/11/25HHebraica y Macabi52-61
14/11/25HNacional82-75
11/11/25AUrunday76-70
07/11/25HBigua90-89
05/11/25ADefensor92-76
31/10/25HGoes84-80
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HNacional98-94
17/12/25AUrunday104-99
13/12/25HMinas74-77
11/12/25HBoca Juniors71-88
19/11/25AGoes93-76
14/11/25AHebraica y Macabi78-79
10/11/25HWelcome112-82
08/11/25APenarol89-103
04/11/25HCordon107-86
29/10/25AUnion Atletica92-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game81.679.383.9
Allowed / game81.680.982.4
Point differential-0.1-1.6+1.4
Avg total163.2160.1166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%100%43%
Points / game96.2105.889.3
Allowed / game90.289.890.4
Point differential+6.0+16.0-1.1
Avg total186.3195.6179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%80%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1412286%86.671.6+15.0
2 Nacional1410471%91.483.1+8.3
3 Aguada128467%96.290.2+6.0
4 Hebraica y Macabi1510567%83.979.9+3.9
5 Malvin149564%81.681.6-0.1
6 Defensor138562%87.684.6+3.0
7 Bigua148657%88.689.4-0.8
8 Urunday157847%91.485.7+5.7
9 Union Atletica145936%81.984.4-2.5
10 Goes1431121%82.692.3-9.6
11 Cordon1421214%83.094.9-11.9
12 Welcome131128%81.599.4-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin3217122889
Aguada2015172072
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