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Minas vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-88
24-14 30-18 23-33 17-23
Position#3
Record9-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game76.2
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#10
Record5-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game74.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Bauru
23 Nov 2025
MINA94
BAUR88
28 May 2025
MINA70
BAUR65
26 May 2025
MINA73
BAUR69
27 Dec 2024
MINA83
BAUR73
16 Nov 2023
MINA99
BAUR80
10 Jan 2023
MINA63
BAUR58
09 Jan 2022
MINA76
BAUR64
06 Apr 2021
MINA81
BAUR79
19 Nov 2019
MINA87
BAUR68
03 Apr 2019
MINA78
BAUR71
14 Feb 2019
MINA93
BAUR89
20 Nov 2018
MINA67
BAUR66
17 Oct 2018
MINA70
BAUR75
15 Feb 2018
MINA66
BAUR81
23 Mar 2017
MINA77
BAUR89
12 Nov 2015
MINA67
BAUR83
09 Dec 2014
MINA79
BAUR84
06 Feb 2014
MINA71
BAUR77
11 Apr 2013
MINA64
BAUR77
12 Jan 2012
MINA70
BAUR78
18 Feb 2011
MINA67
BAUR86
20 May 2009
MINA75
BAUR74
19 May 2009
MINA74
BAUR47
18 Feb 2009
MINA70
BAUR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
86avg 75
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 75
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
72avg 75
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 75
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 75
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 75
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 75
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 75
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 75
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 75
H21/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
16-16
17-13
22-25
12-17
24-15
22-18
21-21
27-17
8-22
20-14
21-22
23-14
15-23
30-17
16-22
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
23-21
20-20
14-21
20-19
161.3Avg total
85.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.476.2161.5+9.282%
Season at home (7)84.776.1160.9+8.686%
Season away (4)86.576.2162.8+10.275%
Last 10 (10)85.675.7161.3+9.980%
Last 5 (5)88.675.8164.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (9)78.278.2156.4+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.870.2151.9+11.595%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
59-66
59
66
-7
48avg 70
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
60-83
60
83
-23
47avg 70
A23/10
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 70
A25/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
60-52
60
52
+8
50avg 70
H28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
78avg 70
H30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 70
A03/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 70
H13/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
77-54
77
54
+23
80avg 70
H15/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
51avg 70
A18/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
72-91
72
91
-19
65avg 70
A20/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
19-17
16-21
11-15
17-17
12-23
18-26
13-17
20-26
28-12
16-19
18-12
8-15
17-13
18-12
17-12
22-15
13-13
21-20
19-16
30-23
17-18
16-25
12-10
19-25
18-15
14-17
22-14
20-15
20-15
19-11
18-13
9-24
21-15
10-29
26-18
22-21
23-20
12-26
15-24
141.1Avg total
69.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.474.0145.4-2.645%
Season at home (5)74.268.6142.8+5.680%
Season away (6)69.078.5147.5-9.517%
Last 10 (10)69.971.2141.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)72.675.6148.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.683.3153.9-12.70%
vs Similar (12)73.869.6143.3+4.258%
vs Weaker (11)80.974.2155.1+6.773%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
MinasBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/11
NBB
81.1Avg total
41.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.076.7+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.536.977.4+3.676%-
Last 30 away (13)38.837.175.8+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.581.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.689.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (9)40.441.081.4-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.535.174.7+4.470%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/10
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A25/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/11
NBB
72.3Avg total
36.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.777.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.136.776.8+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.877.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.572.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.644.478.0-10.90%-
vs Similar (12)37.832.970.8+4.967%-
vs Weaker (11)44.838.583.4+6.373%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
52.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.5
34.5%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.6
74.3%
72.8%15.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.7
48.6%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.0
27.0%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.6
71.6%
72.8%10.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWWLWWWWWW
Bauru
LLWWLWWWLL
#3
League position
#10
+12.9
Net rating
-1.9
108.2
Offensive rating
93.6
95.3
Defensive rating
95.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
45.3%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.5%
3-point %
27.0%
66.6%
Assist %
74.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 93.6Defence95.3 · 95.5Shooting52.8% · 45.3%3-point %34.5% · 27.0%Ball care18.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
28/05/25Minas v Bauru70-65
26/05/25Minas v Bauru73-69
23/05/25Bauru v Minas59-74
27/12/24Minas v Bauru83-73
17/10/24Bauru v Minas81-82 OT
02/03/24Bauru v Minas86-84 OT
16/11/23Minas v Bauru99-80
10/01/23Minas v Bauru63-58
21/10/22Bauru v Minas72-82
12/04/22Bauru v Minas101-69
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25HPinheiros77-81
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70
01/11/25ACruzeiro84-76
27/10/25APato76-75
23/10/25HMogi79-71
20/10/25HSao Jose88-86 OT
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25ACearense72-91
18/11/25AUnifacisa66-86
15/11/25HVasco77-54
13/11/25HBotafogo73-71
03/11/25ACruzeiro75-76
30/10/25HCaxias do Sul75-64
28/10/25HUniao Corinthians60-52
25/10/25AOsasco82-69
23/10/25APinheiros60-83
20/10/25APaulistano59-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL82%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game85.484.786.5
Allowed / game76.276.176.2
Point differential+9.2+8.6+10.2
Avg total161.5160.9162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game71.474.269.0
Allowed / game74.068.678.5
Point differential-2.6+5.6-9.5
Avg total145.4142.8147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1211192%89.073.7+15.3
2 Minas119282%85.476.2+9.2
3 Mogi108280%84.365.7+18.6
4 Brasilia108280%83.470.9+12.5
5 Corinthians Paulista97278%86.475.4+11.0
6 Pinheiros97278%82.375.1+7.2
7 Franca118373%86.573.3+13.2
8 Sao Jose106460%77.575.0+2.5
9 Paulistano116555%80.176.8+3.3
10 Unifacisa105550%79.179.0+0.1
11 Caxias do Sul84450%72.277.5-5.2
12 Bauru115645%71.474.0-2.6
13 Uniao Corinthians94544%75.785.8-10.1
14 Cearense93633%80.184.8-4.7
15 Botafogo113827%70.880.1-9.3
16 Cruzeiro113827%76.586.1-9.6
17 Osasco112918%75.587.5-12.0
18 Rio Claro112918%76.089.6-13.6
19 Pato1221017%70.381.0-10.7
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2430231794
Bauru1418332388
← all games of the day
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