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Indiana State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 62-66
25-34 37-32
Position#84
Record20-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#177
Record15-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game63.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Indiana State v Missouri State
29 Jan 2025
INDI72
MISS67
08 Mar 2024
INDI75
MISS59
16 Jan 2024
INDI88
MISS66
26 Feb 2023
INDI62
MISS66
25 Jan 2022
INDI76
MISS72
06 Mar 2020
INDI51
MISS78
16 Feb 2020
INDI58
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A02/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
99-56
99
56
+43
H04/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A16/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
37-46
26-44
42-26
39-39
40-32
37-36
46-29
40-28
59-28
46-39
38-23
44-29
36-33
43-21
36-39
37-26
43-38
54-37
34-52
149.4Avg total
81.3Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.269.0148.2+10.267%
Season at home (17)80.467.6148.0+12.876%
Season away (13)77.770.8148.5+6.854%
Last 10 (10)81.368.1149.4+13.270%
Last 5 (5)82.267.4149.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)70.073.7143.7-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)80.368.5148.7+11.870%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-67 OT
76
67
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
32-31
29-30
34-29
35-37
36-37
28-35
37-30
32-36
21-37
35-33
26-26
30-27
36-33
26-37
28-27
38-33
28-36
46-34
38-35
130.6Avg total
65.1Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)65.863.7129.5+2.052%
Season at home (14)67.559.7127.2+7.871%
Season away (15)64.167.5131.6-3.333%
Last 10 (10)65.165.5130.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)66.264.2130.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)56.963.0119.9-6.143%
vs Similar (13)65.466.4131.8-1.031%
vs Weaker (8)72.162.1134.2+10.088%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -0.5-0.5
Indiana StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A23/02
NCAA
73.7Avg total
40.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.131.671.7+8.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.930.870.8+9.188%-
Last 30 away (13)40.232.672.8+7.662%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.573.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.830.475.2+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.737.373.0-1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.631.071.5+9.678%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
32.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.765.0+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.629.163.7+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)32.134.066.1-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.265.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.867.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)26.131.757.9-5.629%-
vs Similar (13)35.232.467.5+2.846%-
vs Weaker (8)33.229.562.8+3.862%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana State wins
6
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23ABelmont88-89
18/02/23HIllinois State80-64
16/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)79-60
11/02/23ANorthern Iowa80-62
09/02/23HValparaiso84-62
04/02/23HMurray State99-56
02/02/23AEvansville83-65
28/01/23HNorthern Iowa79-71
25/01/23ADrake68-70
21/01/23AMurray State73-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/23HMurray State84-69
18/02/23HNorthern Iowa66-69
16/02/23ABradley54-64
12/02/23AEvansville66-60
09/02/23HBelmont61-59
05/02/23ASouthern Illinois53-73
02/02/23HValparaiso76-67 OT
28/01/23AMurray State71-74
25/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)63-59
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayLWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%76%54%
Points / game79.280.477.7
Allowed / game69.067.670.8
Point differential+10.2+12.8+6.8
Avg total148.2148.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game65.867.564.1
Allowed / game63.759.767.5
Point differential+2.0+7.8-3.3
Avg total129.5127.2131.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)57% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake3024680%76.164.5+11.6
2 Bradley3022873%71.561.3+10.1
3 Southern Illinois3021970%66.561.5+5.0
4 Belmont31211068%76.071.1+4.9
5 Indiana State30201067%79.269.0+10.2
6 Murray State29151452%70.272.6-2.3
7 Northern Iowa30131743%70.170.1-0.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)30121840%67.671.7-4.1
9 Valparaiso30111937%69.373.3-4.0
10 Illinois State30102033%66.470.9-4.5
11 Evansville3052517%62.975.5-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.2822679%73.858.6+15.1
2 Liberty3124777%75.360.2+15.1
3 Kennesaw State3123874%75.669.0+6.6
4 Middle Tenn. St.29181162%71.367.7+3.6
5 Western Kentucky29151452%73.370.8+2.5
6 Missouri State29151452%65.863.7+2.0
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech29131645%72.769.6+3.1
9 UTEP29131645%68.368.3-0.0
10 Florida International29131645%72.374.6-2.3
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State2891932%63.264.3-1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State253762
Missouri State343266
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