PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minas vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-66
16-24 20-14 25-18 21-10
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Sao Paulo
Brazil
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilSuper 8Super 8 - Quarter-finals· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025
Meetings · Minas v Sao Paulo
25 Jan 2025
MINA82
SAO 66
23 Dec 2024
MINA77
SAO 63
13 May 2024
MINA98
SAO 67
11 May 2024
MINA104
SAO 79
03 May 2024
MINA84
SAO 59
15 Feb 2024
MINA86
SAO 94
14 Mar 2023
MINA87
SAO 76
07 Apr 2022
MINA79
SAO 93
31 Mar 2022
MINA61
SAO 82
22 Jan 2022
MINA78
SAO 77
10 May 2021
MINA70
SAO 88
13 Apr 2021
MINA75
SAO 58
19 Jan 2021
MINA70
SAO 78
19 Dec 2020
MINA96
SAO 92
07 Feb 2020
MINA85
SAO 87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Bigua
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 79
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 79
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
82avg 79
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
60avg 79
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 79
H27/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
92-73
92
73
+19
91avg 79
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 79
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
70avg 79
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 79
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 79
A22/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-9
22-16
14-17
21-31
18-14
20-17
25-11
24-27
18-20
21-20
23-15
14-21
13-19
24-13
26-10
28-27
22-16
18-10
15-20
23-16
28-16
22-15
19-26
25-11
23-21
17-16
20-29
21-21
19-16
28-20
12-12
20-29
21-19
19-31
28-19
23-13
19-21
17-20
20-14
156.3Avg total
82.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.773.6156.3+9.190%
Last 5 (5)84.877.0161.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)79.179.2158.4-0.150%
vs Weaker (22)82.970.5153.3+12.491%
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 75
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 75
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 75
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 75
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 75
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
77avg 75
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
70avg 75
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
69-80
69
80
-11
66avg 75
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 75
A21/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 75
H23/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
17-18
28-19
29-21
12-25
20-20
21-19
17-16
27-19
18-14
20-25
17-13
30-23
27-25
13-21
15-14
21-14
19-13
13-24
10-26
15-24
29-19
18-21
14-16
21-18
12-23
20-18
20-16
14-26
20-19
15-24
20-11
13-16
15-20
20-19
17-20
23-22
18-20
19-28
20-19
154.1Avg total
75.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.278.9154.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)72.679.8152.4-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.882.4162.1-2.650%
vs Similar (10)80.183.0163.1-2.940%
vs Weaker (4)78.577.0155.5+1.550%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
MinasSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H27/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A22/01
NBB
80.2Avg total
41.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.975.8+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.636.978.5+4.769%-
Last 30 away (17)38.535.173.6+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.580.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.681.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.837.174.9+0.662%-
vs Weaker (22)40.635.576.1+5.273%-
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/01
NBB
78.5Avg total
38.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.478.8-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)38.340.979.2-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.978.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.477.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.440.178.4-1.738%-
vs Similar (10)40.141.781.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (4)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.9
51.7%
49.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.012.9
64.5%
69.9%12.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
49.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.7
28.2%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
69.9%15.7
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWWWWWWWW
Sao Paulo
LLLLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#6
+12.2
Net rating
-5.3
107.4
Offensive rating
100.6
95.2
Defensive rating
105.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.8%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.4%
3-point %
28.2%
58.7%
Assist %
65.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 100.6Defence95.2 · 105.9Shooting52.2% · 50.8%3-point %35.4% · 28.2%Ball care18.4% · 20.8%Off. rebounds34.7% · 25.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Minas   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Minas wins
4
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
23/12/24Minas v Sao Paulo77-63
13/05/24Minas v Sao Paulo98-67
11/05/24Minas v Sao Paulo104-79
08/05/24Sao Paulo v Minas86-84
06/05/24Sao Paulo v Minas105-74
03/05/24Minas v Sao Paulo84-59
15/02/24Minas v Sao Paulo86-94
23/11/23Sao Paulo v Minas75-83
14/03/23Minas v Sao Paulo87-76
27/12/22Sao Paulo v Minas100-83
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25AMogi79-68
20/01/25ASao Jose88-98
13/01/25HQuimsa80-69
12/01/25ABigua85-77
29/12/24HFranca92-73
27/12/24HBauru83-73
23/12/24HSao Paulo77-63
20/12/24HPaulistano86-82
15/12/24AQuimsa84-73
14/12/24ABigua73-60
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HSao Jose80-89
21/01/25AFranca65-75
17/01/25HMogi69-80
11/01/25ABauru73-75
28/12/24APaulistano76-80
23/12/24AMinas63-77
21/12/24ABrasilia85-83
15/12/24HBotafogo82-71
12/12/24HUniao Corinthians70-80
10/12/24HCaxias do Sul89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
Super 8 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sao Paulo
Super 8 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1620252182
Sao Paulo2414181066
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.