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Botafogo vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 97-85
25-16 22-15 22-25 28-29
Position#18
Record5-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game80.6
Botafogo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Mogi
Brazil
Position#16
Record6-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game78.6
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Mogi
05 Feb 2026
BOTA70
MOGI69
27 Dec 2024
BOTA97
MOGI85
05 Mar 2024
BOTA84
MOGI87
20 Dec 2019
BOTA69
MOGI79
01 Nov 2018
BOTA90
MOGI86
21 Nov 2017
BOTA65
MOGI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 65
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 65
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 65
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
54avg 65
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
78-98
78
98
-20
57avg 65
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
52avg 65
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 65
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
69avg 65
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
87avg 65
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 65
H23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-20
16-18
15-19
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
21-11
9-19
18-20
20-16
20-27
11-20
14-25
33-26
13-25
19-21
20-20
16-29
18-33
12-27
20-11
17-18
19-27
14-18
25-20
13-17
14-18
24-19
22-15
19-27
18-16
17-21
20-25
18-24
156.7Avg total
71.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.680.6152.3-9.029%
Season at home (9)69.881.1150.9-11.322%
Season away (8)73.880.1153.9-6.438%
Last 10 (10)71.984.8156.7-12.920%
Last 5 (5)74.488.8163.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)75.287.0162.2-11.924%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.069.5143.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 62
A06/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-68
66
68
-2
59avg 62
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 62
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
84avg 62
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 62
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
53-73
53
73
-20
30avg 62
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 62
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 62
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 62
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 62
A21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
14-18
34-21
8-21
14-22
22-10
16-18
14-18
12-19
23-19
16-28
28-23
21-22
17-20
26-12
18-31
24-18
16-18
18-23
16-12
16-20
11-14
9-19
17-20
14-18
19-22
19-18
17-18
17-20
7-17
22-10
24-19
21-14
16-11
15-18
18-29
30-28
26-20
21-20
29-22
150.4Avg total
73.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.478.6150.9-6.235%
Season at home (9)70.177.0147.1-6.944%
Season away (8)74.980.4155.2-5.525%
Last 10 (10)73.776.7150.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)73.675.4149.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.779.4150.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.073.6147.6+0.460%
vs Weaker (1)104.061.0165.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
BotafogoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
NBB
76.4Avg total
33.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.042.878.8-6.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.142.778.7-6.633%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.978.8-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)33.942.576.4-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.645.078.6-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.544.379.8-8.824%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.032.568.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A06/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NBB
71.9Avg total
35.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.538.272.6-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.735.371.1+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)33.241.074.2-7.820%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.771.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.872.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)33.539.272.7-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker (1)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.1
45.1%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
72.7%12.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.6
48.8%
50.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
72.7%15.9
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLLLLWLLL
Mogi
WLWLLWLLLL
#18
League position
#16
-16.1
Net rating
-4.6
93.2
Offensive rating
100.0
109.3
Defensive rating
104.6
45.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.8%
3-point %
31.8%
62.8%
Assist %
59.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 100.0Defence109.3 · 104.6Shooting45.0% · 48.4%3-point %29.8% · 31.8%Ball care18.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 24.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
7
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
14/10/24Mogi v Botafogo70-72 OT
05/03/24Botafogo v Mogi84-87 OT
20/11/23Mogi v Botafogo86-81
06/03/20Mogi v Botafogo89-61
21/12/19Botafogo v Mogi69-79
16/03/19Mogi v Botafogo89-72
01/11/18Botafogo v Mogi90-86
22/01/18Mogi v Botafogo84-70
21/11/17Botafogo v Mogi65-70
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HFranca73-86
18/12/24HBauru93-92 OT
15/12/24ASao Paulo71-82
05/12/24HBrasilia67-89
02/12/24HMinas68-95
28/11/24APato78-98
15/11/24HVasco68-66
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69
06/11/24HUniao Corinthians71-80
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24APato106-90
17/12/24HCorinthians Paulista70-72
09/12/24AUnifacisa70-66
06/12/24ACearense69-76
02/12/24HPinheiros53-73
29/11/24HCaxias do Sul74-71
27/11/24HUniao Corinthians82-85
15/11/24ASao Jose79-89
08/11/24ABauru66-68
06/11/24AFranca68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWLLWL22%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%22%38%
Points / game71.669.873.8
Allowed / game80.681.180.1
Point differential-9.0-11.3-6.4
Avg total152.3150.9153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game72.470.174.9
Allowed / game78.677.080.4
Point differential-6.2-6.9-5.5
Avg total150.9147.1155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1816289%82.869.8+13.0
2 Flamengo1714382%84.271.7+12.5
3 Franca1711665%81.276.7+4.5
4 Brasilia1711665%83.881.4+2.4
5 Vasco1710759%74.672.1+2.5
6 Sao Paulo1710759%78.978.3+0.6
7 Pinheiros1810856%76.375.3+1.0
8 Uniao Corinthians1810856%78.179.0-0.9
9 Bauru1810856%78.879.9-1.2
10 Unifacisa1881044%75.076.7-1.7
11 Paulistano1771041%77.775.6+2.1
12 Sao Jose1771041%74.975.1-0.2
13 Pato1871139%83.085.3-2.3
14 Corinthians Paulista1761135%79.481.4-2.0
15 Mogi1761135%72.478.6-6.2
16 Botafogo1751229%71.680.6-9.0
17 Caxias do Sul1741324%72.579.7-7.2
18 Cearense1741324%69.177.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2522222897
Mogi1615252985
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