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Bauru vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 81-82 (OT)
12-9 14-23 13-22 32-17 10-11
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game91.0
Bauru
Brazil
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game74.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Minas
05 Nov 2026
BAUR v MINA
upcoming
10 Feb 2026
BAUR105
MINA90
23 May 2025
BAUR59
MINA74
17 Oct 2024
BAUR81
MINA82
02 Mar 2024
BAUR86
MINA84
20 Oct 2022
BAUR72
MINA82
12 Apr 2022
BAUR101
MINA69
05 Jan 2021
BAUR75
MINA85
07 Mar 2020
BAUR84
MINA94
08 Apr 2019
BAUR85
MINA64
06 Apr 2019
BAUR66
MINA59
08 Nov 2018
BAUR81
MINA68
23 Dec 2017
BAUR89
MINA70
20 Dec 2016
BAUR75
MINA86
29 Jan 2016
BAUR94
MINA81
28 Feb 2015
BAUR89
MINA71
28 Jan 2014
BAUR76
MINA69
26 Jan 2013
BAUR91
MINA59
08 Apr 2012
BAUR76
MINA75
28 Nov 2010
BAUR78
MINA82
17 May 2009
BAUR79
MINA83
08 Apr 2009
BAUR78
MINA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
64avg 73
H27/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
72avg 73
A04/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
67-59
67
59
+8
63avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
74avg 73
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 73
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
61-92
61
92
-31
59avg 73
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
57avg 73
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-110
72
110
-38
92avg 73
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 73
H15/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-12
19-18
13-13
25-15
13-19
19-16
15-22
18-17
22-14
25-13
15-22
25-17
11-10
17-18
14-14
22-20
23-17
16-27
20-17
16-20
16-11
24-26
20-16
20-28
13-19
17-22
11-23
17-19
17-26
8-24
23-19
21-37
14-37
19-13
18-23
28-19
22-20
20-24
23-28
157.0Avg total
75.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.091.0184.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)93.091.0184.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
Last 5 (5)73.490.8164.2-17.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.887.3158.2-16.533%
vs Similar (16)82.277.9160.1+4.275%
vs Weaker (7)90.680.6171.1+10.086%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
80avg 82
A08/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
104-79
104
79
+25
101avg 82
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
98-67
98
67
+31
97avg 82
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
54avg 82
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 82
H20/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
64avg 82
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
83avg 82
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 82
A27/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
74-66
74
66
+8
91avg 82
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 82
A15/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
25-14
26-29
17-24
32-14
22-18
21-24
29-23
22-13
22-18
28-17
26-19
14-16
13-23
16-22
20-26
23-14
18-24
27-17
12-12
16-19
16-20
15-24
25-19
21-21
16-11
16-27
18-12
24-20
13-22
19-16
20-24
16-15
18-18
17-13
23-20
21-20
20-20
10-17
25-25
160.9Avg total
82.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.074.0149.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)74.066.0140.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)82.078.9160.9+3.150%
Last 5 (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.084.6164.6-4.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.075.5160.5+9.471%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
BauruMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H27/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-74
35
74
-39
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/10
NBB
77.8Avg total
38.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.983.0+3.281%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.978.7-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.677.8-1.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.284.0-10.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.348.787.0-10.333%-
vs Similar (16)41.636.077.6+5.681%-
vs Weaker (7)43.939.082.9+4.957%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A08/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
NBB
74.7Avg total
38.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.179.7+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.134.276.3+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.983.2-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.974.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.273.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.940.478.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.937.380.2+5.667%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.0
26.2%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.6
78.0%
72.7%15.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.7
34.6%
33.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.7%
72.7%15.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLLLWLWWLW
Minas
LWLWLWLWWL
#4
League position
#1
-8.7
Net rating
+4.2
97.8
Offensive rating
109.8
106.5
Defensive rating
105.7
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.2%
3-point %
34.6%
64.5%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 109.8Defence106.5 · 105.7Shooting47.9% · 50.9%3-point %26.2% · 34.6%Ball care18.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds22.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bauru   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bauru wins
8
Minas wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Bauru v Minas86-84 OT
16/11/23Minas v Bauru99-80
10/01/23Minas v Bauru63-58
21/10/22Bauru v Minas72-82
12/04/22Bauru v Minas101-69
09/01/22Minas v Bauru76-64
06/04/21Minas v Bauru81-79
05/01/21Bauru v Minas75-85
07/03/20Bauru v Minas84-94
19/11/19Minas v Bauru87-68
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HBrasilia93-91
23/05/24HFlamengo72-110
21/05/24HFlamengo65-88
18/05/24AFlamengo61-92
14/05/24AVasco76-73
12/05/24AVasco87-95 OT
09/05/24HVasco67-59
07/05/24HVasco80-66
04/05/24AVasco78-84 OT
27/04/24HPato71-62
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AFranca76-82
12/10/24HBrasilia74-66
27/05/24AFranca76-82
25/05/24AFranca93-91 OT
22/05/24HFranca72-82
20/05/24HFranca80-67
17/05/24AFranca63-87
13/05/24HSao Paulo98-67
11/05/24HSao Paulo104-79
08/05/24ASao Paulo84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.074.076.0
Allowed / game74.066.082.0
Point differential+1.0+8.0-6.0
Avg total149.0140.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unifacisa110100%83.071.0+12.0
2 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
3 Cearense110100%76.068.0+8.0
4 Botafogo220100%76.570.0+6.5
5 Franca110100%82.076.0+6.0
6 Bauru110100%93.091.0+2.0
7 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
8 Mogi21150%71.069.5+1.5
9 Minas21150%75.074.0+1.0
10 Pato21150%78.077.0+1.0
11 Vasco21150%59.059.0+0.0
12 Pinheiros21150%65.073.5-8.5
13 Corinthians Paulista1010%86.089.0-3.0
14 Brasilia2020%78.583.5-5.0
15 Caxias do Sul1010%68.076.0-8.0
16 Sao Jose2020%64.574.5-10.0
17 Uniao Corinthians1010%71.083.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bauru121413321081
Minas92322171182
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