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Minas vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 83-73
28-27 22-16 18-10 15-20
Position#1
Record15-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game69.6
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#4
Record10-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.8
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Bauru
23 Nov 2025
MINA94
BAUR88
28 May 2025
MINA70
BAUR65
26 May 2025
MINA73
BAUR69
27 Dec 2024
MINA83
BAUR73
16 Nov 2023
MINA99
BAUR80
10 Jan 2023
MINA63
BAUR58
09 Jan 2022
MINA76
BAUR64
06 Apr 2021
MINA81
BAUR79
19 Nov 2019
MINA87
BAUR68
03 Apr 2019
MINA78
BAUR71
14 Feb 2019
MINA93
BAUR89
20 Nov 2018
MINA67
BAUR66
17 Oct 2018
MINA70
BAUR75
15 Feb 2018
MINA66
BAUR81
23 Mar 2017
MINA77
BAUR89
12 Nov 2015
MINA67
BAUR83
09 Dec 2014
MINA79
BAUR84
06 Feb 2014
MINA71
BAUR77
11 Apr 2013
MINA64
BAUR77
12 Jan 2012
MINA70
BAUR78
18 Feb 2011
MINA67
BAUR86
20 May 2009
MINA75
BAUR74
19 May 2009
MINA74
BAUR47
18 Feb 2009
MINA70
BAUR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 81
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-58
78
58
+20
75avg 81
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
74avg 81
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
95-68
95
68
+27
103avg 81
A02/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-70
97
70
+27
95avg 81
H05/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
60avg 81
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 81
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
82avg 81
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
60avg 81
H23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-18
27-13
17-16
17-16
22-10
21-19
18-13
19-21
17-14
21-23
24-12
25-13
21-19
20-20
29-16
30-19
22-19
23-14
22-18
14-23
9-13
21-21
20-24
17-18
20-9
22-16
14-17
21-31
18-14
20-17
25-11
24-27
18-20
21-20
23-15
14-21
13-19
24-13
26-10
152.0Avg total
82.4Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.869.6152.5+13.288%
Season at home (8)85.068.2153.2+16.8100%
Season away (9)80.970.9151.8+10.078%
Last 10 (10)82.469.6152.0+12.890%
Last 5 (5)76.871.8148.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.380.1157.4-2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.071.0155.1+13.087%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 73
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 73
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 73
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
66avg 73
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 73
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
17-29
18-22
27-23
26-22
18-16
15-20
28-22
21-12
21-24
20-18
18-17
19-13
20-20
17-22
14-6
13-24
21-14
21-15
16-13
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
162.6Avg total
80.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.179.8158.9-0.659%
Season at home (8)79.874.9154.6+4.988%
Season away (9)78.684.1162.7-5.633%
Last 10 (10)80.382.3162.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)81.688.4170.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.389.3161.7-17.017%
vs Similar (16)79.878.1157.9+1.662%
vs Weaker (8)82.477.1159.5+5.275%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
MinasBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H05/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H23/12
NBB
75.4Avg total
38.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.674.9+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.135.876.9+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)37.635.573.1+2.169%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.875.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.072.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.937.973.7-2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.335.075.2+5.370%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
79.1Avg total
37.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.077.4-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.576.1+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.478.7-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.379.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.077.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.347.281.5-12.817%-
vs Similar (16)39.136.375.4+2.875%-
vs Weaker (8)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.3
53.5%
50.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
33.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
72.7%12.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.2
49.7%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.813.7
65.9%
72.7%13.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWLWWWWW
Bauru
LLLWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+16.2
Net rating
-3.7
109.5
Offensive rating
104.8
93.3
Defensive rating
108.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.4%
3-point %
34.4%
59.7%
Assist %
59.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 104.8Defence93.3 · 108.5Shooting51.7% · 50.5%3-point %32.4% · 34.4%Ball care17.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds37.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
17/10/24Bauru v Minas81-82 OT
02/03/24Bauru v Minas86-84 OT
16/11/23Minas v Bauru99-80
10/01/23Minas v Bauru63-58
21/10/22Bauru v Minas72-82
12/04/22Bauru v Minas101-69
09/01/22Minas v Bauru76-64
06/04/21Minas v Bauru81-79
05/01/21Bauru v Minas75-85
07/03/20Bauru v Minas84-94
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HSao Paulo77-63
20/12/24HPaulistano86-82
15/12/24AQuimsa84-73
14/12/24ABigua73-60
09/12/24AVasco64-81
05/12/24HPato97-70
02/12/24ABotafogo95-68
30/11/24AFlamengo81-70
16/11/24ACaxias do Sul78-58
14/11/24AUniao Corinthians89-71
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT
13/12/24HPato97-91
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83
03/12/24ACaxias do Sul71-66
30/11/24HUnifacisa70-61
27/11/24HCearense80-71
14/11/24APinheiros87-80
12/11/24ACorinthians Paulista87-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game82.885.080.9
Allowed / game69.668.270.9
Point differential+13.2+16.8+10.0
Avg total152.5153.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%62%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL59%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%88%33%
Points / game79.179.878.6
Allowed / game79.874.984.1
Point differential-0.6+4.9-5.6
Avg total158.9154.6162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1715288%82.869.6+13.2
2 Flamengo1714382%84.271.7+12.5
3 Franca1711665%81.276.7+4.5
4 Brasilia1711665%83.881.4+2.4
5 Vasco1710759%74.672.1+2.5
6 Pinheiros1710759%75.874.5+1.3
7 Sao Paulo1710759%78.978.3+0.6
8 Bauru1710759%79.179.8-0.6
9 Uniao Corinthians1710759%78.379.2-0.9
10 Paulistano1771041%77.775.6+2.1
11 Sao Jose1771041%74.975.1-0.2
12 Unifacisa1771041%74.976.8-1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista1761135%79.481.4-2.0
14 Pato1761135%82.685.3-2.7
15 Mogi1761135%72.478.6-6.2
16 Botafogo1751229%71.680.6-9.0
17 Caxias do Sul1741324%72.579.7-7.2
18 Cearense1741324%69.177.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2822181583
Bauru2716102073
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