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Missouri State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-74
24-34 41-40
Position#334
Record9-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#79
Record19-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri State v Belmont
26 Feb 2025
MISS65
BELM74
03 Feb 2024
MISS87
BELM80
08 Feb 2023
MISS61
BELM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
37-42
25-35
30-20
36-25
31-47
43-19
34-37
30-34
31-32
44-45
24-40
36-26
35-28
30-35
28-28
30-26
34-40
32-35
36-35
134.4Avg total
66.4Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.870.9139.7-2.131%
Season at home (15)71.069.1140.1+1.947%
Season away (14)66.572.9139.4-6.414%
Last 10 (10)66.468.0134.4-1.620%
Last 5 (5)65.867.6133.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.769.9134.6-5.121%
vs Similar (14)71.374.5145.8-3.229%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H20/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
34-46
55-37
40-40
31-35
47-46
38-37
37-43
39-35
41-42
45-44
40-24
39-56
47-45
25-38
48-30
44-37
31-45
26-28
51-47
159.9Avg total
80.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.078.8159.7+2.266%
Season at home (17)82.378.9161.2+3.465%
Season away (12)79.178.5157.6+0.667%
Last 10 (10)80.179.8159.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)79.278.8158.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.579.7153.2-6.233%
vs Similar (14)80.279.1159.4+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.777.2160.9+6.489%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.8+0.8
Missouri StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.163.4-0.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.531.663.1-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)31.032.663.6-1.627%-
Last 10 (10)33.731.765.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.467.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.632.664.1-1.029%-
vs Similar (14)30.732.463.1-1.736%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H22/02
NCAA
77.5Avg total
38.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.475.2+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.337.576.8+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)35.937.273.1-1.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.676.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.836.070.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (14)39.437.176.5+2.257%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.238.075.2-0.867%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Missouri State wins
3
Belmont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HIllinois State68-70
20/02/25AValparaiso64-66
16/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)58-63
13/02/25HEvansville71-54
08/02/25ABelmont68-85
06/02/25HNorthern Iowa61-66
01/02/25HMurray State77-56
30/01/25AIndiana State67-72
25/01/25HDrake62-69 OT
22/01/25ANorthern Iowa68-79
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HIndiana State77-75
20/02/25HNorthern Iowa75-82
16/02/25ASouthern Illinois73-68
13/02/25AValparaiso86-101
08/02/25HMissouri State85-68
06/02/25ABradley80-77
02/02/25HEvansville75-80
30/01/25AIllinois State78-81
25/01/25AMurray State95-77
22/01/25HBradley77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLWLWL47%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %31%47%14%
Points / game68.871.066.5
Allowed / game70.969.172.9
Point differential-2.1+1.9-6.4
Avg total139.7140.1139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)20% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %14%13%14%
Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW66%
HomeLLWLW65%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %66%65%67%
Points / game81.082.379.1
Allowed / game78.878.978.5
Point differential+2.2+3.4+0.6
Avg total159.7161.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)71% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2722581%75.861.1+14.7
2 Jacksonville State2819968%75.068.5+6.5
3 Middle Tenn. St.2718967%76.171.4+4.6
4 Louisiana Tech28181064%73.968.6+5.3
5 UTEP27171063%72.669.2+3.4
6 Kennesaw State28161257%76.772.6+4.1
7 New Mexico State27151256%69.866.0+3.9
8 Western Kentucky27151256%76.775.3+1.4
9 Delaware29121741%76.777.8-1.1
10 Sam Houston St.28111739%75.575.3+0.2
11 Missouri State2992031%68.870.9-2.1
12 Florida International2781930%69.972.4-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2825389%71.159.1+11.9
2 Bradley2922776%78.469.9+8.5
3 Northern Iowa30201067%74.567.1+7.4
4 Belmont29191066%81.078.8+2.2
5 Illinois State30171357%76.673.0+3.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)30171357%77.474.1+3.3
7 Murray State30151550%72.569.6+2.9
8 Valparaiso29131645%76.075.1+1.0
9 Indiana State30131743%79.479.4+0.0
10 Southern Illinois30131743%73.073.6-0.6
11 Evansville29111838%67.171.1-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State244165
Belmont344074
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