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Sao Paulo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-83
24-30 16-21 14-15 21-17
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game72.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Minas
12 Apr 2025
SAO 71
MINA67
08 May 2024
SAO 86
MINA84
06 May 2024
SAO 105
MINA74
23 Nov 2023
SAO 75
MINA83
27 Dec 2022
SAO 100
MINA83
04 Jan 2022
SAO 91
MINA87
15 May 2021
SAO 80
MINA79
12 May 2021
SAO 90
MINA85
25 Feb 2021
SAO 90
MINA92
02 Nov 2019
SAO 75
MINA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-92
68
92
-24
no box
A10/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
92-100
92
100
-8
80avg 70
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
55avg 70
A24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
52-71
52
71
-19
34avg 70
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 70
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
99avg 70
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
77avg 70
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
89-67
89
67
+22
85avg 70
H20/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
8-18
23-24
21-15
13-27
21-18
16-19
18-28
27-18
16-24
22-27
27-31
11-21
21-24
22-24
12-18
9-17
16-17
14-19
13-18
24-23
19-26
12-19
15-18
21-19
24-19
21-24
28-24
16-19
18-20
19-18
25-24
19-20
18-21
22-16
22-18
20-25
20-19
22-10
27-13
160.2Avg total
77.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.881.6159.4-3.938%
Season at home (3)84.379.7164.0+4.767%
Season away (5)73.882.8156.6-9.020%
Last 10 (10)77.682.6160.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.783.2164.9-1.650%
vs Similar (12)79.981.8161.7-1.850%
vs Weaker (6)85.878.7164.5+7.267%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 81
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-76
96
76
+20
101avg 81
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
72-60
72
60
+12
64avg 81
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 81
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-70
79
70
+9
75avg 81
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
99-80
99
80
+19
103avg 81
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
67avg 81
H18/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-16
23-28
20-27
19-27
27-19
26-23
21-21
19-29
25-22
23-25
12-17
26-27
27-14
21-18
13-11
33-25
21-12
21-10
21-29
16-18
18-17
26-14
12-11
19-14
18-28
25-9
15-16
21-10
21-22
14-15
23-23
26-16
25-25
26-20
22-19
21-13
13-23
19-23
18-22
162.6Avg total
84.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.072.0155.0+11.086%
Season at home (2)85.080.5165.5+4.550%
Season away (5)82.268.6150.8+13.6100%
Last 10 (10)84.478.2162.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)79.671.6151.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.491.5179.9-3.125%
vs Similar (9)80.875.2156.0+5.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.578.1165.6+9.585%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
Sao PauloMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A10/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/11
NBB
79.4Avg total
37.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.481.6+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.138.984.1+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)37.841.679.4-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.979.4-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.540.580.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (12)39.341.580.8-2.242%-
vs Weaker (6)48.537.886.3+10.767%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/11
NBB
84.4Avg total
44.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.983.8+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.138.582.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.741.184.8+2.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.184.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.246.893.0-0.525%-
vs Similar (9)40.135.375.4+4.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.138.883.8+6.362%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.4
51.5%
51.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.4
34.2%
33.9%28.1
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.9%
72.6%13.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.7
56.2%
51.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.0%
33.9%28.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.3%
72.6%15.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
WWLWLLLLLW
Minas
LWWWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#3
-6.5
Net rating
+14.3
107.4
Offensive rating
112.0
113.9
Defensive rating
97.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
34.0%
58.4%
Assist %
74.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 112.0Defence113.9 · 97.8Shooting51.4% · 53.8%3-point %34.2% · 34.0%Ball care14.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 32.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sao Paulo wins
3
Minas wins
DateGameScore
14/03/23Minas v Sao Paulo87-76
27/12/22Sao Paulo v Minas100-83
07/04/22Minas v Sao Paulo79-93
31/03/22Minas v Sao Paulo61-82
22/01/22Minas v Sao Paulo78-77
04/01/22Sao Paulo v Minas91-87
15/05/21Sao Paulo v Minas80-79
12/05/21Sao Paulo v Minas90-85
10/05/21Minas v Sao Paulo70-88
13/04/21Minas v Sao Paulo75-58
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HPato89-67
17/11/23APinheiros81-75
14/11/23ACorinthians Paulista78-81
08/11/23HUnifacisa94-86
06/11/23HCearense70-86
02/11/23APaulistano52-71
24/10/23ABauru66-87
21/10/23AFranca92-100
10/06/23AFranca68-92
08/06/23AFranca86-81
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HFranca71-81
16/11/23HBauru99-80
10/11/23AMogi79-70
08/11/23ASao Jose77-67
23/10/23AVasco72-60
21/10/23ABotafogo96-76
13/10/23AFlamengo87-70
23/05/23AFranca79-93
21/05/23AFranca93-90
18/05/23HFranca91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game77.884.373.8
Allowed / game81.679.782.8
Point differential-3.9+4.7-9.0
Avg total159.4164.0156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %86%50%100%
Points / game83.085.082.2
Allowed / game72.080.568.6
Point differential+11.0+4.5+13.6
Avg total155.0165.5150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas76186%83.072.0+11.0
2 Cearense76186%78.673.9+4.7
3 Franca86275%89.876.4+13.4
4 Vasco86275%71.264.6+6.6
5 Paulistano86275%71.168.9+2.2
6 Flamengo75271%79.971.4+8.4
7 Sao Jose85362%81.673.5+8.1
8 Bauru106460%79.074.8+4.2
9 Unifacisa74357%75.772.0+3.7
10 Corinthians Paulista63350%77.576.7+0.8
11 Caxias do Sul84450%73.178.0-4.9
12 Pato115645%74.978.4-3.5
13 Uniao Corinthians94544%73.281.6-8.3
14 Sao Paulo83538%77.881.6-3.9
15 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
16 Brasilia82625%73.083.4-10.4
17 Botafogo112918%74.483.7-9.4
18 Mogi71614%71.478.4-7.0
19 Cerrado81712%71.475.8-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2416142175
Minas3021151783
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