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Missouri State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 62-69 (OT)
25-35 30-20 7-14
Position#334
Record7-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Drake 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game57.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri State v Drake
21 Nov 2026
MISS v DRAK
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
MISS62
DRAK69
24 Jan 2024
MISS83
DRAK80
01 Jan 2023
MISS52
DRAK49
02 Jan 2022
MISS61
DRAK56
27 Jan 2021
MISS73
DRAK78
26 Jan 2021
MISS61
DRAK68
12 Feb 2020
MISS97
DRAK62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lincoln Mo.
#381
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-24
38-25
31-25
37-31
20-23
20-34
34-35
38-38
28-30
32-39
27-36
36-44
27-35
45-37
18-35
33-38
31-25
37-49
31-37
37-42
132.7Avg total
62.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.072.8142.8-2.835%
Season at home (10)72.672.1144.7+0.550%
Season away (10)67.473.4140.8-6.020%
Last 10 (10)62.969.8132.7-6.920%
Last 5 (5)65.678.8144.4-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)64.572.8137.3-8.320%
vs Similar (17)71.474.5145.9-3.129%
vs Weaker (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
27-36
40-32
32-30
39-21
26-25
33-32
37-42
26-26
33-40
31-31
33-26
25-20
38-20
34-30
32-32
32-25
39-28
43-29
38-42
128.5Avg total
68.4Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.557.8129.3+13.789%
Season at home (12)71.654.2125.8+17.392%
Season away (7)71.463.9135.3+7.686%
Last 10 (10)68.460.1128.5+8.380%
Last 5 (5)69.056.6125.6+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.567.2138.7+4.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)74.963.9138.8+11.087%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +1.4+1.4
Missouri StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lincoln Mo.
#381
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
18-35
18
35
-17
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
57.5Avg total
27.0Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.764.0-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.733.264.9-1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)30.932.263.2-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)27.030.557.5-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)26.833.660.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.132.162.2-2.040%-
vs Similar (17)31.433.364.7-1.941%-
vs Weaker (1)38.041.079.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
NCAA
61.2Avg total
33.9Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.929.366.3+7.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.027.165.1+10.976%-
Last 30 away (13)35.532.267.8+3.362%-
Last 10 (10)33.927.361.2+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)33.027.060.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.832.270.0+5.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.128.965.0+7.374%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Missouri State wins
4
Drake wins
DateGameScore
25/01/24Missouri State v Drake83-80 OT
02/12/23Drake v Missouri State74-57
19/01/23Drake v Missouri State62-65 OT
01/01/23Missouri State v Drake52-49
10/02/22Drake v Missouri State62-66
03/01/22Missouri State v Drake61-56
06/03/21Drake v Missouri State71-69
28/01/21Missouri State v Drake73-78
27/01/21Missouri State v Drake61-68
13/02/20Missouri State v Drake97-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25ANorthern Iowa68-79
18/01/25AIllinois State68-74
16/01/25HSouthern Illinois51-73
12/01/25ASouthern Illinois78-88 OT
08/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-80
05/01/25ABradley60-69
02/01/25HValparaiso72-73
29/12/24AEvansville40-57
22/12/24HUC Santa Barbara68-56
19/12/24HLincoln Mo.61-49
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HValparaiso81-71
18/01/25AIndiana State71-53
16/01/25HIllinois State66-62
11/01/25HEvansville63-40
09/01/25ABradley64-57
05/01/25HMurray State59-66
01/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)70-74
29/12/24HBelmont65-46
21/12/24HWisc. Green Bay72-62
18/12/24AKansas State73-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game70.072.667.4
Allowed / game72.872.173.4
Point differential-2.8+0.5-6.0
Avg total142.8144.7140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %15%10%20%
Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %89%92%86%
Points / game71.571.671.4
Allowed / game57.854.263.9
Point differential+13.7+17.3+7.6
Avg total129.3125.8135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1915479%78.461.5+16.8
2 Middle Tenn. St.1914574%78.170.6+7.5
3 UTEP1914574%73.467.9+5.5
4 Louisiana Tech2014670%76.568.2+8.2
5 Jacksonville State1912763%77.669.8+7.8
6 Kennesaw State1912763%79.374.4+4.9
7 Western Kentucky2012860%76.875.0+1.8
8 New Mexico State1911858%72.767.3+5.4
9 Delaware21111052%77.977.2+0.7
10 Sam Houston St.2181338%77.177.1-0.0
11 Florida International1971237%72.771.3+1.5
12 Missouri State2071335%70.072.8-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1917289%71.557.8+13.7
2 Bradley2118386%80.267.1+13.0
3 Belmont2014670%81.278.8+2.5
4 Illinois (Chi.)2114767%80.674.2+6.4
5 Northern Iowa2113862%75.867.7+8.1
6 Illinois State2112957%76.271.0+5.1
7 Murray State2011955%74.569.0+5.4
8 Valparaiso20101050%77.373.6+3.8
9 Indiana State2191243%80.080.0+0.0
10 Southern Illinois2191243%73.374.1-0.9
11 Evansville2061430%64.470.0-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Missouri State2530762
Drake35201469
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