PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mogi vs Botafogo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.3/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mogi v Botafogo
12 Dec 2026
MOGI v BOTA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
MOGI87
BOTA45
14 Oct 2024
MOGI70
BOTA72
20 Nov 2023
MOGI86
BOTA81
05 Mar 2020
MOGI89
BOTA61
15 Mar 2019
MOGI89
BOTA72
22 Jan 2018
MOGI84
BOTA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
65avg 68
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 68
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 68
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 68
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
67avg 68
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
79-61
79
61
+18
58avg 68
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
65avg 68
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A09/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-34
24-24
14-16
16-14
28-26
31-21
26-23
17-20
25-20
11-20
23-17
18-21
18-17
26-21
18-24
22-11
18-24
31-24
9-19
16-23
20-15
19-19
23-9
17-18
19-20
17-22
25-15
17-13
11-21
22-21
26-19
30-17
22-14
15-20
23-24
25-12
27-25
20-12
27-16
19-22
160.4Avg total
83.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.173.9157.0+9.386%
Season at home (3)83.773.7157.3+10.0100%
Season away (4)82.874.0156.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)83.177.3160.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)84.870.8155.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.686.4166.0-6.929%
vs Similar (11)77.673.4151.0+4.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.273.1154.3+8.283%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 66
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 66
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 66
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 66
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 66
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 66
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 66
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
MogiBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A12/11
NBB
84.0Avg total
42.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.778.8+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.138.177.2+0.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.339.480.7+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.084.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.746.388.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (11)37.735.272.9+2.582%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.337.678.9+3.867%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
49.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.5
33.0%
31.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.010.6
75.7%
71.3%10.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WWWWWLWLWL
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#14
+0.7
Net rating
-6.7
96.5
Offensive rating
91.9
95.8
Defensive rating
98.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.0%
3-point %
31.5%
62.7%
Assist %
66.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 91.9Defence95.8 · 98.6Shooting50.3% · 50.5%3-point %33.0% · 31.5%Ball care12.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Mogi   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mogi wins
4
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
05/02/26Botafogo v Mogi70-69
29/10/25Mogi v Botafogo87-45
27/12/24Botafogo v Mogi97-85
14/10/24Mogi v Botafogo70-72 OT
05/03/24Botafogo v Mogi84-87 OT
20/11/23Mogi v Botafogo86-81
06/03/20Mogi v Botafogo89-61
21/12/19Botafogo v Mogi69-79
16/03/19Mogi v Botafogo89-72
01/11/18Botafogo v Mogi90-86
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOsasco93-75
09/11/26APinheiros85-70
04/11/26HCearense89-78
26/10/26HUnifacisa78-70
23/10/26ABauru79-61
21/10/26AFranca74-90
17/10/26HCorinthians Paulista84-73
15/05/26AFranca77-78
13/05/26AFranca102-90
10/05/26HFranca70-88
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game83.183.782.8
Allowed / game73.973.774.0
Point differential+9.3+10.0+8.8
Avg total157.0157.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.