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Belmont vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 74-61
37-35 37-26
Position#79
Record10-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game71.4
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#177
Record8-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game61.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Belmont v Missouri State
08 Feb 2025
BELM85
MISS68
24 Feb 2024
BELM93
MISS78
07 Jan 2023
BELM74
MISS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
75-85 OT
75
85
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
A18/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
37-37
33-27
43-37
31-30
46-57
46-26
37-27
30-30
40-40
30-31
38-37
38-26
41-30
34-38
29-22
28-23
17-40
35-31
42-40
141.0Avg total
72.6Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.271.4145.7+2.862%
Season at home (8)77.968.6146.5+9.275%
Season away (8)70.674.2144.9-3.650%
Last 10 (10)72.668.4141.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)69.465.8135.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.075.0135.0-15.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.968.5138.4+1.555%
vs Weaker (15)81.066.1147.1+14.993%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#270
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
43-31
32-26
34-25
18-26
22-32
21-26
25-40
29-30
32-35
32-45
45-35
40-30
39-28
40-29
39-38
30-23
22-26
40-25
45-37
128.1Avg total
66.1Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.761.3127.9+5.453%
Season at home (7)67.755.7123.4+12.071%
Season away (8)65.866.1131.9-0.438%
Last 10 (10)66.162.0128.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)74.463.2137.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.863.2117.0-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.165.1132.2+2.044%
vs Weaker (15)77.165.2142.3+11.987%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +1.9+1.9
BelmontMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A05/01
NCAA
62.7Avg total
33.6Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.365.8+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.230.665.8+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)33.932.065.9+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)33.629.162.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.029.862.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.336.766.0-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.031.363.3+0.745%-
vs Weaker (15)37.229.766.9+7.587%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#270
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/01
NCAA
60.8Avg total
31.5Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.165.3+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.728.163.9+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)32.933.666.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)31.529.360.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.466.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.230.055.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.830.264.0+3.656%-
vs Weaker (15)35.331.266.5+4.173%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belmont wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)77-71
01/01/23ASouthern Illinois45-63
29/12/22HBradley63-60
22/12/22HSamford79-56
18/12/22AChattanooga Mocs83-79 OT
10/12/22HMiddle Tenn. St.75-85 OT
07/12/22HTrevecca Nazarene83-53
04/12/22AIllinois State77-87
02/12/22HValparaiso76-64
27/11/22AGeorgia State68-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23HEvansville85-62
01/01/23HDrake52-49
29/12/22ANorthern Iowa79-67
18/12/22HCentral Michigan79-58
17/12/22AOral Roberts77-80
11/12/22HIPFW61-65
08/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)46-66
04/12/22HBradley40-58
01/12/22AIllinois (Chi.)66-51
27/11/22AOakland76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game74.277.970.6
Allowed / game71.468.674.2
Point differential+2.8+9.2-3.6
Avg total145.7146.5144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%71%38%
Points / game66.767.765.8
Allowed / game61.355.766.1
Point differential+5.4+12.0-0.4
Avg total127.9123.4131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1713476%80.869.3+11.5
2 Southern Illinois1712571%66.660.4+6.2
3 Drake1611569%71.963.3+8.6
4 Bradley1711665%69.759.6+10.1
5 Belmont1610662%74.271.4+2.8
6 Murray State159660%71.167.9+3.1
7 Illinois (Chi.)179853%66.768.8-2.1
8 Northern Iowa168850%69.665.5+4.1
9 Illinois State1771041%66.468.3-1.9
10 Valparaiso1761135%68.173.9-5.8
11 Evansville1741324%61.972.9-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1612475%76.158.6+17.6
2 Sam Houston St.1511473%78.256.4+21.8
3 Louisiana Tech1610662%77.268.4+8.8
4 Kennesaw State1610662%73.768.1+5.6
5 Western Kentucky159660%74.167.4+6.7
6 Middle Tenn. St.159660%71.266.3+4.9
7 Delaware159660%70.770.7-0.1
8 Missouri State158753%66.761.3+5.4
9 UTEP158753%69.566.7+2.7
10 Florida International147750%72.674.4-1.8
11 New Mexico State157847%76.167.9+8.2
12 Jacksonville State167944%69.971.2-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont373774
Missouri State352661
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