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Minsk vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-95
16-20 17-20 22-27 35-28
Position#21
Record4-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#12
Record3-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A17/11
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
60-87
60
87
-27
H06/12
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H12/12
VTB United League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H15/12
Champions League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A23/12
VTB United League
Cholet
#28
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A05/01
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
21-14
16-12
16-25
23-27
24-19
4-23
9-18
15-20
27-23
26-16
14-29
14-22
14-15
21-17
16-24
12-17
22-14
17-22
20-22
27-13
18-28
17-25
15-17
25-17
14-24
20-16
17-20
20-25
18-21
17-20
16-23
12-22
25-17
25-17
15-20
25-12
23-19
15-29
12-20
153.5Avg total
73.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.475.3148.7-1.957%
Season at home (4)73.868.5142.2+5.275%
Season away (3)73.084.3157.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)73.380.2153.5-6.920%
Last 5 (5)75.281.0156.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.485.3158.7-11.97%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.580.8160.3-1.455%
vs Weaker (3)101.753.3155.0+48.3100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A12/12
Basket League
Cholet
#28
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A15/12
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H20/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A27/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H02/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A05/01
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A10/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H16/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
24-20
12-13
19-16
24-26
28-19
15-16
18-23
11-14
26-17
19-13
23-28
17-24
26-16
16-18
11-21
15-16
27-15
21-17
21-19
13-20
22-18
19-20
16-20
19-25
32-22
21-14
17-11
19-18
13-20
21-17
18-22
18-24
19-19
25-24
13-13
15-12
19-20
19-31
22-19
154.2Avg total
78.5Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.880.4164.2+3.460%
Season at home (3)92.782.0174.7+10.7100%
Season away (2)70.578.0148.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)78.575.7154.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)76.077.8153.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.5172.5-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.179.4159.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (18)83.772.1155.8+11.7100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
MinskAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A17/11
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/12
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H12/12
VTB United League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/12
Champions League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A23/12
VTB United League
Cholet
#28
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/01
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/01
VTB United League
79.2Avg total
40.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.979.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.935.774.6+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)42.143.085.1-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.779.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.681.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.041.180.1-2.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.840.281.0+0.655%-
vs Weaker (3)48.026.374.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/12
Basket League
Cholet
#28
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H20/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H02/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/01
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H16/01
Basket League
80.1Avg total
41.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.580.8+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.840.685.4+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)39.436.275.6+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.280.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.545.893.2+1.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.239.079.2+1.262%-
vs Weaker (18)42.136.778.8+5.378%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.9
49.4%
52.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
73.2%12.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
52.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.6
31.4%
35.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
73.2%15.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LWLLLLLLLW
AEK Athens
LLLWLWLWWW
#21
League position
#12
-9.6
Net rating
+3.6
100.7
Offensive rating
108.6
110.3
Defensive rating
104.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
20.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.2%
3-point %
31.4%
58.8%
Assist %
58.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 108.6Defence110.3 · 104.9Shooting49.6% · 51.0%3-point %33.2% · 31.4%Ball care20.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Minsk   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minsk wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
11/11/20AEK Athens v Minsk95-69
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HZielona Gora75-80
09/01/21HNizhny Novgorod77-76
05/01/21ACholet71-89
23/12/20ALokomotiv Kuban76-77
20/12/20AUnics Kazan77-83
15/12/20HHapoel Holon71-75
12/12/20HParma Perm65-78
09/12/20ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
06/12/20HCSKA Moscow60-87
17/11/20AHapoel Holon79-69
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HPromitheas75-82
10/01/21APanathinaikos75-80
05/01/21AHapoel Holon71-77
02/01/21HKolossos Rhodes89-72
27/12/20ALavrio70-78
20/12/20HAris84-67
15/12/20ACholet70-79
12/12/20AIraklis79-72
05/12/20HPAOK85-84
21/11/20AHarilaos Trikoupis87-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
Champions League 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game73.473.873.0
Allowed / game75.368.584.3
Point differential-1.9+5.2-11.3
Avg total148.7142.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game83.892.770.5
Allowed / game80.482.078.0
Point differential+3.4+10.7-7.5
Avg total164.2174.7148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg550100%85.272.2+13.0
2 Basket Zaragoza65183%87.884.0+3.8
3 San Pablo Burgos54180%90.676.8+13.8
4 Strasbourg54180%83.077.0+6.0
5 Brindisi54180%87.083.6+3.4
6 Turk Telekom54180%78.678.2+0.4
7 Igokea75271%74.773.6+1.1
8 Nymburk64267%91.078.8+12.2
9 Tofas64267%88.280.3+7.8
10 Tenerife64267%92.084.5+7.5
11 Nizhny Novgorod64267%82.777.2+5.5
12 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
13 Sassari64267%87.388.2-0.8
14 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
15 Karsiyaka53260%78.273.0+5.2
16 VEF Riga53260%84.480.0+4.4
17 AEK Athens53260%83.880.4+3.4
18 Hapoel Holon53260%78.076.8+1.2
19 Minsk74357%73.475.3-1.9
20 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
21 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
22 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
23 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
24 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
25 Hapoel Jerusalem52340%81.878.8+3.0
26 Cholet52340%77.475.8+1.6
27 Bilbao52340%73.873.2+0.6
28 Peristeri52340%80.280.4-0.2
29 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
30 Limoges51420%74.276.6-2.4
31 Darussafaka51420%76.885.4-8.6
32 Oostende51420%81.490.0-8.6
33 Rytas51420%77.287.4-10.2
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna5050%63.081.8-18.8
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk1617223590
AEK Athens2020272895
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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