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Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 100-61
26-12 17-21 24-19 33-9
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game67.3
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game81.7
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minas v Brasilia
29 Oct 2026
MINA100
BRAS61
17 Feb 2026
MINA92
BRAS91
28 Jan 2025
MINA61
BRAS58
12 Oct 2024
MINA74
BRAS66
20 Dec 2023
MINA91
BRAS71
17 Feb 2023
MINA110
BRAS79
11 Mar 2022
MINA95
BRAS82
02 Dec 2020
MINA105
BRAS100
29 Dec 2019
MINA90
BRAS60
26 Mar 2019
MINA68
BRAS74
13 Mar 2017
MINA62
BRAS74
29 Mar 2016
MINA107
BRAS95
29 Jan 2015
MINA79
BRAS87
15 Mar 2014
MINA62
BRAS71
17 Jan 2013
MINA86
BRAS90
19 Jan 2012
MINA69
BRAS81
25 Mar 2011
MINA91
BRAS103
02 Jun 2009
MINA90
BRAS101
27 May 2009
MINA91
BRAS78
13 Mar 2009
MINA81
BRAS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Minas
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.9
86.0▼ 2.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.6
79.4▼ 3.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
61%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.6
22.4▲ 1.8
🔥 Form · Brasilia
5.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.0
84.2▲ 4.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.4
76.4▲ 3.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
66%▲ 10%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.1
15.6▼ 2.5
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H27/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
29-12
18-22
13-32
25-9
27-28
29-16
20-21
24-16
19-27
27-15
33-35
23-27
29-26
15-25
23-22
28-19
14-23
32-22
23-27
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
175.4Avg total
90.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.067.3151.3+16.7100%
Season at home (1)86.065.0151.0+21.0100%
Season away (2)83.068.5151.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.285.2175.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)86.079.4165.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.095.8183.8-7.820%
vs Similar (8)89.894.8184.5-5.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.580.4171.8+11.182%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H13/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
104-92
104
92
+12
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A27/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
19-26
27-25
19-22
21-12
22-22
14-19
15-16
17-19
17-19
13-25
20-13
24-7
9-19
17-12
17-12
12-28
27-20
18-16
17-27
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
29-22
25-16
18-16
19-19
16-21
16-28
30-11
27-20
155.3Avg total
78.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.781.7176.3+13.0100%
Season at home (2)97.582.5180.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.976.4155.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)84.276.4160.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.572.8143.3-2.333%
vs Similar (12)86.282.1168.2+4.175%
vs Weaker (12)77.767.1144.8+10.683%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
MinasBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
87.6Avg total
46.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.290.6+2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.842.187.9+3.650%-
Last 30 away (16)47.045.992.9+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.687.6+4.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.648.690.2-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)46.849.596.2-2.812%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.740.488.1+7.471%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H13/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
NBB
78.0Avg total
38.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.976.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.337.277.5+3.165%-
Last 30 away (13)36.238.875.0-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.978.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.878.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.236.269.3-3.050%-
vs Similar (12)41.843.284.9-1.442%-
vs Weaker (12)37.933.671.5+4.367%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.1
58.4%
49.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.6
33.0%
31.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.917.6
73.6%
71.2%17.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.3
51.6%
49.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
31.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.310.5
73.4%
71.2%10.5
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWLLWLWWL
Brasilia
WWWLWLWLWL
#1
League position
#5
+5.7
Net rating
-0.5
98.8
Offensive rating
91.2
93.1
Defensive rating
91.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.0%
3-point %
35.1%
69.7%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 91.2Defence93.1 · 91.7Shooting54.4% · 52.0%3-point %33.0% · 35.1%Ball care15.4% · 16.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
17/02/26Minas v Brasilia92-91
10/11/25Brasilia v Minas80-78
01/04/25Brasilia v Minas63-77
28/01/25Minas v Brasilia61-58
12/10/24Minas v Brasilia74-66
17/01/24Brasilia v Minas68-111
20/12/23Minas v Brasilia91-71
17/02/23Minas v Brasilia110-79
19/11/22Brasilia v Minas74-94
11/03/22Minas v Brasilia95-82
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103
07/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-91
04/05/26HCorinthians Paulista90-100
29/04/26HCruzeiro103-93
26/04/26ACruzeiro101-74
24/04/26ACruzeiro81-97
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ACruzeiro89-80
24/10/26HPaulistano91-73
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69
23/05/26HFranca74-91
21/05/26HFranca67-50
18/05/26AFranca67-76
15/05/26HFlamengo72-69
13/05/26HFlamengo88-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.086.083.0
Allowed / game67.365.068.5
Point differential+16.7+21.0+14.5
Avg total151.3151.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.797.589.0
Allowed / game81.782.580.0
Point differential+13.0+15.0+9.0
Avg total176.3180.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas330100%84.067.3+16.7
2 Brasilia330100%94.781.7+13.0
3 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Pinheiros32167%79.369.0+10.3
6 Bauru32167%75.376.0-0.7
7 Paulistano32167%72.775.7-3.0
8 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
9 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
10 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
11 Osasco21150%81.582.5-1.0
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Botafogo31233%81.084.0-3.0
14 Uniao Corinthians31233%72.379.0-6.7
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul3030%69.778.0-8.3
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas26172433100
Brasilia122119961
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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