PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record7-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Cleveland Cavaliers
11 Jan 2027
MIN v CLE
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
MIN131
CLE122
18 Jan 2025
MIN117
CLE124
22 Mar 2024
MIN104
CLE91
14 Jan 2023
MIN110
CLE102
10 Dec 2021
MIN106
CLE123
31 Jan 2021
MIN109
CLE104
28 Dec 2019
MIN88
CLE94
19 Oct 2018
MIN131
CLE123
08 Jan 2018
MIN127
CLE99
14 Feb 2017
MIN108
CLE116
08 Jan 2016
MIN99
CLE125
31 Jan 2015
MIN90
CLE106
13 Nov 2013
MIN124
CLE95
07 Dec 2012
MIN91
CLE73
06 Jan 2012
MIN87
CLE98
04 Dec 2010
MIN129
CLE95
30 Oct 2009
MIN87
CLE104
17 Dec 2008
MIN70
CLE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 107
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 107
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 107
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 107
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 107
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 107
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 106
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
112-117
112
117
-5
81avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
116-124
116
124
-8
86avg 106
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
119-95
119
95
+24
91avg 106
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 106
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
112-124
112
124
-12
83avg 106
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
115-107
115
107
+8
95avg 106
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
121-133
121
133
-12
97avg 106
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
127-117
127
117
+10
93avg 106
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
30-26
18-33
36-31
28-27
20-37
24-23
30-28
42-36
33-22
29-32
29-20
28-21
27-26
26-37
17-25
27-21
28-29
25-40
27-38
32-17
33-23
26-30
23-23
33-31
27-29
30-25
34-38
30-41
33-33
38-20
34-38
22-26
231.7Avg total
116.6Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)117.5115.9233.4+1.650%
Season at home (7)118.3113.6231.9+4.771%
Season away (7)116.7118.1234.9-1.429%
Last 10 (10)116.6115.1231.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)114.4118.0232.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)107.1112.0219.1-4.943%
vs Similar (12)112.8113.9226.8-1.133%
vs Weaker (4)123.5116.8240.2+6.875%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H15/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
56.3Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.655.5110.1-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.958.6115.6-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)52.652.8105.4-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.7112.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.4117.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.455.8108.2-3.429%-
vs Similar (12)54.353.9108.2+0.433%-
vs Weaker (4)63.059.5122.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.6
33.2%
35.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.321.4
73.0%
77.3%21.4
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#17
+4.6
Net rating
-6.4
110.9
Offensive rating
104.8
106.3
Defensive rating
111.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
33.2%
57.6%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 104.8Defence106.3 · 111.2Shooting53.1% · 52.2%3-point %36.0% · 33.2%Ball care14.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds34.8% · 19.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDallas Mavericks127-117
14/11/26AMiami Heat121-133
12/11/26ANew York Knicks115-107
10/11/26ACharlotte Hornets112-124
08/11/26HNew York Knicks97-109
07/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-95
05/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-124
03/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game117.5118.3116.7
Allowed / game115.9113.6118.1
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.4
Avg total233.4231.9234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.