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Valparaiso vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-86
56-39 45-47
Position#248
Record10-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#79
Record17-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valparaiso v Belmont
21 Jan 2027
VALP v BELM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
VALP77
BELM78
12 Feb 2025
VALP101
BELM86
10 Feb 2024
VALP78
BELM96
10 Jan 2023
VALP59
BELM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#254
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A06/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-40
41-46
21-26
26-32
30-40
34-31
38-38
36-43
29-43
42-38
26-44
42-34
34-29
41-50
38-45
40-41
31-39
31-41
23-33
33-41
147.6Avg total
69.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.474.8150.2+0.740%
Season at home (14)81.071.4152.4+9.657%
Season away (11)68.479.0147.4-10.618%
Last 10 (10)69.378.3147.6-9.010%
Last 5 (5)67.879.4147.2-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.678.6146.2-11.017%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.975.3148.2-2.438%
vs Weaker (4)84.572.5157.0+12.075%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-31
47-55
42-32
42-47
40-30
31-34
39-37
46-45
43-43
34-46
55-37
40-40
31-35
47-46
38-37
37-43
39-35
41-42
45-44
40-24
160.3Avg total
82.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.578.3159.8+3.268%
Season at home (15)83.179.0162.1+4.167%
Season away (10)79.077.3156.3+1.770%
Last 10 (10)82.078.3160.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)82.676.6159.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.579.7153.2-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.676.1157.7+5.569%
vs Weaker (10)84.975.4160.3+9.590%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
ValparaisoBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#254
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H08/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
31.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.370.5-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.033.671.6+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)29.939.469.3-9.614%-
Last 10 (10)31.537.769.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.438.068.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.438.270.7-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.435.268.6-1.846%-
vs Weaker (4)35.038.573.5-3.550%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H09/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H08/02
NCAA
77.6Avg total
41.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.975.0+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.636.677.2+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)36.834.971.7+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.177.6+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.679.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.836.070.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.535.976.4+4.569%-
vs Weaker (10)39.635.274.8+4.480%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
6
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Belmont v Valparaiso71-64
07/03/24Belmont v Valparaiso86-61
10/02/24Valparaiso v Belmont78-96
02/12/23Belmont v Valparaiso77-68
11/01/23Valparaiso v Belmont59-74
02/12/22Belmont v Valparaiso76-64
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HMurray State56-74
06/02/25AIndiana State62-80
01/02/25AIllinois State78-86
29/01/25HSouthern Illinois75-79
25/01/25HEvansville68-78
23/01/25ADrake71-81
18/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)74-81
15/01/25ABelmont64-71
11/01/25AMurray State47-58
09/01/25HIndiana State98-95 OT
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HMissouri State85-68
06/02/25ABradley80-77
02/02/25HEvansville75-80
30/01/25AIllinois State78-81
25/01/25AMurray State95-77
22/01/25HBradley77-89
18/01/25AEvansville85-82
15/01/25HValparaiso71-64
11/01/25AIndiana State84-79
09/01/25HSouthern Illinois90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL57%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %40%57%18%
Points / game75.481.068.4
Allowed / game74.871.479.0
Point differential+0.7+9.6-10.6
Avg total150.2152.4147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %68%67%70%
Points / game81.583.179.0
Allowed / game78.379.077.3
Point differential+3.2+4.1+1.7
Avg total159.8162.1156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2422292%71.258.5+12.8
2 Bradley2620677%79.269.4+9.8
3 Belmont2517868%81.578.3+3.2
4 Northern Iowa2617965%74.967.5+7.4
5 Illinois State25151060%76.571.8+4.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)26151158%79.574.6+4.9
7 Murray State26131350%72.269.0+3.2
8 Indiana State26121446%79.879.4+0.3
9 Southern Illinois26121446%72.873.5-0.7
10 Valparaiso25101540%75.474.8+0.7
11 Evansville2591636%66.370.6-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso5645101
Belmont394786
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