PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 146-134
29-33 34-32 36-26 47-43
Position#9
Record21-18
FormWWLWL
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game117.2
vs
Position#10
Record25-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game114.3
USANBA· Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves
26 Oct 2026
CLE127
MIN125
10 Jan 2026
CLE146
MIN134
10 Feb 2025
CLE128
MIN107
08 Mar 2024
CLE113
MIN104
13 Nov 2022
CLE124
MIN129
28 Feb 2022
CLE122
MIN127
01 Feb 2021
CLE100
MIN98
05 Jan 2020
CLE103
MIN118
26 Nov 2018
CLE95
MIN102
07 Feb 2018
CLE140
MIN138
01 Feb 2017
CLE125
MIN97
25 Jan 2016
CLE114
MIN107
23 Dec 2014
CLE125
MIN104
04 Nov 2013
CLE93
MIN92
11 Feb 2013
CLE92
MIN100
26 Dec 2010
CLE97
MIN98
27 Jan 2010
CLE109
MIN95
27 Mar 2009
CLE107
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
139-132
139
132
+7
138avg 111
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
141-118
141
118
+23
142avg 111
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 111
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
100-117
100
117
-17
85avg 111
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
129-113
129
113
+16
128avg 111
H31/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-108
113
108
+5
117avg 111
H03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
104avg 111
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
120-116
120
116
+4
123avg 111
A07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
122-131
122
131
-9
116avg 111
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-36
37-27
34-32
35-37
32-22
37-38
41-31
31-27
38-23
20-37
38-24
28-42
24-32
22-28
17-30
37-27
25-26
24-29
27-23
37-23
37-21
30-33
29-35
33-24
28-24
34-35
26-38
25-11
28-19
28-47
26-21
28-27
22-28
31-32
31-33
36-23
31-32
36-31
22-43
33-25
238.7Avg total
121.1Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)119.3117.2236.4+2.154%
Season at home (22)118.0115.1233.1+2.959%
Season away (17)120.9119.8240.8+1.147%
Last 10 (10)121.1117.6238.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)118.8116.4235.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)118.4115.0233.4+3.440%
vs Similar ◀ (15)116.3118.8235.1-2.533%
vs Weaker (10)123.6117.9241.5+5.780%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 111
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-104
115
104
+11
102avg 111
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
138-142 OT
138
142
-4
128avg 111
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
107-123
107
123
-16
96avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-126
102
126
-24
93avg 111
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
121avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
141-115
141
115
+26
137avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-94
122
94
+28
120avg 111
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-31
27-15
28-25
31-28
27-24
27-27
30-25
29-32
26-25
23-35
37-23
30-33
33-29
23-36
21-25
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
26-33
23-37
24-28
29-28
27-25
29-25
34-36
35-29
38-28
35-30
35-21
33-36
27-29
34-25
32-23
29-17
32-31
31-36
43-22
25-33
236.2Avg total
122.0Scored
114.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)119.9114.3234.2+5.766%
Season at home (20)116.5109.9226.4+6.670%
Season away (18)123.7119.1242.8+4.661%
Last 10 (10)122.0114.2236.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)124.2114.4238.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)115.2110.2225.4+5.080%
vs Similar ◀ (10)118.4117.0235.4+1.450%
vs Weaker (15)124.3111.7236.0+12.780%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
Cleveland CavaliersMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H31/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A09/01
NBA
119.7Avg total
59.7Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.160.4117.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.660.5117.1-3.939%-
Last 30 away (12)57.860.2118.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)59.760.0119.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)61.060.4121.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.662.2117.8-6.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.159.5115.6-3.540%-
vs Weaker (10)59.460.7120.1-1.350%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NBA
116.1Avg total
58.1Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.056.7114.7+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.156.4115.5+2.847%-
Last 30 away (13)56.557.2113.8-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)58.158.0116.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)60.459.8120.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.056.6109.6-3.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)55.359.5114.8-4.230%-
vs Weaker (15)61.554.9116.4+6.560%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.830.5
57.8%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.9
38.9%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws19.415.4
79.4%
78.1%15.4
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 122.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.331.3
59.8%
54.8%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.613.9
35.1%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws23.917.7
74.1%
78.1%17.7
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWLWWWLLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLLWW
#9
League position
#10
+3.4
Net rating
+7.4
116.8
Offensive rating
116.4
113.4
Defensive rating
109.0
58.0%
Effective FG%
56.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
11.5%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.9%
3-point %
35.1%
67.8%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 116.4Defence113.4 · 109.0Shooting58.0% · 56.7%3-point %38.9% · 35.1%Ball care14.0% · 11.5%Off. rebounds26.3% · 24.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves122-131
07/01/26AIndiana Pacers120-116
04/01/26HDetroit Pistons110-114
03/01/26HDenver Nuggets113-108
31/12/25HPhoenix Suns129-113
30/12/25ASan Antonio Spurs113-101
28/12/25AHouston Rockets100-117
25/12/25ANew York Knicks124-126
24/12/25HNew Orleans Pelicans141-118
23/12/25HCharlotte Hornets139-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers131-122
07/01/26HMiami Heat122-94
04/01/26AWashington Wizards141-115
03/01/26AMiami Heat125-115
31/12/25AAtlanta Hawks102-126
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101
28/12/25HBrooklyn Nets107-123
26/12/25ADenver Nuggets138-142 OT
24/12/25HNew York Knicks115-104
22/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks103-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWWWL59%
AwayLLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392217
Win %54%59%47%
Points / game119.3118.0120.9
Allowed / game117.2115.1119.8
Point differential+2.1+2.9+1.1
Avg total236.4233.1240.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%5%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %66%70%61%
Points / game119.9116.5123.7
Allowed / game114.3109.9119.1
Point differential+5.7+6.7+4.6
Avg total234.2226.4242.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3731684%121.2108.7+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons3728976%118.5111.6+6.9
3 San Antonio Spurs35241169%118.9113.3+5.6
4 Minnesota Timberwolves38251366%119.9114.3+5.7
5 Denver Nuggets38251366%123.1117.8+5.3
6 Los Angeles Lakers35231266%115.8115.8+0.0
7 Boston Celtics37241365%117.8110.7+7.0
8 Houston Rockets35221363%118.5110.7+7.7
9 Phoenix Suns37231462%115.4111.6+3.9
10 New York Knicks36221461%119.1115.2+3.9
11 Toronto Raptors38231561%114.4112.1+2.4
12 Philadelphia 76ers36211558%117.2115.5+1.7
13 Miami Heat36201656%120.4117.4+3.0
14 Orlando Magic37201754%115.8114.6+1.1
15 Golden State Warriors39211854%115.5113.4+2.2
16 Cleveland Cavaliers39211854%119.3117.2+2.1
17 Portland Trail Blazers39192049%116.4118.7-2.4
18 Atlanta Hawks40192148%118.2118.5-0.3
19 Chicago Bulls37172046%117.1121.2-4.1
20 Milwaukee Bucks38172145%113.1115.3-2.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies38162242%115.2116.7-1.4
22 Los Angeles Clippers37142338%112.3114.2-1.9
23 Dallas Mavericks38142437%113.1116.9-3.8
24 Utah Jazz37132435%119.6126.7-7.1
25 Charlotte Hornets38132534%115.4117.2-1.8
26 Brooklyn Nets35112431%109.1114.2-5.0
27 Washington Wizards37102727%113.3124.3-11.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans4093122%114.8122.3-7.5
29 Sacramento Kings3883021%109.8122.1-12.3
30 Indiana Pacers3873118%110.8119.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Cavaliers29343647146
Minnesota Timberwolves33322643134
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.