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Minnesota vs Penn State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#53
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#179
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota v Penn State
06 Jan 2027
MINN v PENN
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
MINN60
PENN69
02 Mar 2024
MINN75
PENN70
18 Feb 2023
MINN69
PENN76
12 Feb 2022
MINN76
PENN70
15 Jan 2020
MINN75
PENN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
47-77
47
77
-30
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-23
44-38
28-32
39-45
40-41
38-32
28-43
19-34
39-29
28-37
31-29
36-43
41-25
44-25
40-22
36-40
30-30
33-31
46-26
45-35
138.1Avg total
72.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.858.5137.2+20.2100%
Season at home (3)84.057.7141.7+26.3100%
Season away (1)63.061.0124.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.166.0138.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)76.461.2137.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.675.5143.2-7.931%
vs Similar (6)70.567.5138.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.559.2132.7+14.473%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
97-57
97
57
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
46-89
46
89
-43
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-38
44-49
34-38
37-31
21-45
41-49
21-43
41-31
32-34
34-42
47-26
50-31
54-31
43-62
38-42
38-40
16-54
30-35
33-29
39-28
149.1Avg total
71.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Season at home (4)85.572.2157.8+13.275%
Season away (1)46.089.0135.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)71.377.8149.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.082.3152.3-12.323%
vs Similar (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Weaker (2)84.557.0141.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
MinnesotaPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H13/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.364.0+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.929.365.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (11)29.832.161.9-2.318%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.065.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.464.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.232.364.5-0.138%-
vs Similar (6)34.031.765.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.227.262.4+8.082%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
16-54
16
54
-38
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H12/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
31.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.239.872.0-7.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.335.870.1-1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)29.045.874.8-16.88%-
Last 10 (10)31.638.069.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.474.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.740.872.5-9.127%-
vs Similar (6)31.540.071.5-8.533%-
vs Weaker (2)40.027.567.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minnesota wins
6
Penn State wins
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSouthern Univ.91-61
10/11/26ACincinnati63-61
07/11/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)76-62
03/11/26HNorth Dakota85-50
12/03/26HRutgers67-72
08/03/26HNorthwestern67-66
04/03/26AIndiana47-77
28/02/26HUCLA78-73
25/02/26AMichigan67-77
21/02/26HRutgers80-61
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-57
11/11/26ALafayette46-89
09/11/26HPittsburgh76-82
05/11/26HChattanooga Mocs97-93
03/11/26HCanisius97-57
10/03/26ANorthwestern66-76
08/03/26ARutgers62-74
05/03/26HOhio State62-94
28/02/26HIowa71-69
21/02/26ANebraska64-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.884.063.0
Allowed / game58.557.761.0
Point differential+20.2+26.3+2.0
Avg total137.2141.7124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game77.685.546.0
Allowed / game75.672.289.0
Point differential+2.0+13.2-43.0
Avg total153.2157.8135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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