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Mogi vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-72 (OT)
12-17 17-12 21-18 15-18 5-7
Position#16
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game67.0
Mogi
Brazil
vs
Botafogo 🏆
Brazil
Position#18
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game70.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mogi v Botafogo
12 Dec 2026
MOGI v BOTA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
MOGI87
BOTA45
14 Oct 2024
MOGI70
BOTA72
20 Nov 2023
MOGI86
BOTA81
05 Mar 2020
MOGI89
BOTA61
15 Mar 2019
MOGI89
BOTA72
22 Jan 2018
MOGI84
BOTA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
104-61
104
61
+43
103avg 64
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
70-65
70
65
+5
59avg 64
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-100
73
100
-27
66avg 64
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 64
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 64
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
64-61
64
61
+3
61avg 64
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 64
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 64
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
57-97
57
97
-40
34avg 64
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 64
H12/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
27-11
23-16
30-18
16-16
20-19
16-21
18-9
14-25
13-27
27-21
19-27
19-19
13-25
18-17
19-12
19-22
16-20
24-13
22-24
17-13
15-12
17-13
15-23
18-23
10-18
18-26
22-13
19-18
17-26
15-20
15-14
15-23
17-27
17-21
8-26
19-17
21-21
18-15
14-14
148.5Avg total
72.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.067.0139.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)72.067.0139.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.476.1148.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)65.476.6142.0-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)70.080.0150.0-9.929%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.976.9151.7-2.043%
vs Weaker (2)92.071.0163.0+21.050%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 66
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 66
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 66
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 66
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 66
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
90avg 66
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 66
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
46avg 66
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 66
A12/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
20-11
23-20
20-25
27-23
21-24
21-18
27-31
17-24
20-33
13-16
24-24
24-28
19-24
26-33
26-28
20-21
25-21
12-15
26-22
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
27-20
22-19
18-13
26-17
15-27
20-29
24-23
28-13
8-23
13-24
17-15
18-16
32-18
21-17
17-16
11-19
173.0Avg total
83.1Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.189.9173.0-6.850%
Last 5 (5)77.885.0162.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)79.689.4169.0-9.932%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.583.2162.8-3.80%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
MogiBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/10
NBB
74.7Avg total
34.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.740.575.3-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.837.875.6+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)32.442.675.0-10.312%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.874.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.673.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)33.241.074.2-7.824%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.440.677.0-4.129%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.580.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/10
NBB
87.4Avg total
40.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.244.984.1-5.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.045.386.3-4.338%-
Last 30 away (17)37.844.682.5-6.841%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.887.4-6.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.286.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.845.784.5-7.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.839.579.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.2
48.4%
50.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.010.0
62.5%
72.7%10.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.6
46.9%
50.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
72.7%13.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WLLLWWLLWW
Botafogo
WLLWLWLLWW
#16
League position
#18
-4.3
Net rating
-13.5
99.5
Offensive rating
100.8
103.8
Defensive rating
114.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
33.8%
59.6%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 100.8Defence103.8 · 114.3Shooting50.1% · 48.6%3-point %34.8% · 33.8%Ball care18.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mogi   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mogi wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
05/03/24Botafogo v Mogi84-87 OT
20/11/23Mogi v Botafogo86-81
06/03/20Mogi v Botafogo89-61
21/12/19Botafogo v Mogi69-79
16/03/19Mogi v Botafogo89-72
01/11/18Botafogo v Mogi90-86
22/01/18Mogi v Botafogo84-70
21/11/17Botafogo v Mogi65-70
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HPaulistano72-67
22/04/24AFranca57-97
19/04/24HFranca66-78
13/04/24ABauru68-80
09/04/24HPaulistano64-61
07/04/24HSao Paulo81-79
03/04/24AFranca69-73
25/03/24APato73-100
22/03/24HCerrado70-65
20/03/24HBrasilia104-61
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ASao Jose81-70
27/04/24AFlamengo56-78
20/04/24HFlamengo87-92
10/04/24HPinheiros93-69
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116
25/03/24HSao Paulo83-79
21/03/24ABauru95-113
19/03/24AFranca74-97
10/03/24ABrasilia108-106 OT
08/03/24ACerrado82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game72.072.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total139.0139.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total151.0-151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Botafogo110100%81.070.0+11.0
2 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
3 Minas110100%74.066.0+8.0
4 Mogi110100%72.067.0+5.0
5 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
6 Pinheiros21150%65.073.5-8.5
7 Pato1010%67.068.0-1.0
8 Brasilia1010%66.074.0-8.0
9 Vasco1010%50.059.0-9.0
10 Sao Jose1010%70.081.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mogi12172115570
Botafogo17121818772
← all games of the day
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