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Paulistano vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 71-86
9-24 21-19 21-17 20-26
Position#7
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game72.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr (Sao Paulo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Minas
21 Dec 2026
PAUL v MINA
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
PAUL104
MINA83
14 Apr 2025
PAUL66
MINA76
25 Nov 2023
PAUL71
MINA86
02 May 2023
PAUL68
MINA77
30 Apr 2023
PAUL80
MINA76
03 Dec 2022
PAUL90
MINA73
13 Nov 2021
PAUL67
MINA96
01 Mar 2021
PAUL76
MINA74
04 Nov 2019
PAUL80
MINA76
24 Oct 2018
PAUL81
MINA76
16 Nov 2017
PAUL93
MINA86
26 Nov 2016
PAUL98
MINA86
08 Dec 2015
PAUL82
MINA50
28 Nov 2014
PAUL62
MINA83
16 Jan 2014
PAUL80
MINA66
13 Dec 2012
PAUL92
MINA78
15 Dec 2011
PAUL88
MINA83
25 Feb 2011
PAUL72
MINA70
28 Jan 2009
PAUL82
MINA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
50-89
50
89
-39
38avg 65
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
64avg 65
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
71-52
71
52
+19
70avg 65
H02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 65
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
67-55
67
55
+12
58avg 65
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
65avg 65
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 65
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 65
H22/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
21-20
23-12
26-17
12-18
22-16
7-15
26-22
14-24
11-22
15-14
10-29
14-20
28-14
16-19
13-22
17-9
17-16
19-14
18-13
20-23
26-16
16-15
18-19
11-16
18-14
23-13
15-12
21-12
22-22
20-18
9-16
20-20
20-13
22-21
17-17
23-17
24-15
25-13
7-23
140.9Avg total
71.9Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.168.9140.0+2.275%
Season at home (4)74.262.0136.2+12.2100%
Season away (4)68.075.8143.8-7.850%
Last 10 (10)71.969.0140.9+2.970%
Last 5 (5)75.467.0142.4+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)60.086.0146.0-26.00%
vs Similar (14)76.574.4150.9+2.150%
vs Weaker (13)83.569.8153.3+13.692%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 81
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-76
96
76
+20
101avg 81
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
72-60
72
60
+12
64avg 81
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 81
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-70
79
70
+9
75avg 81
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
99-80
99
80
+19
103avg 81
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
67avg 81
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 81
A23/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
27-19
26-23
21-21
19-29
25-22
23-25
12-17
26-27
27-14
21-18
13-11
33-25
21-12
21-10
21-29
16-18
18-17
26-14
12-11
19-14
18-28
25-9
15-16
21-10
21-22
14-15
23-23
26-16
25-25
26-20
22-19
21-13
13-23
19-23
18-22
30-24
21-16
15-14
17-21
159.8Avg total
83.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.072.4155.4+10.688%
Season at home (2)85.080.5165.5+4.550%
Season away (6)82.369.7152.0+12.7100%
Last 10 (10)83.676.2159.8+7.480%
Last 5 (5)81.874.6156.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.993.3183.1-3.429%
vs Similar (9)80.875.2156.0+5.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.277.9165.1+9.486%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
PaulistanoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
NBB
72.0Avg total
37.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.275.7+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.234.076.2+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)36.338.875.1-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.672.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.674.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.546.577.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (14)39.737.477.1+2.443%-
vs Weaker (13)41.233.774.8+7.577%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A23/11
NBB
84.7Avg total
44.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.138.582.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.640.985.5+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.184.7+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.647.495.0+0.129%-
vs Similar (9)40.135.375.4+4.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.538.984.4+6.664%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.1
46.1%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.9
31.4%
33.9%20.6
🏀 Free throws17.011.5
67.6%
72.6%11.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.0
54.5%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.5
36.5%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
72.6%14.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWWWWWLLLW
Minas
WLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
+3.1
Net rating
+13.6
97.2
Offensive rating
112.5
94.1
Defensive rating
98.9
46.4%
Effective FG%
54.7%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.4%
3-point %
36.5%
60.1%
Assist %
73.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 112.5Defence94.1 · 98.9Shooting46.4% · 54.7%3-point %31.4% · 36.5%Ball care20.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.6% · 32.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Paulistano   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Paulistano wins
6
Minas wins
DateGameScore
09/05/23Minas v Paulistano71-67
07/05/23Minas v Paulistano68-83
02/05/23Paulistano v Minas68-77
30/04/23Paulistano v Minas80-76
27/04/23Minas v Paulistano85-82
03/04/23Minas v Paulistano105-70
03/12/22Paulistano v Minas90-73
15/02/22Minas v Paulistano104-67
13/11/21Paulistano v Minas67-96
01/03/21Paulistano v Minas76-74
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HPato79-68
17/11/23ACorinthians Paulista79-71
09/11/23APinheiros72-68
06/11/23HUnifacisa67-55
04/11/23HCearense80-73
02/11/23HSao Paulo71-52
26/10/23ABauru71-75
23/10/23AFranca50-89
09/05/23AMinas67-71
07/05/23AMinas83-68
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23ASao Paulo83-75
18/11/23HFranca71-81
16/11/23HBauru99-80
10/11/23AMogi79-70
08/11/23ASao Jose77-67
23/10/23AVasco72-60
21/10/23ABotafogo96-76
13/10/23AFlamengo87-70
23/05/23AFranca79-93
21/05/23AFranca93-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game71.174.268.0
Allowed / game68.962.075.8
Point differential+2.2+12.2-7.8
Avg total140.0136.2143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%50%100%
Points / game83.085.082.3
Allowed / game72.480.569.7
Point differential+10.6+4.5+12.7
Avg total155.4165.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas87188%83.072.4+10.6
2 Cearense87188%78.572.8+5.8
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Flamengo86275%81.873.2+8.5
5 Vasco86275%71.264.6+6.6
6 Paulistano86275%71.168.9+2.2
7 Sao Jose85362%81.673.5+8.1
8 Unifacisa85362%75.872.4+3.4
9 Bauru106460%79.074.8+4.2
10 Pato115645%74.978.4-3.5
11 Caxias do Sul94544%71.779.2-7.6
12 Uniao Corinthians94544%73.281.6-8.3
13 Corinthians Paulista83538%75.676.8-1.1
14 Sao Paulo93633%77.481.8-4.3
15 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
16 Cerrado92722%72.873.2-0.4
17 Brasilia92722%70.883.4-12.7
18 Botafogo112918%74.483.7-9.4
19 Mogi81712%73.280.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano921212071
Minas2419172686
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