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Mladost vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-66
29-16 14-22 22-8 15-20
Position#11
Record2-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game85.2
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record3-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game87.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mladost v Marsonia
14 Feb 2026
MLAD78
MARS74
08 Dec 2024
MLAD87
MARS67
16 Dec 2023
MLAD80
MARS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
77avg 67
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 67
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 67
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 67
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
67avg 67
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 67
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
47avg 67
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 67
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
60avg 67
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 67
A10/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
25-15
21-21
26-17
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
25-36
20-30
21-16
21-25
19-22
28-15
12-29
23-23
30-23
17-22
14-25
15-28
28-19
21-18
24-15
21-16
11-17
23-16
9-24
20-25
22-17
17-17
12-21
23-23
11-23
21-22
25-26
9-16
24-18
26-19
6-19
11-16
162.3Avg total
77.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.185.2162.3-8.120%
Season at home (5)71.890.6162.4-18.80%
Season away (5)82.479.8162.2+2.640%
Last 10 (10)77.185.2162.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)72.877.4150.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.589.0162.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.885.7169.4-1.933%
vs Weaker (8)95.678.5174.1+17.188%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
36avg 68
H08/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
77-75
77
75
+2
68avg 68
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
84avg 68
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 68
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
64avg 68
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
54avg 68
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
106-107
106
107
-1
99avg 68
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
85avg 68
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-99
60
99
-39
42avg 68
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
86avg 68
H10/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
8-21
13-16
18-24
17-24
17-17
20-10
23-24
39-21
7-32
30-25
18-24
12-29
25-14
14-21
24-24
22-14
24-19
15-23
18-25
10-31
18-14
21-15
22-17
27-36
28-22
32-26
19-23
16-10
27-14
31-20
28-30
17-23
11-24
8-24
24-28
23-20
17-30
32-17
23-24
169.3Avg total
81.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.987.4169.3-5.530%
Season at home (6)83.584.2167.7-0.733%
Season away (4)79.592.2171.8-12.825%
Last 10 (10)81.987.4169.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)86.889.6176.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.791.0171.7-10.314%
vs Similar ◀ (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker (2)88.581.0169.5+7.550%
This opponent (Mladost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
MladostMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/12
Prva Liga
84.6Avg total
42.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.086.2+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.986.1+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)44.342.086.3+2.373%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.384.6+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.278.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.144.183.2-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.842.886.5+1.067%-
vs Weaker (8)51.238.189.4+13.1100%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/12
Prva Liga
82.0Avg total
38.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)38.643.482.0-4.820%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.740.879.5-2.233%-
Last 30 away (4)38.547.285.8-8.80%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.482.0-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.883.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.946.685.4-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)40.033.573.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.3
51.4%
52.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.6
28.3%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.3
67.3%
71.2%11.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.9
51.0%
52.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.311.9
65.0%
71.2%11.9
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LLLLWLLLLW
Marsonia
WLWLLLLLWL
#11
League position
#9
-8.6
Net rating
-5.7
97.4
Offensive rating
99.9
106.0
Defensive rating
105.7
48.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.3%
3-point %
32.2%
53.5%
Assist %
42.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 99.9Defence106.0 · 105.7Shooting48.4% · 50.0%3-point %28.3% · 32.2%Ball care21.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Mladost   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mladost wins
0
Marsonia wins
No previous meetings.
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23APodstrana67-72
02/12/23HKvarner66-87
25/11/23AOmis74-78
19/11/23HGorica63-82
11/11/23AStoja94-68
04/11/23HKastela76-98
27/10/23HSamobor82-89
21/10/23AHermes87-107
14/10/23HOsijek72-97
07/10/23ACrikvenica90-74
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HHermes95-91
03/12/23AOsijek60-99
26/11/23HCrikvenica102-74
18/11/23AJazine106-107
12/11/23HKK Zagreb71-77
04/11/23HSamobor79-81
29/10/23APodstrana75-88
22/10/23HKvarner94-102
14/10/23AOmis77-75
08/10/23HGorica60-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%0%40%
Points / game77.171.882.4
Allowed / game85.290.679.8
Point differential-8.1-18.8+2.6
Avg total162.3162.4162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game81.983.579.5
Allowed / game87.484.292.2
Point differential-5.5-0.7-12.8
Avg total169.3167.7171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner109190%91.975.3+16.6
2 Osijek109190%88.173.6+14.5
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica117464%78.672.3+6.4
5 Kastela116555%81.176.3+4.8
6 Omis116555%76.376.0+0.3
7 Hermes105550%89.188.4+0.7
8 Jazine105550%84.488.0-3.6
9 Samobor105550%77.182.2-5.1
10 Marsonia103730%81.987.4-5.5
11 Podstrana113827%73.084.3-11.3
12 Stoja102820%82.190.1-8.0
13 Mladost102820%77.185.2-8.1
14 Crikvenica102820%72.587.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2914221580
Marsonia162282066
← all games of the day
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