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Evansville vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-88
29-37 50-51
Position#349
Record6-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#49
Record21-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Evansville v Missouri State
29 Dec 2024
EVAN57
MISS40
13 Jan 2024
EVAN64
MISS74
12 Feb 2023
EVAN60
MISS66
26 Feb 2022
EVAN79
MISS88
27 Feb 2021
EVAN72
MISS63
26 Feb 2021
EVAN81
MISS90
18 Jan 2020
EVAN58
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#110
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A30/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
41-76
41
76
-35
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A09/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A17/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
31-82
31
82
-51
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
32-29
21-28
37-44
19-37
22-39
33-23
32-33
25-26
35-34
26-36
36-33
15-47
36-26
23-39
33-33
30-36
39-38
12-41
19-41
128.7Avg total
56.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)58.569.8128.2-11.321%
Season at home (14)57.463.4120.8-5.929%
Season away (14)59.576.1135.6-16.614%
Last 10 (10)56.971.8128.7-14.910%
Last 5 (5)53.874.0127.8-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)57.571.0128.5-13.515%
vs Similar (1)70.054.0124.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker (1)60.040.0100.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A03/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
44-36
29-41
43-35
28-21
44-37
29-24
40-30
29-28
33-43
29-30
37-32
41-36
43-30
31-33
48-37
33-49
42-46
43-33
40-34
142.9Avg total
74.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.467.9145.3+9.570%
Season at home (18)79.768.1147.8+11.772%
Season away (12)74.067.7141.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)74.168.8142.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)77.472.0149.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)68.365.0133.3+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.269.8150.1+10.570%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -11.7-11.71st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -11.7-11.71st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
EvansvilleMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#110
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A09/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A13/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
15-47
15
47
-32
A17/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
12-41
12
41
-29
A24/02
NCAA
57.9Avg total
23.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.432.558.9-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)25.730.355.9-4.633%-
Last 30 away (15)27.234.761.9-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)23.134.857.9-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)21.239.861.0-18.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)25.833.259.0-7.419%-
vs Similar (1)38.024.062.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)23.019.042.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A03/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H24/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.667.9+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.631.868.3+4.872%-
Last 30 away (12)35.831.367.2+4.575%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.865.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.271.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)31.029.860.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.932.570.3+5.475%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Evansville wins
4
Missouri State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22ALoyola Chicago31-82
22/02/22AValparaiso69-74
19/02/22HValparaiso56-72
17/02/22ADrake51-73
13/02/22ASouthern Illinois62-69
11/02/22HIndiana State77-80 OT
09/02/22AIndiana State65-56
05/02/22HBradley41-76
30/01/22AMissouri State58-72
27/01/22HNorthern Iowa59-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22HBradley83-67
20/02/22ANorthern Iowa75-95
16/02/22HIndiana State79-70
12/02/22HValparaiso84-66
10/02/22ADrake66-62
06/02/22HLoyola Chicago62-71
03/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-54
30/01/22HEvansville72-58
26/01/22AIndiana State72-76
22/01/22ALoyola Chicago79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game58.557.459.5
Allowed / game69.863.476.1
Point differential-11.3-5.9-16.6
Avg total128.2120.8135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %70%72%67%
Points / game77.479.774.0
Allowed / game67.968.167.7
Point differential+9.5+11.7+6.3
Avg total145.3147.8141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2927293%79.661.5+18.1
2 Belmont3024680%79.168.7+10.4
3 Drake3122971%74.166.3+7.7
4 Northern Iowa27171063%74.469.9+4.5
5 Bradley29161355%70.965.5+5.3
6 Southern Illinois30161453%64.461.2+3.2
7 Valparaiso29131645%71.470.8+0.6
8 Illinois (Chi.)27121544%71.773.4-1.7
9 Illinois State31121939%75.075.3-0.4
10 Indiana State30111937%71.072.4-1.4
11 Evansville2862221%58.569.8-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State2823582%74.065.7+8.3
2 Middle Tenn. St.2821775%75.167.0+8.1
3 Louisiana Tech2820871%77.468.9+8.5
4 Missouri State3021970%77.467.9+9.5
5 Jacksonville State2920969%74.667.2+7.3
6 Liberty31211068%74.864.3+10.5
7 Delaware30191163%75.271.3+3.9
8 Western Kentucky28171161%76.569.5+7.0
9 UTEP27161159%69.066.5+2.6
10 Sam Houston St.29171259%70.064.1+5.9
11 Kennesaw State29121741%74.870.9+4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville295079
Missouri State375188
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