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AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-67
15-16 27-15 21-17 21-19
Position#3
Record6-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris
03 Apr 2027
AAT v ARI
upcoming
25 May 2026
AAT102
ARI99
14 May 2026
AAT87
ARI81
27 Dec 2025
AAT82
ARI76
28 Dec 2024
AAT102
ARI89
20 Jan 2024
AAT91
ARI93
29 Oct 2022
AAT63
ARI76
23 Oct 2021
AAT64
ARI63
20 Dec 2020
AAT84
ARI67
13 Dec 2019
AAT92
ARI79
30 Mar 2019
AAT81
ARI73
03 Feb 2018
AAT73
ARI64
03 Jun 2017
AAT71
ARI60
28 May 2017
AAT90
ARI74
07 Jan 2017
AAT81
ARI61
16 May 2015
AAT92
ARI54
29 Mar 2015
AAT93
ARI77
08 Jan 2011
AAT65
ARI74
19 Dec 2009
AAT77
ARI76
08 Mar 2009
AAT65
ARI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#8
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
70avg 76
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
100-96
100
96
+4
100avg 76
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
66-62
66
62
+4
56avg 76
A07/11
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
95-69
95
69
+26
97avg 76
H11/11
Champions League
Cholet
#28
W
83-81
83
81
+2
84avg 76
H17/11
Champions League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
87-66
87
66
+21
79avg 76
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
79-72
79
72
+7
70avg 76
A12/12
Basket League
Cholet
#28
L
70-79
70
79
-9
54avg 76
A15/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
17-18
27-20
22-9
26-15
19-20
18-21
24-12
24-21
26-31
25-24
25-20
18-12
12-15
12-20
24-15
16-22
31-17
22-20
26-10
21-20
22-17
18-21
22-23
32-17
24-20
12-13
19-16
24-26
28-19
15-16
18-23
11-14
26-17
19-13
23-28
17-24
26-16
16-18
11-21
157.8Avg total
83.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.870.0150.8+10.8100%
Season at home (2)86.076.0162.0+10.0100%
Season away (4)78.267.0145.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)83.374.5157.8+8.890%
Last 5 (5)80.876.4157.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.091.3178.3-4.333%
vs Similar (6)85.881.5167.3+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.471.1152.6+10.390%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
no box
H15/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A29/02
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H07/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A26/09
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 69
A24/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H10/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 69
H05/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 69
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 69
A13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 69
A16/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
19-18
20-27
19-14
17-17
26-20
18-15
25-38
24-11
18-10
21-31
25-25
19-19
18-19
17-25
19-22
19-17
21-20
9-19
21-17
24-22
16-22
21-22
20-9
29-17
17-25
26-26
22-15
18-22
14-31
19-15
20-24
24-27
11-20
11-16
18-12
23-21
19-26
24-21
22-16
161.8Avg total
79.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.080.3158.3-2.350%
Season at home (2)87.579.0166.5+8.5100%
Season away (4)73.281.0154.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)79.682.2161.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.681.8161.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.784.0160.7-7.336%
vs Similar (15)77.880.5158.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (3)81.773.0154.7+8.733%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
AEK AthensAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A07/11
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/11
Champions League
Cholet
#28
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H17/11
Champions League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/12
Basket League
Cholet
#28
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Champions League
81.7Avg total
43.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.780.6+5.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.540.085.5+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.335.475.7+4.987%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.281.7+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.084.2+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.046.797.7+4.3100%-
vs Similar (6)43.339.082.3+4.383%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.636.077.6+5.576%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A29/02
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H07/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H10/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H05/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A16/12
Basket League
81.2Avg total
39.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.977.4-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.075.1+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)37.142.279.4-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.381.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.685.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.640.577.1-3.827%-
vs Similar (15)38.738.677.3+0.153%-
vs Weaker (3)45.334.780.0+10.767%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.9
53.8%
51.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.3
41.2%
35.6%25.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
74.2%13.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.3
50.0%
51.8%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
35.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.819.0
76.5%
74.2%19.0
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWWWWWWWW
Aris
WLLWWLLWLL
#3
League position
#9
+13.6
Net rating
-4.4
118.0
Offensive rating
101.5
104.4
Defensive rating
105.9
56.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
20.6%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.43
41.2%
3-point %
32.6%
65.4%
Assist %
50.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 101.5Defence104.4 · 105.9Shooting56.5% · 49.6%3-point %41.2% · 32.6%Ball care15.2% · 20.6%Off. rebounds32.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Athens wins
3
Aris wins
DateGameScore
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
30/03/19AEK Athens v Aris81-73
08/12/18Aris v AEK Athens77-81
03/02/18AEK Athens v Aris73-64
14/10/17Aris v AEK Athens64-62
03/06/17AEK Athens v Aris71-60
31/05/17Aris v AEK Athens85-91
28/05/17AEK Athens v Aris90-74
13/04/17Aris v AEK Athens81-77
14/01/17Aris v AEK Athens77-76
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/20ACholet70-79
12/12/20AIraklis79-72
05/12/20HPAOK85-84
21/11/20AHarilaos Trikoupis87-66
17/11/20HCholet83-81
11/11/20HMinsk95-69
07/11/20APeristeri66-62
04/11/20HHapoel Holon100-96
31/10/20HLarisa87-68
24/10/20AIonikos81-68
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20ALarisa88-84
13/12/20APAOK64-75
09/12/20ALavrio71-92
05/12/20HPromitheas94-83
10/11/20HIraklis81-75
24/10/20AHarilaos Trikoupis70-73
26/09/20AIonikos73-85
07/03/20HIfaistos Limnou88-77
29/02/20AKolossos Rhodes86-90
15/02/20HPanathinaikos81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.886.078.2
Allowed / game70.076.067.0
Point differential+10.8+10.0+11.2
Avg total150.8162.0145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game78.087.573.2
Allowed / game80.379.081.0
Point differential-2.3+8.5-7.8
Avg total158.3166.5154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos550100%82.060.8+21.2
2 AEK Athens660100%80.870.0+10.8
3 Peristeri85362%74.274.6-0.4
4 Lavrio74357%77.474.6+2.9
5 Iraklis84450%70.971.1-0.2
6 Aris63350%78.080.3-2.3
7 Promitheas42250%78.081.8-3.8
8 Harilaos Trikoupis73443%72.175.9-3.7
9 PAOK83538%77.880.6-2.9
10 Ionikos83538%75.478.8-3.4
11 Kolossos Rhodes82625%74.674.6+0.0
12 Larisa71614%74.786.3-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1527212184
Aris1615171967
← all games of the day
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