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Botafogo vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-87 (OT)
17-22 21-18 21-22 15-12 10-13
Position#15
Record6-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
Position#14
Record4-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game81.1
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Mogi
05 Feb 2026
BOTA70
MOGI69
27 Dec 2024
BOTA97
MOGI85
05 Mar 2024
BOTA84
MOGI87
20 Dec 2019
BOTA69
MOGI79
01 Nov 2018
BOTA90
MOGI86
21 Nov 2017
BOTA65
MOGI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 65
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 65
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
69avg 65
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 65
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
65avg 65
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
55avg 65
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H29/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
22-31
21-21
22-26
13-24
21-18
28-30
20-26
17-24
15-16
16-20
23-30
21-18
19-29
14-28
20-16
13-23
19-17
23-24
17-22
18-14
165.8Avg total
75.4Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.386.7164.0-9.421%
Season at home (14)78.685.8164.4-7.229%
Season away (14)76.187.6163.7-11.614%
Last 10 (10)75.490.4165.8-15.00%
Last 5 (5)79.094.6173.6-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)77.188.5165.7-11.423%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.381.7157.0-6.414%
vs Weaker (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
63-61
63
61
+2
57avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 64
H09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 64
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 64
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 64
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
65-102
65
102
-37
56avg 64
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 64
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 64
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
21avg 64
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
68avg 64
A02/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
19-16
16-15
19-14
16-19
18-25
14-23
27-9
23-19
21-18
5-16
21-24
12-17
14-14
18-21
24-27
19-23
20-24
19-22
17-24
10-35
19-30
18-22
18-15
16-18
16-16
22-19
27-21
17-29
21-25
18-14
24-26
5-20
12-14
13-25
19-18
17-23
18-15
18-23
20-18
151.1Avg total
69.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.481.1153.4-8.715%
Season at home (13)75.382.2157.5-6.815%
Season away (14)69.680.1149.7-10.414%
Last 10 (10)69.981.2151.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)69.685.2154.8-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.081.7153.7-9.716%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.776.5153.2+0.240%
vs Weaker (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
BotafogoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/02
NBB
83.8Avg total
38.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.981.3-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.143.884.9-2.736%-
Last 30 away (16)36.042.278.2-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.345.583.8-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.886.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.044.782.7-6.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.438.075.4-0.657%-
vs Weaker (1)53.038.091.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A29/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
29-65
29
65
-36
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
NBB
73.8Avg total
32.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.175.7-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.640.578.1-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)33.639.773.3-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)32.241.673.8-9.410%-
Last 5 (5)30.245.075.2-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.141.176.2-5.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.237.874.0-1.630%-
vs Weaker (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.2
47.8%
51.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
72.6%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.315.2
44.3%
51.8%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.611.3
64.2%
72.6%11.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLLLLLL
Mogi
LLLWLLLLLW
#15
League position
#14
-19.3
Net rating
-17.3
97.0
Offensive rating
96.8
116.2
Defensive rating
114.2
48.6%
Effective FG%
46.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
33.0%
65.3%
Assist %
66.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 96.8Defence116.2 · 114.2Shooting48.6% · 46.6%3-point %33.1% · 33.0%Ball care17.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds22.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Botafogo   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
6
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
20/11/23Mogi v Botafogo86-81
06/03/20Mogi v Botafogo89-61
21/12/19Botafogo v Mogi69-79
16/03/19Mogi v Botafogo89-72
01/11/18Botafogo v Mogi90-86
22/01/18Mogi v Botafogo84-70
21/11/17Botafogo v Mogi65-70
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HSao Jose90-93 OT
16/02/24AUnifacisa66-96
14/02/24ACearense75-84
09/02/24AVasco86-98
06/02/24HFlamengo78-102
24/01/24APato86-97
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85
08/01/24AMinas52-89
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AVasco73-79
29/02/24AFlamengo49-77
16/02/24HUniao Corinthians80-94
14/02/24HCaxias do Sul81-74
08/02/24AMinas65-102
24/01/24ACearense75-93
22/01/24AUnifacisa68-79
18/01/24HCorinthians Paulista70-77
09/01/24HPinheiros75-76
29/12/23ASao Paulo63-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game77.378.676.1
Allowed / game86.785.887.6
Point differential-9.4-7.2-11.6
Avg total164.0164.4163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLWL15%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%15%14%
Points / game72.475.369.6
Allowed / game81.182.280.1
Point differential-8.7-6.8-10.4
Avg total153.4157.5149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2723485%85.974.0+11.9
2 Franca2622485%88.076.0+12.0
3 Minas2721678%87.173.9+13.2
4 Vasco2619773%75.771.8+3.8
5 Paulistano2617965%74.371.0+3.2
6 Bauru27171063%80.078.4+1.5
7 Unifacisa29181162%83.379.1+4.3
8 Sao Jose26151158%81.576.9+4.6
9 Cearense27151256%79.376.7+2.6
10 Corinthians Paulista26131350%79.378.2+1.1
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros26111542%75.678.4-2.8
13 Pato29111838%76.580.2-3.7
14 Uniao Corinthians27101737%74.882.6-7.8
15 Cerrado2681831%75.376.4-1.1
16 Caxias do Sul2781930%72.379.9-7.6
17 Botafogo2862221%77.386.7-9.4
18 Brasilia2642215%70.885.8-15.0
19 Mogi2742315%72.481.1-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Botafogo172121151084
Mogi221822121387
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