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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 131-122
32-31 31-36 43-22 25-33
Position#10
Record24-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game114.1
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
USA
Position#9
Record21-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Cleveland Cavaliers
11 Jan 2027
MIN v CLE
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
MIN131
CLE122
18 Jan 2025
MIN117
CLE124
22 Mar 2024
MIN104
CLE91
14 Jan 2023
MIN110
CLE102
10 Dec 2021
MIN106
CLE123
31 Jan 2021
MIN109
CLE104
28 Dec 2019
MIN88
CLE94
19 Oct 2018
MIN131
CLE123
08 Jan 2018
MIN127
CLE99
14 Feb 2017
MIN108
CLE116
08 Jan 2016
MIN99
CLE125
31 Jan 2015
MIN90
CLE106
13 Nov 2013
MIN124
CLE95
07 Dec 2012
MIN91
CLE73
06 Jan 2012
MIN87
CLE98
04 Dec 2010
MIN129
CLE95
30 Oct 2009
MIN87
CLE104
17 Dec 2008
MIN70
CLE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
112-107
112
107
+5
100avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 110
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-104
115
104
+11
102avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
138-142 OT
138
142
-4
128avg 110
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
107-123
107
123
-16
96avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 110
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-126
102
126
-24
93avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
121avg 110
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
141-115
141
115
+26
137avg 110
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-94
122
94
+28
120avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
25-18
35-34
29-22
23-29
25-31
27-15
28-25
31-28
27-24
27-27
30-25
29-32
26-25
23-35
37-23
30-33
33-29
23-36
21-25
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
26-33
23-37
24-28
29-28
27-25
29-25
34-36
35-29
38-28
35-30
35-21
33-36
27-29
34-25
32-23
29-17
232.8Avg total
120.1Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)119.6114.1233.7+5.665%
Season at home (19)115.8109.3225.1+6.568%
Season away (18)123.7119.1242.8+4.661%
Last 10 (10)120.1112.7232.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)125.2110.2235.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)115.0114.7229.7+0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (9)117.0116.4233.4+0.644%
vs Weaker (15)124.3111.7236.0+12.780%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
125-136
125
136
-11
117avg 111
H20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
139-132
139
132
+7
138avg 111
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
141-118
141
118
+23
142avg 111
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 111
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
100-117
100
117
-17
85avg 111
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
129-113
129
113
+16
128avg 111
H31/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-108
113
108
+5
117avg 111
H03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
104avg 111
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
120-116
120
116
+4
123avg 111
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
23-34
44-35
26-35
33-36
37-27
34-32
35-37
32-22
37-38
41-31
31-27
38-23
20-37
38-24
28-42
24-32
22-28
17-30
37-27
25-26
24-29
27-23
37-23
37-21
30-33
29-35
33-24
28-24
34-35
26-38
25-11
28-19
28-47
26-21
28-27
22-28
31-32
31-33
36-23
239.5Avg total
121.4Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)119.2116.8236.0+2.455%
Season at home (22)118.0115.1233.1+2.959%
Season away (16)120.9119.1240.0+1.850%
Last 10 (10)121.4118.1239.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)117.0110.4227.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)118.4115.0233.4+3.440%
vs Similar ◀ (14)115.9117.9233.9-2.036%
vs Weaker (11)125.8117.6243.5+8.282%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/01
NBA
113.0Avg total
56.6Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.856.3114.1+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.955.7114.6+3.250%-
Last 30 away (14)56.657.0113.6-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)56.656.4113.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)58.856.4115.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.856.2110.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)54.458.7113.1-4.233%-
vs Weaker (15)61.554.9116.4+6.560%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H31/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A07/01
NBA
118.8Avg total
58.5Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.460.3117.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.660.5117.1-3.939%-
Last 30 away (12)58.659.9118.5-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)58.560.3118.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)57.458.8116.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.662.2117.8-6.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.359.3114.6-4.036%-
vs Weaker (11)60.960.6121.5+0.355%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.330.2
57.7%
54.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.513.2
33.4%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws26.920.1
74.7%
78.1%20.1
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 121.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.230.2
56.8%
54.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.915.2
39.1%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.4
80.2%
78.1%15.4
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLWLLWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWWWLLWWL
#10
League position
#9
+7.1
Net rating
+3.2
114.6
Offensive rating
116.4
107.6
Defensive rating
113.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
57.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.4%
3-point %
39.1%
61.3%
Assist %
67.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 116.4Defence107.6 · 113.2Shooting54.5% · 57.5%3-point %33.4% · 39.1%Ball care11.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.7% · 27.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
5
Cleveland Cavaliers wins
DateGameScore
11/02/25Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves128-107
19/01/25Minnesota Timberwolves v Cleveland Cavaliers117-124
23/03/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Cleveland Cavaliers104-91
09/03/24Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves113-104 OT
15/01/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Cleveland Cavaliers110-102
13/11/22Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves124-129
01/03/22Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves122-127
11/12/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Cleveland Cavaliers106-123
02/02/21Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves100-98
01/02/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Cleveland Cavaliers109-104
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HMiami Heat122-94
04/01/26AWashington Wizards141-115
03/01/26AMiami Heat125-115
31/12/25AAtlanta Hawks102-126
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101
28/12/25HBrooklyn Nets107-123
26/12/25ADenver Nuggets138-142 OT
24/12/25HNew York Knicks115-104
22/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks103-100
20/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-107
Cleveland Cavalierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26AIndiana Pacers120-116
04/01/26HDetroit Pistons110-114
03/01/26HDenver Nuggets113-108
31/12/25HPhoenix Suns129-113
30/12/25ASan Antonio Spurs113-101
28/12/25AHouston Rockets100-117
25/12/25ANew York Knicks124-126
24/12/25HNew Orleans Pelicans141-118
23/12/25HCharlotte Hornets139-132
20/12/25HChicago Bulls125-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayLWLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %65%68%61%
Points / game119.6115.8123.7
Allowed / game114.1109.3119.1
Point differential+5.6+6.5+4.6
Avg total233.7225.1242.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeWWWWL59%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382216
Win %55%59%50%
Points / game119.2118.0120.9
Allowed / game116.8115.1119.1
Point differential+2.4+2.9+1.8
Avg total236.0233.1240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%32%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3630683%121.3108.5+12.8
2 Detroit Pistons3728976%118.5111.6+6.9
3 San Antonio Spurs35241169%118.9113.3+5.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers34231168%116.3116.1+0.1
5 Denver Nuggets37251268%124.1118.1+6.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves37241365%119.6114.1+5.6
7 Houston Rockets34221265%118.9110.7+8.1
8 Boston Celtics36231364%117.6110.6+7.0
9 New York Knicks35221363%119.4115.3+4.1
10 Toronto Raptors37231462%114.4111.7+2.6
11 Phoenix Suns36221461%115.5111.7+3.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers35201557%117.6116.2+1.4
13 Miami Heat36201656%120.4117.4+3.0
14 Orlando Magic36201656%116.5115.0+1.5
15 Cleveland Cavaliers38211755%119.2116.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors38201853%115.0113.6+1.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers38182047%116.5119.1-2.6
18 Atlanta Hawks39182146%118.4119.4-0.9
19 Chicago Bulls37172046%117.1121.2-4.1
20 Memphis Grizzlies37162143%115.2116.6-1.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks37162143%113.3115.6-2.3
22 Dallas Mavericks37142338%113.1116.9-3.8
23 Los Angeles Clippers36132336%112.1114.4-2.4
24 Charlotte Hornets38132534%115.4117.2-1.8
25 Utah Jazz36122433%119.8127.1-7.3
26 Brooklyn Nets34112332%109.3114.0-4.7
27 Washington Wizards36102628%113.5124.2-10.7
28 Sacramento Kings3782922%109.9121.6-11.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans3983121%114.5122.7-8.2
30 Indiana Pacers3873118%110.8119.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves32314325131
Cleveland Cavaliers31362233122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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