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Missouri State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-59
35-33 26-26
Position#177
Record12-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#79
Record17-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri State v Belmont
26 Feb 2025
MISS65
BELM74
03 Feb 2024
MISS87
BELM80
08 Feb 2023
MISS61
BELM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-67 OT
76
67
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
45-37
35-37
26-37
34-30
27-31
35-31
29-31
21-34
35-22
25-30
32-31
29-30
34-29
35-37
36-37
28-35
37-30
32-36
21-37
133.1Avg total
66.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.763.6129.3+2.050%
Season at home (11)66.758.1124.8+8.673%
Season away (13)64.868.3133.1-3.531%
Last 10 (10)66.167.0133.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)64.066.8130.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.362.8120.2-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)63.966.6130.5-2.720%
vs Weaker (12)75.267.2142.4+8.183%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A26/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
42-40
37-35
37-26
38-30
36-29
44-31
32-41
34-30
46-35
37-40
41-36
36-32
37-32
26-39
35-40
43-49
39-34
44-33
46-42
147.0Avg total
76.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.071.1146.1+4.068%
Season at home (13)77.269.3146.5+7.977%
Season away (12)72.773.0145.7-0.358%
Last 10 (10)76.570.5147.0+6.080%
Last 5 (5)76.875.4152.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.876.0139.8-12.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.369.7142.0+2.555%
vs Weaker (13)78.268.3146.5+9.885%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +3.6+3.6
Missouri StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.065.4+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.928.662.6+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)32.934.967.8-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.563.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.663.4-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.230.857.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.832.165.9+1.730%-
vs Weaker (12)34.631.866.3+2.858%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H04/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
37.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.068.1+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.832.569.3+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)33.233.566.7-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.072.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.675.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.237.868.0-7.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.431.865.2+1.555%-
vs Weaker (13)38.331.669.9+6.792%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
1
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Belmont v Missouri State74-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23ASouthern Illinois53-73
02/02/23HValparaiso76-67 OT
28/01/23AMurray State71-74
25/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)63-59
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61
19/01/23ADrake65-62 OT
15/01/23HIndiana State64-62
12/01/23AIllinois State66-76 OT
07/01/23ABelmont61-74
05/01/23HEvansville85-62
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HIllinois State90-75
02/02/23AMurray State82-83
29/01/23HDrake61-79
26/01/23AEvansville73-64
21/01/23ABradley78-76
18/01/23HMurray State80-65
14/01/23HNorthern Iowa76-72
11/01/23AValparaiso74-59
07/01/23HMissouri State74-61
05/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %50%73%31%
Points / game65.766.764.8
Allowed / game63.658.168.3
Point differential+2.0+8.6-3.5
Avg total129.3124.8133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %12%9%15%
Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%77%58%
Points / game75.077.272.7
Allowed / game71.169.373.0
Point differential+4.0+7.9-0.3
Avg total146.1146.5145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%54%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2519676%74.658.8+15.8
2 Sam Houston St.2317674%75.659.3+16.3
3 Kennesaw State2518772%76.169.2+6.8
4 Middle Tenn. St.2415962%71.066.7+4.3
5 Louisiana Tech23131057%74.668.6+6.0
6 Western Kentucky24131154%73.169.8+3.3
7 Missouri State24121250%65.763.6+2.0
8 Florida International24121250%71.873.5-1.8
9 Delaware25121348%69.870.8-0.9
10 UTEP23111248%68.566.8+1.7
11 Jacksonville State25101540%68.869.9-1.2
12 New Mexico State2391439%74.071.4+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2620677%75.765.2+10.5
2 Southern Illinois2518772%66.760.9+5.8
3 Bradley2517868%71.762.5+9.2
4 Belmont2517868%75.071.1+4.0
5 Indiana State2516964%78.669.3+9.3
6 Murray State25131252%70.872.2-1.4
7 Northern Iowa24121250%70.968.2+2.7
8 Illinois State25101540%66.669.2-2.5
9 Illinois (Chi.)25101540%67.070.2-3.3
10 Valparaiso25101540%69.473.0-3.5
11 Evansville2542116%62.375.5-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State352661
Belmont332659
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