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Missouri State vs Middle Tenn. St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Missouri State v Middle Tenn. St.
07 Mar 2026
MISS63
MIDD75
19 Nov 2022
MISS75
MIDD51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H06/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-35
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-44
0-0
53-47
0-0
22-29
0-0
45-41
0-0
38-37
0-0
32-35
0-0
34-43
0-0
47-43
0-0
43-38
0-0
44-36
0-0
27-37
0-0
36-38
0-0
31-36
0-0
44-36
0-0
33-37
0-0
44-32
0-0
27-30
0-0
39-39
149.4Avg total
74.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.075.4149.4-1.430%
Last 5 (5)73.671.8145.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.582.5160.0-5.025%
vs Similar (16)73.774.9148.6-1.244%
vs Weaker (5)66.458.6125.0+7.880%
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-41
0-0
36-38
0-0
45-49
0-0
45-38
0-0
37-42
0-0
43-40
0-0
32-44
0-0
38-34
0-0
31-20
0-0
47-46
0-0
34-26
0-0
43-41
0-0
36-42
0-0
40-34
0-0
33-34
0-0
40-33
0-0
37-27
0-0
38-36
0-0
25-39
0-0
44-41
155.0Avg total
78.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.676.4155.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)76.072.4148.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.578.2146.7-9.730%
vs Similar (14)74.771.8146.5+2.957%
vs Weaker (5)80.075.4155.4+4.660%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
Missouri StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A13/03
NCAA
68.0Avg total
31.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.368.8+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.533.170.6+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)31.435.566.9-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)31.436.668.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.667.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.640.574.1-6.90%-
vs Similar (16)34.533.968.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (5)30.426.056.4+4.460%-
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.769.6+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.634.368.9+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)35.135.170.3+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.666.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.438.272.6-3.820%-
vs Similar (14)34.633.868.4+0.836%-
vs Weaker (5)37.630.468.0+7.2100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri State wins
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ALouisiana Tech66-69
11/03/26ALiberty77-69
10/03/26AFlorida International75-72
07/03/26HMiddle Tenn. St.63-75
06/03/26HWestern Kentucky87-74
28/02/26ASam Houston St.81-86
27/02/26ALouisiana Tech70-72
21/02/26AFlorida International67-70
19/02/26HKennesaw State87-91
14/02/26HDelaware67-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26ALouisiana Tech69-80
07/03/26AMissouri State75-63
06/03/26AFlorida International73-67
28/02/26HNew Mexico State86-85 OT
27/02/26HUTEP77-67
21/02/26HDelaware78-66
19/02/26ASam Houston St.70-78
15/02/26AWestern Kentucky80-82
12/02/26AKennesaw State90-87
07/02/26ADelaware88-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Villanova110100%74.072.0+2.0
2 Notre Dame1010%72.074.0-2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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