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Mogi vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 87-45
24-9 19-18 28-8 16-10
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.5
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mogi v Botafogo
12 Dec 2026
MOGI v BOTA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
MOGI87
BOTA45
14 Oct 2024
MOGI70
BOTA72
20 Nov 2023
MOGI86
BOTA81
05 Mar 2020
MOGI89
BOTA61
15 Mar 2019
MOGI89
BOTA72
22 Jan 2018
MOGI84
BOTA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-82
66
82
-16
54avg 67
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-63
75
63
+12
73avg 67
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
72avg 67
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
62avg 67
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
92avg 67
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 67
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
65-88
65
88
-23
51avg 67
A29/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
57-76
57
76
-19
45avg 67
A01/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 67
A23/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-84
103
84
+19
93avg 67
A25/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
20-20
13-19
16-23
16-13
31-15
11-26
17-9
19-23
14-8
18-14
13-19
17-28
25-23
15-21
22-24
27-21
27-14
18-27
18-14
20-22
15-17
14-22
23-24
21-22
14-23
13-24
17-19
22-17
12-21
13-18
10-20
17-12
15-24
18-22
21-21
20-20
26-26
29-13
28-25
156.4Avg total
75.3Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.081.5168.5+5.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)87.081.5168.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)75.381.1156.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)73.682.4156.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.882.9157.7-8.026%
vs Similar (6)74.878.0152.8-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)103.084.0187.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
L
71-94
71
94
-23
66avg 65
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 65
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 65
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 65
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-97
59
97
-38
42avg 65
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 65
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 65
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 65
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 65
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 65
H26/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
18-22
22-24
17-24
26-20
21-21
15-22
23-29
12-16
15-28
19-20
18-21
25-19
27-25
16-22
18-19
21-22
5-21
22-31
11-23
14-29
16-13
19-15
13-23
21-12
20-28
18-20
26-24
26-22
19-14
13-27
22-21
25-22
18-26
21-10
21-18
27-15
9-23
24-24
12-23
161.1Avg total
74.9Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.081.7160.7-2.733%
Season at home (3)79.081.7160.7-2.733%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.986.2161.1-11.330%
Last 5 (5)76.881.8158.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.284.9158.1-11.625%
vs Similar (6)77.779.2156.8-1.533%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
MogiBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A01/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/10
NBB
78.4Avg total
39.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.738.276.9+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)36.242.178.4-5.918%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.978.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.877.2-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)37.341.378.5-4.026%-
vs Similar (6)36.036.372.3-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/10
NBB
80.1Avg total
37.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.742.278.9-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.841.480.3-2.639%-
Last 30 away (12)33.543.476.9-9.917%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.280.1-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.879.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.743.379.0-7.621%-
vs Similar (6)40.737.878.5+2.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.7
50.0%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
72.8%12.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.2
50.2%
52.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.8
29.4%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.713.5
65.2%
72.8%13.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WLLLLWLLWL
Botafogo
LWLWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#16
-8.4
Net rating
-14.1
100.0
Offensive rating
97.7
108.4
Defensive rating
111.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.4%
3-point %
29.4%
63.6%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 97.7Defence108.4 · 111.8Shooting48.0% · 48.0%3-point %30.4% · 29.4%Ball care16.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Mogi   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mogi wins
3
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Botafogo v Mogi97-85
14/10/24Mogi v Botafogo70-72 OT
05/03/24Botafogo v Mogi84-87 OT
20/11/23Mogi v Botafogo86-81
06/03/20Mogi v Botafogo89-61
21/12/19Botafogo v Mogi69-79
16/03/19Mogi v Botafogo89-72
01/11/18Botafogo v Mogi90-86
22/01/18Mogi v Botafogo84-70
21/11/17Botafogo v Mogi65-70
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ACruzeiro103-84
23/10/25AMinas71-79
01/05/25AMinas57-76
29/04/25AMinas65-88
26/04/25HMinas72-85
16/04/25HPato90-76
11/04/25AUniao Corinthians79-96
09/04/25ACaxias do Sul75-82 OT
02/04/25HCearense75-63
31/03/25HUnifacisa66-82
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HUnifacisa72-85
23/10/25HVasco85-76
20/10/25HCearense80-84
19/04/25ABauru85-84
12/04/25AFranca62-80
09/04/25AMinas59-97
05/04/25HSao Paulo86-85
03/04/25HPaulistano64-85
29/03/25HFlamengo85-92
17/03/25ABrasilia71-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game81.5-81.5
Point differential+5.5-+5.5
Avg total168.5-168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game81.781.7-
Point differential-2.7-2.7-
Avg total160.7160.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brasilia220100%93.065.5+27.5
2 Flamengo330100%94.776.3+18.3
3 Caxias do Sul220100%72.568.0+4.5
4 Minas440100%81.578.2+3.2
5 Franca43175%84.068.2+15.8
6 Sao Jose32167%77.369.0+8.3
7 Pinheiros32167%80.077.7+2.3
8 Unifacisa32167%79.777.3+2.3
9 Cearense32167%81.786.7-5.0
10 Corinthians Paulista21150%81.074.0+7.0
11 Mogi21150%87.081.5+5.5
12 Uniao Corinthians21150%72.074.0-2.0
13 Bauru52340%69.474.4-5.0
14 Paulistano31233%74.073.0+1.0
15 Botafogo31233%79.081.7-2.7
16 Rio Claro31233%77.394.7-17.3
17 Pato3030%75.379.3-4.0
18 Vasco4040%72.879.5-6.8
19 Cruzeiro3030%70.389.7-19.3
20 Osasco3030%67.788.0-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi2419281687
Botafogo91881045
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